NFL Picks Against the Spread for Every Week 17 Game

Chris Vasile gives his best NFL picks against the spread for every Week 17 game including Chiefs vs. Steelers and Ravens vs. Texans on Christmas Day.

Chris Vasile - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Chris Vasile ? Publishing Editor
Dec 24, 2024 ? 12:10 ET ? 4 min read
Patrick Mahomes Kansas City Chiefs NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

Week 17 is the gift that keeps on giving as we have two NFL games on Christmas Day, one on Thursday Night, three on Saturday, nine on Sunday, and one more on Monday. 

The best part is that most have major playoff implications, so we should see some competitive football.

Join me as I run the gauntlet and offer my best Week 17 NFL picks against the spread. 

Week 17 picks against the spread

Matchup Pick
Chiefs Chiefs vs Steelers Steelers Chiefs (-3)
Ravens Ravens vs Texans Texans Ravens (-5.5)
Seahawks Seahawks vs Bears Bears Bears (+3.5)
Chargers Chargers vs Patriots Patriots Chargers (-4)
Broncos Broncos vs Bengals Bengals Bengals (-3)
Cardinals Cardinals vs Rams Rams Rams (-6)
Cowboys Cowboys vs Eagles Eagles Cowboys (+9)
Jets Jets vs Bills Bills Bills (-9.5)
Raiders Raiders vs Saints Saints Raiders (-1)
Colts Colts vs Giants Giants Giants (+8)
Panthers Panthers vs Buccaneers Buccaneers Panthers (+8)
Titans Titans vs Jaguars Jaguars Titans (+1)
Dolphins Dolphins vs Browns Browns Browns (+6.5)
Packers Packers vs Vikings Vikings Packers (+1)
Falcons Falcons vs Commanders Commanders Commanders (-4)
Lions Lions vs 49ers 49ers Lions (-3.5)

Lines courtesy of bet365 as of 12-24.

Expert Week 17 ATS picks

Chiefs vs. Steelers
Chiefs Chiefs -3

The Steelers have looked lost over the last two weeks vs. elite opposition and it doesn't get any easier with the Kansas City Chiefs coming to town. While anything is possible on the football field, I refuse to believe Russell Wilson will outplay Patrick Mahomes.

Ravens vs. Texans
Ravens Ravens -5.5

The Texans may still be reeling after losing to the Chiefs and losing Tank Dell in the process. The Ravens are about the worst matchup for them, so I'm taking them to cover the spread. 

Seahawks vs. Bears
Bears Bears +3.5

The Seahawks are not as good as people think and nobody wants to bet the Bears. Yet, the line is only 3.5, so give me the underdog in this spot. 

Chargers vs. Patriots
Chargers Chargers -4

The Chargers are fighting for their playoff lives while the Patriots are trying to secure a high draft pick. I'll take the Chargers to roll in this one. 

Broncos vs. Bengals
Bengals Bengals -3

Only because the NFL is an entertainment product, the Bengals will find a way to win and set up a grandstand finale in Week 18. Oh, and Joe Burrow is kind of good at football. 

Cardinals vs. Rams
Rams Rams -6

The Rams are on the verge of clinching the NFC West and get to face an eliminated Arizona side. With a fully healthy squad and plenty of motivation, the Rams should win by double-digits. 

Cowboys vs. Eagles
Cowboys Cowboys +9

The status of Jalen Hurts is up in the air as he left Week 16 with a concussion. Kenny Pickett didn't exactly look competent as his replacement, so give me all the points here with a Dallas team that's still playing hard. 

Jets vs. Bills
Bills Bills -9.5

The Bills got the wake-up call they needed against the Patriots and won't suffer the same fate against the Jets. Bills roll and put up 40+. 

Raiders vs. Saints
Raiders Raiders -1

Picking between Aidan O'Connell and Spencer Rattler is like choosing whether you'd rather be poked in the eyes, or suffer a million paper cuts. With that said, as long as Brock Bowers is healthy, he should help the Raiders win. 

Colts vs. Giants
Giants Giants +8

The Colts are not as good as they looked in their 38-30 win last week vs. the Titans. The Giants, while awful, can keep this close by running the football and bleeding the clock. 


Covers NFL betting tools


Panthers vs. Buccaneers
Panthers Panthers +8

The Bucs did everything in their power to lose on MNF vs. the Cowboys, and now have a short week vs. a Panthers side that's actually played inspired football over the last month.

Titans vs. Jaguars
Titans Titans +1

Only because I have to pick this game, will I play the Titans at +1. They've scored 27+ points in back-to-back games and will have the revenge factor after losing 10-6 to these very Jaguars back in Week 14. 

Dolphins vs. Browns
Browns Browns +6.5

The Dolphins' playoff hopes are hanging on by a thread and now they must battle the elements in Cleveland as they take on the lowly Browns. If the early results don't go their way — they could be eliminated by kickoff — this line will likely come down. 

Packers vs. Vikings
Packers Packers +1

I'm not trying to discredit the Vikings' eight-game winning streak, but the Packers will be the best team they've played since losing to the Lions and Rams in Weeks 7 and 8. The combined record of the teams the Vikings have beat is 44-76 with only two teams having a winning record. The Packers win this one on the road. 

Falcons vs. Commanders
Commanders Commanders -4

Do you trust Michael Penix Jr. in his second career start (first on the road)? I don't. The Commanders showed plenty of resolve to beat the Eagles in Week 16 and that momentum should carry over into this one vs. a rookie QB. 

Lions vs. 49ers
Lions Lions -3.5

The San Francisco 49ers were eliminated from the playoffs last week and motivation may be hard to find in Week 17. Throw in the fact they have to face the most complete team in the NFL, the Detroit Lions, I don't see the Niners being up to the challenge. The Lions are still playing for home field throughout the postseason and should win this one going away. 

Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Vasile Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Chris Vasile has been in the betting industry for well over a decade honing his craft as a writer, editor and handicapper. A journalism graduate from Conestoga College in Kitchener, Ontario, Chris has contributed betting and non-betting content for online publications such as ProSportsDaily and The Hockey Writers, in addition to Covers. With a keen interest in soccer, Chris has been featured on Covers' 'Before You Bet' and runs his own YouTube channel — Game Day Wagers.

When it comes to daily sports betting, his sportsbook of choice is bet365 for the plethora of markets and great UX. Chris' top sports betting advice is to stick to what you know. Being a jack of all trades and master of none is a quick way to bust the bankroll. Find one or two sports you can devote your time to and trust the process.

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