Nuggets vs Suns Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Christmas Day's NBA Game

Nikola Jokic doesn't take many threes, but when he does, he makes them. He'll splash two on Christmas.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen ? Betting Analyst
Dec 24, 2024 ? 09:15 ET ? 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 23 hrs
PHO
41 %
DEN
59 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Nikola Jokic o1.5 Threes (-170) Nikola Jokic o1.5 Threes (-170)
Read Analysis
Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The Denver Nuggets will head to the desert on Wednesday, December 25, to face the Phoenix Suns at the Footprint Center, which will be the final game on the NBA Christmas slate. 

My Nuggets vs Suns predictions expect Nikola Jokic to find his touch from downtown against Phoenix. 

Find out more in my NBA picks for Wednesday, December 25. 

Nuggets vs Suns prediction

My best bet
Nikola Jokic Over 1.5 threes (-170 at bet365)

My analysis
Who can stop The Joker? The answer is pretty much nobody.

Nikola Jokic is one of the most dominant players in the Association and looks to be well on his way to another MVP award, averaging 30.9 points, 12.5 rebounds, and 9.7 assists. Oh, and he’s also shooting 51.4% from 3-point land. Yes, you read that right.

Jokic doesn’t take a ton of triples each game, but his efficiency is ridiculous. He’s averaging 2.3 makes on 4.5 tries per night, which is actually a career-high. The Serb’s ability to make it rain from beyond the arc has added another deadly element to his game. 

The big man has hit the Over in treys in five of his last six appearances, going 4-for-6 from deep on Monday evening against the Phoenix Suns, who are Denver’s opponent on Christmas. Over the last month and a half, it’s rare Jokic stays Under 1.5 triples converted, too. 

I know the odds are a bit steep here, but all signs point to Jokic sinking a minimum of two three pointers on Wednesday. 

Nuggets vs Suns same-game parlay

Nikola Jokic Over 1.5 threes

Kevin Durant Under 30.5 points

Nikola Jokic Over 29.5 points

Kevin Durant has been the main man for the Suns this season, averaging 27.1 points on 42% shooting from deep. His co-star, Devin Booker, has missed the last couple of games with groin soreness and could likely sit out on Christmas, too. 

KD has done his part with Book out, scoring 43 and 23 across his last two. But, his total is quite high here, considering Durant did hit the Under against the Nuggets in that last contest on Monday.

In fact, he’s only cashed the Over in points twice in his last 10 appearances. I’m not saying KD won’t contribute, but he’ll stay Under 31 points on Wednesday. 

Not only will Jokic find his stroke from long range, but he’ll also torch the Suns. The Joker had 32 in a win over the Suns on Monday and has been scoring the basketball at a consistent level as of late. He’s hit the Over in points in two of the last three contests. 

We’ve seen the Serbian rise to the occasion many times when the lights shine brightest.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365's early win payout

Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game NBA moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your team goes up by 20+ points!

Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365's offerings, with our comprehensive bet365 review.

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Nuggets vs Suns odds

Nuggets vs Suns live odds

Nuggets vs Suns opening odds

  • Spread: Denver +1.5 (-115) | Phoenix -1.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Denver -105 | Phoenix -115
  • Over/Under: Over 227.5 (-110) | Under 227.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of bet365.

Nuggets vs Suns spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Denver has an 11-15-0 ATS record.
  • The Suns are just 9-19-0 ATS.
  • The Under in points has cashed in five of the last six meetings.

Nuggets vs Suns trend

The Suns have hit the game total Under in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Suns.

How to watch Nuggets vs Suns

Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ
Date: Wednesday, 12-25-2024
Tip-off: 10:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Nuggets vs Suns latest injuries

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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications. He's currently a senior editor at ClutchPoints and has published work for numerous betting websites in the past. 

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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