The NBA Christmas Day schedule is loaded with gifts, starting with Victor Wembanyama at Madison Square Garden and closing with another duel between Kevin Durant and Nikola Jokic.
That makes this a bumper day for NBA player props, with most of the league’s biggest names spread across the five-game slate.
I’m looking at one megastar and two key role players for my top three NBA picks for the December 25 action.
Best NBA player props today
-
Anunoby Over 15.5 points (-115 at bet365) -
Doncic Over 37.5 pts+ast (-110 at bet365) -
Green Over 11.5 reb+ast (-120 at bet365)
Picks made on 12-24 at 7:00 p.m. ET.
NBA player props for December 25
Prop bet #1: OG Anunoby Over 15.5 points
Say what you want about OG Anunoby’s durability, but he’s played in all 29 games for the New York Knicks so far this year.
Though that may come back to bite Tom Thibodeau later in the season, Anunoby’s numbers look solid and I like him to build on a hot shooting week here.
I’m taking the Over on his 15.5 points prop on the heels of a 31-point night — on 13-for-15 shooting — against the Toronto Raptors on Monday.
That’s enough to put Anunoby on the nice list for this Christmas clash, and he’s hit this Over in five of his past nine games, including his last two.
While his 3-point percentage has dropped this year, he’s on pace for his best scoring year since the 2021/22 season.
The Knicks’ two-man game between Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns draws so much attention that Anunoby, Mikal Bridges, and Josh Hart are walking into a bunch of open looks every night, and I don’t see this San Antonio Spurs defense putting up enough resistance, even with Wemby patrolling the paint.
Prop bet #2: Luka Doncic Over 37.5 points + assists
Brace yourself for a Luka Doncic masterpiece on the Christmas Day stage.
Fresh off resting his heel for a couple of games, Doncic dropped 27 points and seven assists on the Portland Trail Blazers this week in just 30 minutes.
Maybe he just needed a breather to cool off after torching the Golden State Warriors for 45 points and 13 dimes as the Dallas Mavericks poured in 144 points last week.
Luka tends to like facing the Minnesota Timberwolves, too. He sent them packing in last year’s playoffs, and I see more carnage ahead, with Doncic in the Grinch role.
I’m taking the Over on the Doncic points + assists prop, even against Minnesota’s talented wing defenders. As good as Anthony Edwards and Jaden McDaniels are, they’ve had no answer for the Mavs’ No.1 option.
Luka ended up with a stat line of 32.4 ppg and 8.2 apg in the team’s Western Conference Finals battle, and he won’t hesitate to deliver another barrage of 3-pointers in the national TV spotlight.
Doncic ranks sixth in the NBA with 28.8 ppg — he could get most of the way to the Over in points alone — and sits inside the Top 10 in assists per night too. That’s a recipe for fireworks.
Prop bet #3: Draymond Green Over 11.5 rebounds + assists
Draymond Green tends to save his top gear for marquee moments like Christmas Day, and I expect a matchup against LeBron James, Anthony Davis, and the rest of the Los Angeles Lakers to jolt him into all-action Draymond.
That means chipping in throughout the box score, but I especially like the Over on his rebounds + assists combo prop. While his points total can fluctuate in a big way, Green’s game has never been about scoring.
He finished with seven boards and five dimes in the loss to the Indiana Pacers on Monday, and he’s gone past this 11.5 O/U number three times already this month.
Green’s work on the glass is steady — at least six rebounds in four of his last six outings — and his playmaking can be a boom category as a setup man for Steph Curry. It’s a day of gift-giving, so look for him to get in on the act with an eye-popping assists total.
While the Golden State Warriors have flirted with bringing Draymond off the bench, he’s expected to start and should find his way to a 30-minute workload.
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NBA odds today
Here are the full NBA odds for all of today’s matchups.
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