NBA Player Props and Best Projections

Jaylen Brown has failed to convert 11.2 field goals per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.9 mark last year. The most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Boston Celtics. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to decreased plays for the Boston Celtics. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics rank 9thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Julius Randle has posted 5.2 defensive boards per game this year on the road, putting him among the league leaders by this standard over this stretch of games: 90th percentile. Julius Randle has averaged 33.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 87th percentile. The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Khris Middleton has averaged 5.3 assists per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 92nd percentile.

The Magic check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have notched 11.3 points per game (fewest in the league) against the 76ers, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness. The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Orlando Magic. The Orlando Magic will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from facing the most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year (the 76ers). The matchup vs. the 76ers is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.5 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George rates in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.7 fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season. The slowest tempo team in the league this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers. The Magic have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Philadelphia 76ers. Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, opposing squads have brought down 8.9 offensive boards per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (retaining possessions that can generate added opportunities for offense).

Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner slots into the 79th percentile for 3-point shots hit, registering 2.1 per game this year. Myles Turner has averaged 31.3 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Pacers check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The matchup against Nikola Vucevic is a good one; he has allowed a whopping 16.6 points per game when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

Wendell Carter Jr. has made 55.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 7.2% higher than he's sunk overall this year while playing away from home. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 45.6% on threes (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, making this a strong matchup. The Magic rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Brook Lopez has made 53.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 8.8% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Brook Lopez has sunk 2.6 threes per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez lands in the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 30.4 minutes per game away from home this year. In terms of offense, the Bucks's stellar 118.0 points per game ranks 7th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Khris Middleton has tallied 4.3 defensive boards per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 82nd percentile.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jerami Grant places in the 86th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, compiling 6.2 per game this year. Jerami Grant has tallied 32.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile. The matchup against the Jazz is a strong one for threes; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Jazz have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to more opportunities for the Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Among all players in the league, Khris Middleton registers in the 90th percentile for three-point efficiency with an outstanding 39.4% rate since the start of last season. In terms of offense, the Bucks's stellar 118.0 points per game ranks 7th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. Khris Middleton has sunk 86.0% of his free throws since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum measures in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.4 fouls per game this year. The most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Boston Celtics. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to decreased plays for the Boston Celtics. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics rank 9thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Jayson Tatum has attempted and missed 1.5 foul shots per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.1 mark last year.

The Utah Jazz check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a hard one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 4th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (29.6%). The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Utah Jazz. John Collins will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally decreases player production across the board.

Jonathan Kuminga has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged overall this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Warriors.

Rudy Gobert has converted 65.5% of his field goals away from home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert registers in the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Brandin Podziemski has played 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's played in all games this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 2.6 three-pointers per game (4th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, identifying this as a good matchup. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Brandin Podziemski has made 88.5% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 10.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Guerschon Yabusele has played 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 5.5 more than he's played in all games this season at home. The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Guerschon Yabusele will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Mike Conley has successfully made 54.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 16.1% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against the Warriors is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 6th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (38.4%). The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 7.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

Among all players in the league, Nikola Vucevic registers in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.3 fouls per game while playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bulls rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 8.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The Pacers have given up the 27th-most offensive boards per game (10.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 23 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Among all players in the league, LeBron James ranks in the 79th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, totaling 5.5 per game this year. Among all players in the league, LeBron James rates in the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 34.6 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James slots into the 20th percentile for personal fouls, logging a mere 1.1 fouls per game this year. The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks).

Pascal Siakam has averaged 3.3 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the league's hottest by this standard over this stretch of games: 80th percentile. Out of all players in the league, Pascal Siakam ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 33.6 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The Pacers will likely see a rise in plays today from facing the fastest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls).

Among all players in the NBA, Trae Young places in the 94th percentile for shot attempts from downtown at home, averaging 7.9 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Trae Young slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.7 minutes per game this year. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the home team. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA with 13.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Anfernee Simons has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's committed in all games this season. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Brice Sensabaugh has tallied a mere 1.6 defensive rebounds per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 2.7 defensive rebounds per game last season. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Utah Jazz. Brice Sensabaugh will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually worsens player production across the board.

Coby White has attempted 13.4 shots per game at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Coby White has attempted 8.7 three-point shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 7.1 mark last year. Coby White has played 32.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 83rd percentile. The Bulls have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a good one; they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (19.0).

Rudy Gobert has averaged 4.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.5 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert registers in the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year. The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Orlando Magic. The Orlando Magic will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from facing the most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year (the 76ers). Franz Wagner will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

The matchup vs. the Pacers is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league this year (2.9). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bulls rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 8.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The Pacers have given up the 27th-most offensive boards per game (10.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 23 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dyson Daniels has put up 3.1 assists per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA in this category in recent days. Out of all players in the league, Dyson Daniels lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.7 minutes per game this year. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the home team. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA with 13.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Dyson Daniels will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally increases player performance in all stat categories.