November 21 sees the Pittsburgh Steelers take on the Cleveland Browns, and our focus today is on the Russell Wilson odds.
I’ve taken a long look at his specific markets to find the very best ways for you to get involved with the Steelers’ QB on Thursday Night Football — and it involves taking an Under. ?
Russell Wilson TNF player prop picks
- Best bet
Under 10.5 rush yds
(-113 at FanDuel) - SGP Pick
Wilson Under 10.5 rush yds
Wilson Over 186.5 pass yds
Pickens Over 57.5 rec yds
(+348 at FanDuel)
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
Russell Wilson TNF prop pick
My best bet
Russell Wilson Under 10.5 rushing yards (-113 at FanDuel)
My analysis
There are a number of ways to bet on Russell Wilson in this game. Despite throwing an interception in half of his four games, it feels unlikely against a Cleveland Browns defense that has somehow racked up just two picks. That said, there’s another market that looks even safer.
Wilson has had either three or four rushing attempts in each of his games as the Pittsburgh Steelers’ starter but has been very inefficient, averaging just one yard per carry.
His highest rushing yard total in any of those games was seven, and he’s not rushing as often as he was in either Denver or Seattle. Part of the reason is Russ is much more effective in the pocket than he is with his legs. The Steelers also have Justin Fields on the sideline, so they can bring him on if they're in short-yardage situations and want to add the threat of rushing.
It's worth pointing out the Browns have allowed an average of 23.3 rushing yards per game to quarterbacks. However, the numbers have been hugely skewed by the opponents they’ve faced.
Jayden Daniels has rushed for 82 yards, Jalen Hurts 33, and Lamar Jackson for 46, which accounts for 161 of the 233 yards they’ve allowed on the ground. In the past two weeks, they’ve limited Justin Herbert and Derek Carr — two more traditional quarterbacks — to just 10 rushing yards combined.
Russell Wilson TNF same-game parlay
Russell Wilson Under 10.5 rushing yards
Wilson Over 186.5 passing yards
George Pickens Over 57.5 receiving yards
Cleveland is giving up 226.5 air yards per game and now faces a quarterback currently averaging 235.5 passing ypg. The line feels very low at 186.5 yards, given Wilson has exceeded it in every game he’s played this year.
The Browns are giving up an average of 154.5 yards to wide receivers, and George Pickens has been in great form with an average of 91.2 receiving ypg with Wilson under center.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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