Get set for an outstanding AAC showdown when the South Florida Bulls meet the Florida Atlantic Owls tonight.
Both offenses have dual-threat quarterbacks, and my South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic predictions expect the offenses to be the main attraction. Read on as I explain why I like the Over in my college football picks for Friday, November 1.
Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, with the game airing on ESPN2.
South Florida vs Florida Atlantic prediction and best bet
My best bet
Over 49.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.
My analysis
The South Florida Bulls offense has struggled without starting QB Byrum Brown under center, scoring just 38 points in his 2.5-game absence.
The good news for the Bulls? Brown is set to return to the gridiron, which is bad news for a Florida Atlantic Owls defense allowing 28 points per night.
Brown has thrown for 836 passing yards with a pair of scoring strikes, but he also puts in work on the ground. The junior QB has scampered for an additional 269 yards and three TDs for an offense likely better than its 25 points per game.
The Bulls O-Unit should get us halfway there, and the Owls offense will do the rest.
Florida Atlantic is beginning to find its offensive identity — rushing the football — and it's scampered for 500+ rushing yards in consecutive games.
The Owls are the fifth-best rushing offense in the AAC. Junior QB Cam Fancher is a capable, dual-threat signal-caller with 1,154 passing yards and 344 rushing yards, and FAU also boasts two RBs with 350+ rushing yards and four receivers with 100+ receiving yards.
They’ll face a South Florida defense unable to stop a broken clock and one that's surrendered 45+ points in two of its last four games.
The offenses will rule the day as they blow by the total of 49.5.
South Florida vs Florida Atlantic same-game parlay (SGP)
Over 49.5
Florida Atlantic moneyline
C.J. Campbell Jr. anytime touchdown
I expect both offenses to roar, but the Owls will get the last hoot.
South Florida RB C.J. Campbell has found the end zone in four of his last five. He’s the Bulls leading rusher and is a capable receiver with 17 catches for 175 yards. Florida Atlantic has surrendered a dozen rushing TDs, and I expect Campbell to find the end zone at least once.
Florida Atlantic is a short-home underdog, but the offense is beginning to get its act together. The Bulls' defense has some shortcomings, and I expect the Owls to throw the ball more often and be successful enough to outscore South Florida.
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South Florida vs Florida Atlantic odds
South Florida vs Florida Atlantic live odds
South Florida vs Florida Atlantic opening odds
- South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic spread: Florida Atlantic +2.5
- South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic moneyline: South Florida -130, Florida Atlantic +110
- South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic Over/Under: 49.5
Odds courtesy of BetMGM
South Florida vs Florida Atlantic spread and Over/Under analysis
- South Florida is 1-4-0 ATS across their last five but 4-2-0 ATS across their previous six away games.
- The total opened at 53.5 (-110) but has dipped to a consensus of 49.5 (-110). The likely culprit is that both quarterbacks are on the injured list, but Brown and Fancher are listed as starters in their respective team-issued game notes.
South Florida vs Florida Atlantic betting trend to know
Florida Atlantic has hit the game total Over in six of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI). Find more college football betting trends for South Florida vs Florida Atlantic.
South Florida vs Florida Atlantic game info
| Location: | FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, FL |
| Date: | Friday, 11-1, 2024 |
| Kickoff: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN2 |
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