The struggling Golden State Warriors will head to the Mile High City tonight for an NBA Cup matchup with the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena.
My Warriors vs Nuggets predictions expect Nikola Jokic to do some of his scoring from long-range on his home court.
Find out more in my NBA picks for Tuesday, December 3 at 10 p.m. ET on TNT.
Warriors vs Nuggets prediction
My best bet
Nikola Jokic Over 1.5 threes (-150 at bet365)
My analysis
Denver Nuggets superstar Nikola Jokic can truly do it all on the basketball court and he’ll go down in history as one of the best bigs to ever play in the Association. This season, he’s averaging 29.6 points, 13.2 rebounds, and 10.7 assists while shooting a mind-boggling 50% from 3-point land. Yes, you read that correctly.
The Joker has improved as a long-range shooter over the years. He’s also taking a career-high 4.3 triples per game with an average of 2.2 makes. The Serbian has hit the Over in made threes in six straight appearances, too. You can see the value in this bet, even if the odds aren’t super favorable.
Yes, the Golden State Warriors are a solid defensive team, allowing opponents to shoot just 32.7% from beyond the arc in 2024-25. However, opponents are draining 41% of their triples against Golden State across the last three contests.
Jokic, who can trump even the best defenses, will get hot tonight and hit the Over for a seventh consecutive game.
Warriors vs Nuggets same-game parlay
Nikola Jokic Over 1.5 threes
Nuggets moneyline
Christian Braun Over 12.5 points
The Warriors defense has fallen off a bit and their offense isn’t getting the same contributions from up and down the roster. Golden State has lost to the Spurs, Nets, Thunder, and Suns over the last 10 days.
History is also on Denver’s side tonight. It's won seven straight against the Dubs dating back to October of 2022. Draymond Green is doubtful as well, which is a major blow to Golden State’s ability to slow down Jokic.
One player who has seen his role increase is Christian Braun. The former Kansas Jayhawk has started all 18 of his appearances for Denver after playing strictly a bench role across his first two NBA seasons. He’s averaging 15.9 PPG on 47% shooting from 3-point territory after averaging just 7.3 points last season. His total is set at just 12.5 tonight and he has hit the Over in points in all but three games so far.
He’s averaging nearly 35 minutes per night as well. Braun hit the Over in points in 13 consecutive outings before scoring 11 against the Clippers on Sunday. This bet holds massive value.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Warriors vs Nuggets odds
Warriors vs Nuggets live odds
Warriors vs Nuggets opening odds
- Spread: Golden State +3 (-110) | Denver -3 (-110)
- Moneyline: Golden State +125 | Denver -150
- Over/Under: Over 234 (-110) | Under 234 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Warriors vs Nuggets spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Dubs have a 10-8-1 against the spread record.
- Denver is just 7-10-1 ATS.
- The Under has cashed in four of the last five meetings.
- Despite the poor record in recent years vs Denver, the Warriors have covered in three of the last four.
Warriors vs Nuggets trend
The Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 89 games (+9.50 Units / 3% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Nuggets.
How to watch Warriors vs Nuggets
| Location: | Ball Arena, Denver, CO |
| Date: | Tuesday, 12-3-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | TNT |
Warriors vs Nuggets latest injuries
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