Get set for a thrilling Tuesday night MACtion special when the Central Michigan Chippewas invade the Glass Bowl to face the Toledo Rockets.
The Chippewas are having trouble without starting quarterback Joe Labas in the lineup, and my Central Michigan vs. Toledo predictions expect the Chips’ offensive struggles to continue.
Read on as I explain why my free college football picks for Tuesday, November 12 with kick-off set for 7 p.m. ET on ESPNU.
Central Michigan vs Toledo prediction and best bet
My best bet
Central Michigan team total Under 16.5 (+102 at FanDuel)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.
My analysis
The Central Michigan Chippewas offense has stalled.
An injury to CMU starting quarterback Joe Labas has sent a relatively high-scoring Chips offense on a downward spiral. Since losing Labas, CMU has scored 20 points across its last two games, and those struggles will likely continue Tuesday.
Frosh QB Tyler Jefferson is a gifted runner, and the young man has a big arm, but his accuracy is wanting. He’s completing fewer than 47% of his passes, including a measly 14% last Wednesday against Bowling Green.
The Chips might have some success rushing the football against the Toledo Rockets. They rank fourth in the MAC in rushing yards per game (184 ypg), and Jefferson and senior RB Marion Lukes can cause some good trouble.
The problem with the Chips' current offense is that they are up against a Rockets stop unit that surrenders only 137 rushing yards per game and nine rushing TDs this season. They are stingy and rank 17th nationally in tackles for a loss.
Labas ran the show at CMU, but the Chips' offense appears lost without him under center. The Chips have tried every signal-caller in their room but can’t move the chains through the air. The way to attack the Rockets defense is to throw the football. Jefferson’s arm is big, but his lack of accuracy will make it difficult for the Chippewas to score 17+
Central Michigan vs Toledo same-game parlay (SGP)
Central Michigan TT Under 16.5
Toledo -13.5 alt spread
Under 50.5
Toledo's extra four days of preparation for a home game against a struggling offense will pay off.
It will be a chilly night in Toledo, but that won’t stop the Rockets’ aerial show from putting in work. Toledo leads the MAC in passing yards per game (261), which should negate a stout CMU defense with the seventh-most tackles for a loss.
The passing will help the Rockets cover the alternate number, and the Chips' offensive woes will keep this game Under the overall number. Toledo will slow the Chips' offense to a crawl, and the CMU defense is more than capable of preventing Toledo from running up the score.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Central Michigan vs Toledo odds
Central Michigan vs Toledo live odds
Central Michigan vs Toledo opening odds
- Central Michigan vs. Toledo spread: Toledo -13.5
- Central Michigan vs. Toledo moneyline: Central Michigan +425, Toledo -575
- Central Michigan vs. Toledo Over/Under: 49.5
Central Michigan vs Toledo spread and Over/Under analysis
- The spread spiking to as high as +15 (-110) from a +13.5 (-110) opener, which is likely due to Labas being ruled out.
- Toledo is 2-3-0 ATS in its previous five games but is 7-3-0 ATS in its last 10 meetings with Central Michigan.
- The total is 2-8-0 to the Under in their last 10 meetings.
Central Michigan vs Toledo betting trend to know
Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last six away games (+0.65 Units / 10% ROI). Find more college football betting trends for Central Michigan vs Toledo.
Central Michigan vs Toledo game info
| Location: | Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH |
| Date: | Tuesday, 11-12, 2024 |
| Kickoff: | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPNU |
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