spottie2935

ASU +. Running game will lose but cover 

Boise +. Running game will lose but cover

Lean Notre Dame + defense, running game will barely win it. 

Ohio State - .  They should not be an 8 seed but they are.  

The lowest ranked team remaining and a favorite, playing a team they already lost to this season.  lol the only favorite that covers this week will be the 8 seed over the 1 seed. 

Look out for the dogs in the playoffs especially in round 1.

All dogs in round 1 will be 3-1 ATS and 2-2 straight up.  ItĄ¯s bracket time. 

letĄ¯s go! 

Awesome win.  I feel lucky to have cashed 

@JJWoods

 ok

I read all the comments.  It was a bad line.  Now +9.5 doesn't Indiana need some credibility here?   Unless something changes I want to see how they do but I lean +9.5 this is still a good team but maybe a bad favorite.  To stay close here and they dont have to dominate?  I like the points. 

Have a great holiday Doc 

Have a great holiday Train. 

Have a great Holiday Wahoo

Its not your holiday but have a great Holiday 

GO GMEN!

Have a great Holiday 

Have a great holiday 

By the way have a great holiday. 

@Last2thirst

@Last2thirst

 I get the picture about you and what you do because you post a thread.  The other peeps in the thread that post one comment and hit and run, I have very little respect for.  Not because they dont know what they are doing, but they have no history on record.   

AS for this game with you.  I got the far inferior team as it looks.  Purdue's schedule has been tough.  The Purdue lines have been difficult for them which makes them appear worse.  The Indiana lines have been fairly easy which makes them appear better.  

I want Indiana to skip this game and prepare for the playoff.  I want nobody to like them heading forward in to the playoff.  I love good teams that people have trust issues with and Indiana can provide questions in the next game if they are flat this week.  

Will this happen ?  Doesn't look like it but , their ats cover momentum the books have curtailed.  That could be a good thing for Purdue.

  Now I have put a lot of time into a game that is far down my list but since it is Indiana people want to make a point.  Me?, just another game I bet

do we know what coach Sig does with a playoff game ahead? Do we know what Indy does laying 4tds + to a big 10 school and rival?  This isnĄ¯t Charlotte and it Western Illinois whom they layed -28 points to early in the season.  This is rival Purdue.  You know this but I think favorite betters here are ignoring or misunderstanding the line. 

@dj6593

 I 100% can understand your point and I have considered this.  I, like you guys are ignoring some things that I value, I am ignoring who is the better team here.  I have seen Indiana's destruction of teams that can't play.  None of those games were -30 so be it as it may.  How does Indiana handle A 30 point line with a Huge future ahead? We don't know.  This -30 looks easy but it could be a huge waste after the lead and dominance has been established.   I doubt Indi sits anyone but Pulling out starter is a strong possibility, thats what I would do.  The game has to be in hand in the first hand to do so.  

I have posted numerous plays so losing one bet, if it happens to be Purdue, so be it and I expect losing plays.   If Indy shows up all game. They probably cover.   

This is the most points Indy has had to cover, maybe in forever, if ever.  Indy has a huge game on deck, and although this is a rival I am discrediting the meaning because its a 30 point line.  All Indiana  has to do is win.  They don't have to win 70-0.  

Indiana is so young and their coach has not elevated to power 5 ball. I don't know what his approach is.  Purdue's 3rd time getting +30 points this year (Oregon, Penn St.)   In my opinion Indiana is outstanding but if I am betting favorites I would take the other 2 because or past experience at these lines and high levels.  Indiana is establishing themselves though.  Long term ?  We will see. 

The game is not one of my top plays, it A gamble play.  Its a game I like to bet to contradict the line, trust the number that is displayed and see it to believe it.  I am right a lot on these.  Thats why I post it.   I predict an Indy cover until the late part of the game and the backdoor being available because Indy doesnt care.  The rivalry win has been secured and Purdue keeps fighting and playing.  Thats what Purdue did last week. 

I personally want Indy to look terrible so that the lines are better for them in the bracket.  Thats a win-win for me. 

If I am betting Indy its 1st Half, that's more congruent to how I see it.

Thanks for the comment and thanks for letting me borrow your thread L2F

@Last2thirst

 ThatĄ¯s because when you were talking about USC they werenĄ¯t a +7 home dog.  They were a well respected -6 to home dog Michigan team.  Completely differlines.  That why USC is of value to me this week.  ItĄ¯s not the team.  We have seen all the teams play.  IĄ¯m trying to find the best lines and let the on the field stuff happen as it does.  The teams have a range of expectations.  +7 for USC f

its within my expectations.  Will it cash?  ThatĄ¯s the question. 

I donĄ¯t care about Georgia.  I have visions of what Notre Dane could be in for this week.  USC is well coached and a home dog in this rivalry.  Notre Dame has not proven much to me this season.  The one certainty is they can cover big lines against trash! 

Notre dame was -7 AT Purdue and only -7 at home to Louisville.  ItĄ¯s not only strength of schedule itĄ¯s the simple and easy lines.  THIS is the most difficult test since week 1 and in that game they were a dog. 

Did anyone see Purdue not give up last week?  
Does anyone know what is ahead for Indiana?  Indians has  one loss and being in the B10 that is enough to make the bracket.  I want Indy to throw away this game look conservative and trashy.  If this happens it creates questions and better lines when they make it in.  They just have to win to make it in. 

Purdue gave me hope last week that they can actually play.  Purdue isnĄ¯t close to being good.  This game and situation could be a nice fit for them.  If I was Indy I would play a half get up 24-0 and shut it down.  Too much at risk for a team with no championship history. 2nd half play is better than +30 but I believe Purdue cashes all tickets except 1st half. 

 Get lucky!