jowchoo

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Posts: 2492

Member Since: September 2022

Last Activity: 28 December 2024

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replied to Week 17 stuff in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Riderx: Do the Rams really care about Sat. night? No matter what happens, they still have to beat Seattle next week. And then there's this: Before the playoffs, div road dogs of less than 7' w/a total more than 40 off a s/u loss as a road fav of more than -3, teams have same rest: 4-1 s/u, 4-1 ats, 0-5 o/u the only s/u loss by -4 as a 3pt dog Ariz+6', Ariz m/l scores of: 17-9, 13-17, 17-12, 17-12 & 14-7 Under by -17', -14', -14, -15' & -19' TOY: Under 47' Cards/Rams SOLID....................................................gl View Post \| View Thread	Riderx	3	December 27, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 17 in NFL Betting @River_fish Careful. Chasing is ruinous to a bankroll.Good Luck View Post \| View Thread	River_fish	20	December 26, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to I don't understand in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by gmcsports: @HabsHater88In general, "system plays", over an extended period of time, do little more than break even and, in fact, customarily, (eventually) empty out a limited bankroll. Lol View Post \| View Thread	HabsHater88	43	December 26, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Tech angles/plays in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999: 4) In a week>15 regular season game, a favorite who in their past three games, has had their defense allow an average of greater than 380 yards/game.......69-106-4 ATS, (-2.6), VERSUS Chargers, Bills, Vikings, Lions 5) A home dog of less than 7 points in week>15 who in their last three games have had a negative points margin of -10/game or more.....41-22 ATS, 31-32 straight up..........ON Browns, Bears query text.......week > 15 and playoffs = 0 and tA(margin, N=3)<-10 and HD and line<7 Plays.....adding: 4) Browns +6' I fiddled around with that query and got this from Gimme the Dog: week = 17 and tA(margin, N=3) < -10 and HD and line < 7 and p:ats margin + 8.2 < op:ats margin SU: 14-7 (1.0,66.7%) ATS: 17-4 (4.7,81.0%) Take CHI CLV & NO if you dare. The way my dreadful season has been going, you might as well fade them. Good luck with whatever you decide. NICE WORK DBW! View Post \| View Thread	Indigo999	41	December 26, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to WEEK 17 Regression teasers (435-281) 61% in NFL Betting @DogbiteWilliams Merry XMas View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	18	December 26, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to WEEK 17 Regression teasers (435-281) 61% in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by penguyen: How much is your vig on teasers between -114 and -123 View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	18	December 25, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to WEEK 17 Regression teasers (435-281) 61% in NFL Betting 23. CHI under 49 View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	18	December 25, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Christmas Games... in NFL Betting @Macwestie1 View Post \| View Thread	vanzack	35	December 25, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL Week 17 in NFL Betting @River_fish View Post \| View Thread	River_fish	20	December 25, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 17 Christmas NFL Action in NFL Betting @jdukes0004 View Post \| View Thread	jdukes0004	11	December 25, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Opinions on the last play to plug in my open teaser? in NFL Betting HOUSTON +16 View Post \| View Thread	KeyMaster	15	December 25, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to WEEK 17 Regression teasers (435-281) 61% in NFL Betting 22. ATL +11 View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	18	December 25, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to WEEK 17 Regression teasers (435-281) 61% in NFL Betting season=2024 and week>1 and tA(RFD)-oA(RFD)>1 and AD and total>41 (16-5) 19. ARI +13 20. DEN +10 21. GB +7.5 View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	18	December 25, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to WEEK 17 Regression teasers (435-281) 61% in NFL Betting 17. BALT under 53 18. HOUS +11.5 View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	18	December 25, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to WEEK 17 Regression teasers (435-281) 61% in NFL Betting @Fuse @chicubs09 View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	18	December 25, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Tech angles/plays in NFL Betting @Indigo999 View Post \| View Thread	Indigo999	41	December 25, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week XVII in NFL Betting @JoseAlonso787 View Post \| View Thread	JoseAlonso787	23	December 24, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NFL WEEK 17 ........................2024 in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Xmas day my new regression method has Ravens by under 5 pts. 1-13 ATS past 7 weeks with teams under 5 pt favorites. Suggesting the play is on the Texans. Texans 6-9 ATS but Stroud has been good ATS as a dog in his short career not this season but and this is the largest dog Texans have been this season. Texans came into this season over-rated and were due a regression from last seasons success which supports their poor ATS record. Maybe spreads now catching up to their true value. I think play is on the Texans even without my new regression method. I doubt I'll take action, maybe if the line goes up and I see those on you tube backing the Ravens for reasons that don't make sense. Solid contribution to the board week in week out. Appreciated. Btw my plus money (5%) Houston to win division came home very early. Lucky Canuck. Merry Xmas View Post \| View Thread	theclaw	20	December 24, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Xmas day presents in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Riderx: KC/Pitt's going to be a hard-fought slobber knocker. Pitt wins s/u by 2 to 3 Pitt+3, Pitt m/l The Texans as a non-div conf home dog off a road dog loss, line is more than prev, after week 4: 0-2 s/u...by -21 & -24 Balty-5', Balty-8', Balty-11', etc... Merry Christmas!!! Thx pal. Your increased recent activity is appreciated. Merry Xmas. View Post \| View Thread	Riderx	18	December 24, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to WEEK 17 Regression teasers (435-281) 61% in NFL Betting After MNF: YTD: (440-281) View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	18	December 24, 2024 View Post \| View Thread

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