The Philadelphia Eagles are busting through the Super Bowl hangover like a jug of Pedialyte, boasting the best two-way team in the NFL.
Despite departures from their coaching staff, the organization has replaced from within, and the philosophy remains the same: whoop that ass in the trenches. And the Eagles have the bullies up front on both sides of the ball to do so.
The 2023 season does present a tougher road than last year, with Philadelphia going from the 30th-ranked strength of schedule to No. 6. But that hasn’t dampened expectations, at least according to the NFL odds and NFL futures.
Philly owns one of the tallest win totals (11.5 O/U) and is set as a point spread favorite in at least 15 of its 17 games. The Eagles are also the second overall choice to win Super Bowl LVIII and the second-best team in my NFL power ratings, behind only Kansas City.
I spread my wings and soar with my 2023 Philadelphia Eagles NFL betting preview.
Philadelphia Eagles futures odds
| Future bet |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win Super Bowl | +650 | +800 | +750 |
| Win conference | +250 | +330 | +320 |
| Win division | -135 | -115 | -110 |
| Make playoffs | -500 | -400 | -440 |
| O11.5 wins | -105 | +104 | +110 |
| U11.5 wins | -115 | -128 | -130 |
Best futures bet: Over 11.5 wins (+110)
The Eagles were the darlings of the 2022 offseason, with their futures odds running wild after making a splash at the draft. Philadelphia made good on that summer steam by winning the NFC East, blowing through 9.5 wins, and taking the conference crown before coming up three points short in the Super Bowl.
This year, the bar is set high but not high enough. You can bet the Eagles to win the NFC East at -135 odds or bet plus money on Over 11.5 victories, which will be needed to edge out Dallas in the division.
The look-ahead lines have Philadelphia as a favorite in 15 games with the Week 14 road matchup with the Cowboys at a pick’em. Ten of those spreads have the Eagles laying more than a field goal.
This team has multiple outs when it comes to winning games and doesn’t need to be perfect every week to pull it off. The offense can bail out the defense. The defense can bail out the offense. The ground game can soften a hard day from Jalen Hurts, and Hurts can take over with his arm and legs when shit hits the fan.
And when it does all come together, oh boy…
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Philadelphia Eagles betting overview
What will win bets: Trenches
There’s no gimmick or secret to the Eagles’ success. They simply overwhelm opponents at the line of scrimmage.
Hurts felt pressure on only 18% of his dropbacks and threw a mere six interceptions, with the RPO-heavy playbook keeping opposing defenses guessing. The offensive line brings back four starters and moves second-year OL Cam Jurgens into the fray.
That group ranked fourth in adjusted line yards in 2022 and anchors the best short-yardage push in football, leading to the No. 5 DVOA on third/fourth downs. That ability to own the line in those crucial downs extends drives and demoralizes defenses that can’t keep up over 60 minutes.
As for their own defense, the Eagles are absolutely stacked with talent up front. Philadelphia’s ability to get pressure and close in on quarterbacks with just the front four allows the Eagles stop unit to do what it does best: protect against the big play.
Philadelphia ranked second in pressure rate despite blitzing on only 22% of dropbacks and recorded a league-high 70 sacks, with 62.5 of those QB kills coming from the defensive line. With pressure coming from the front, linebackers and secondary can drop back in coverage and clog up the passing lanes. The Eagles snatched 17 interceptions in 2022, which tied for the fourth most in the NFL.
What will lose bets: Rushing defense
Philadelphia’s dirty little secret on defense was its vulnerability to the run game. Thanks to the offense scoring early and often, opponents were forced to abandon the run most weeks, which played into the teeth of this pass rush.
However, the Eagles defense is much like an ice cream sandwich: solid up front and behind but soft and gooey in the middle with a suspect linebacker corps. Philly finished the year ranked 23rd in both EPA allowed per handoff and opponent success rate versus the run, as well as 21st in Run Defense DVOA at Football Outsiders.
In the 10 games in which the Eagles failed to cover (including the postseason), all but one of those foes finished with more than 100 yards on the ground (Indianapolis had 99 rushing yards) and an average allotment of 141 rushing yards. That includes 158 yards rushing to the Chiefs in the Super Bowl.
The linebacker group lost its top two starters from 2022 to free agency and is hurting before the season even starts. Nakobe Dean is fighting through an ankle injury and Shaun Bradley is lost for the season. The Eagles signed LBs Myles Jack and Zach Cunningham late in the summer to bolster the weakest spot on this roster.
Philadelphia Eagles 2023 schedule
| Week | Opponent | Spread |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | @  New England Patriots |
-4.5 |
| 2 | vs  Minnesota Vikings |
-7 |
| 3 | @  Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
-7 |
| 4 | vs  Washington Commanders |
-7 |
| 5 | @  Los Angeles Rams |
-6.5 |
| 6 | @  New York Jets |
-1 |
| 7 | vs  Miami Dolphins |
-4 |
| 8 | @ Washington Commanders |
-4 |
| 9 | vs  Dallas Cowboys |
-3 |
| 10 | BYE | |
| 11 | @  Kansas City Chiefs |
+3 |
| 12 | vs  Buffalo Bills |
-2.5 |
| 13 | vs  San Francisco 49ers |
-2.5 |
| 14 | @ Dallas Cowboys |
+1 |
| 15 | @  Seattle Seahawks |
-2 |
| 16 | vs  New York Giants |
-7 |
| 17 | vs  Arizona Cardinals |
-11 |
| 18 | @ New York Giants |
-3 |
Spreads courtesy of DraftKings sportsbook.
The Eagles do an about-face in strength of schedule in 2023 with a slate ranked sixth toughest in the land (compared to 30th in 2022). Even with those tests, the offseason markets reflect the upside for the defending NFC champions. That’s why I have the Eagles higher than most in my NFL power ratings.
Philadelphia is No. 2 (79.41/100) — just behind Kansas City — powered by the look-ahead lines, which have Philly as the betting favorite in 15 of its 17 games (some books have the Eagles as Week 14 faves in Dallas). The Eagles are laying -3.5 or more in 10 of those outings.
The schedule has many of the team’s toughest non-divisional foes coming to Lincoln Financial Field, with Miami, Buffalo, and San Francisco all having to brave the fanatical Philly crowds. One of the big reasons why the Eagles’ SOS is so jacked is a Super Bowl rematch in Kansas City on Monday Night Football in Week 11 (+3) — the only game in which Philly is catching points.
The start of 2023 does feed the Eagles some easier games and the team is laying between -4.5 and -7.5 in the first five contests. It all starts in New England where Philadelphia is a 4.5-point road chalk to the Patriots. My power ratings feel very differently about this Week 1 spread, pegging the visitors as -10.71 favorites as I’m quite down on New England in 2023. Or maybe I’m very high on the Eagles. Either way.
The dial gets turned up to 11 come Week 6 when the Eagles visit the New York Jets before hosting Miami on Sunday night the following week. Philadelphia will play nine of its final 11 games against teams that made the postseason cut last year. That’s a significant difference compared to the cupcake slate that welcomed this team in the closing months of 2022.
Philadelphia Eagles schedule spot bet
Week 6: @ Jets
The Eagles get their first true test of the season in Week 6. Philadelphia is a 1.5-point road favorite visiting the Jets with a schedule spot twisting the knife.
This will be the second of back-to-back road games for Philly with cross-country travel to Los Angeles in Week 5. It also serves as the team’s third away tilt in four games, which are crammed into a 20-day window due to a Monday nighter at Tampa Bay in Week 3.
My power ratings produced a spread of Eagles -3 before factoring in that nasty travel slate, which will also be the team’s fourth road outing in the opening six weeks of 2023.
Star power: Jalen Hurts props
| Prop | |
|
|
|---|---|---|---|
| MVP | +1,100 | +1,200 | +900 |
| OPOY | +3,000 | +3,000 | +2,500 |
| Pass yards leader | +2,800 | +3,200 | +3,500 |
| Pass TD leader | +6,000 | +4,000 | +5,000 |
| O22.5 pass TD | -110 | -116* | +100 |
| U22.5 pass TD | -110 | -110* | -130 |
| Pass yards total | 3,700.5 | 3,625.5 | 3,560.5 |
| Rush yards total | 700.5 | 725.5 | 725.5 |
*Pass TD Over/Under is 21.5 at FanDuel
Best prop: Over 8.5 interceptions (-110 at DraftKings)
All the talk out of Philly is that Jalen Hurts won’t be running as much and will continue to progress as a passer after the franchise backed up the Brinks truck with a $255-million extension this spring.
Last season, Hurts threw the ball on just 50.26% of snaps and ended up with only six interceptions. The offense would often build a big lead in the opening 30 minutes, leaving them to run a methodical ground-and-pound approach in the second half to secure the win.
The 2023 schedule sends some dangerous defenses at Hurts & Co. with units like San Francisco, New England, Dallas, and Buffalo all ranked among the top of the league in interceptions in 2022. Given the expected stiffening of opponents, Hurts may need to throw the ball more in closer games, which means more chances for wayward passes.
Player projections for this upcoming season all have Hurts throwing at least nine INTs, with a consensus total of 9.7 interceptions. That’s still pretty good when you consider the rest of Hurts’s 2023 forecast flirts with 4,000 yards passing, 800 yards rushing, and a combined 35 passing/rushing touchdowns.
Philadelphia Eagles betting insights
Covers Betting Analyst
Don’t worry about the turnover that comes with success with the Eagles in 2023, especially early in the season. They promoted their new OC Brian Johnson from within and Johnson has known Jalen Hurts for almost the entirety of the QB’s life, while new DC Sean Desai’s system is not much different than Jonathan Gannon’s.
The Eagles are favored by a field goal or more in eight of their first nine games, with the exception being a 1-point road favorite vs. the Jets. At their current ML prices, rolling over the Eagles’ ML over the first five weeks (at NE, vs. MIN, at TB, vs. Washington, and at LAR) would work out to +387 odds, which is obviously subject to change from week to week — but there are worse ways to invest a unit with an elite team that is a 4.5-point favorite in Week 1, a 7-point fave in Weeks 2 through and 4, and a 6.5-point favorite in Week 5.
The schedule gets much tougher in Weeks 9 to 15, but out of the gates, this might be the easiest five games any team has this year.
Covers Senior Betting Analyst
Everything broke right for the Eagles on their way to the Super Bowl last season. They obliterated an easy regular season schedule and got a massive break in the NFC title game when San Francisco ran out of quarterbacks.
This season, we’ll see if they can run it back, and while there are some red flags (like significant turnover on the coaching staff), anything short of another Super Bowl appearance should be considered a disappointment.
This roster is overflowing with talent — much of which still hasn’t reached its prime — so there’s no reason not to expect a repeat performance from Philly in the NFL’s inferior conference.
Philadelphia Eagles trend to know
The Eagles finished 4-2 SU against the NFC East in 2022 but went only 3-3 ATS in those outings. Not being able to cover the spread in divisional games is something that’s stuck with this franchise for the past few years.
Philadelphia is 25-17 SU against those rivals since 2016 but boasts a nearly negative of that record with a 17-24-1 mark against the spread (41.7%). Put the Eagles on the road in those divisional dances and they’ve managed a 10-11 SU and 8-13 ATS output. They’re also 13-8 Over/Under in those NFC East road trips the past seven seasons.
Eagles' divisional road games
- Week 8 @ Commanders (-4.5, 43.5 O/U)
- Week 14 @ Cowboys (PK, 47 O/U)
- Week 18 @ Giants (-2.5, 42.5 O/U)
