While neither team has a realistic shot at making the playoffs, there could still be plenty of fireworks when the Cincinnati Bengals and Dallas Cowboys collide on Monday Night Football in Jerry's World.
The Bengals boast a fun combination of an explosive offense and a terrible defense and my NFL player props for Bengals vs. Cowboys and NFL picks for Monday Night Football focus on some big Overs.
Bengals vs Cowboys MNF props
Brown Over 74.5 rush yds (-113 at FanDuel)
Rush Over 36.5 pass attempts (-114 at FanDuel)- Burrow Over 8.5 rush yds (-113 at FanDuel)
Read full analysis of each pick.
Bengals vs Cowboys MNF props
Prop bet #1: Chase Brown Over 74.5 rushing yards
The Cincinnati Bengals are a much more pass-heavy offense this season, but a lot of that is due to needing to keep up with all the points their defense allows. However, they could find themselves in a better game script and the Dallas Cowboys have the 31st-ranked run defense in the NFL.
The Bengals have also gone through a gauntlet of strong run defenses over the past few weeks and yet Chase Brown has still found running room. He has averaged 79.5 rushing yards per game over the last four games despite facing four Top-14 run defenses, two of which rank in the Top 4.
The Cowboys have the worst stuff percentage in the NFL and Brown has averaged 10.89 MPH at the line of scrimmage, which is fifth-highest in the league for players with at least 50 carries. With Brown getting a full head of steam, he will have a great opportunity to break some long ones and hit this total even if he does not get big volume on carries.
Prop bet #2: Cooper Rush Over 36.5 pass attempts
Over the last three weeks, the Cowboys have unleashed Cooper Rush and opened the playbook for him. He has 55, 32, and 36 attempts over each of the last three games. And it has proven to be a successful strategy as the Cowboys have won consecutive games after a five-game losing streak.
The Bengals rank 25th in the NFL in pass attempts allowed at 34.0 per contest. They also have the 27th ranked passing defense and the Cowboys will certainly look to take advantage of that. They know they do not have a good run game, so they will continue to rely on Rush and his solid group of targets to get it done.
The Cowboys are also getting Jake Ferguson back against a team that struggles to stop tight ends. This extra target will be huge for the Cowboys, who will likely need to put up a lot of points to stay in this game.
Prop bet #3: Joe Burrow Over 8.5 rushing yards
In addition to getting carved up by running backs racking up yards, the Cowboys defense also gets crushed when opposing QBs scramble. They have allowed double-digit rushing yards to five of the last six quarterbacks they have faced, and the lone exception was Kirk Cousins, who literally never runs.
Joe Burrow has shown his ability to take off when needed and has gone Over this total in four of the past five games. He has nine or more rushing yards in eight games this season.
The Cowboys get a high-pressure rate on quarterbacks at 38.3%, which is the sixth-highest in the NFL while also blitzing at the 10th-highest. Their ability to pressure Burrow will force him to take off at times and that volume should be enough for Joe to hit this number.
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