Moose1986

Everything I think about Texas is Ą°can they win the line of scrimmage?Ąą Against Georgia they cannot and they lost twice. Against ASU, most likely they do and they end up covering. I think Arizona State can hang with them BUT Texas is a force to be reckoned with when they dominate the trenches. I personally think Texas is OVERRATED and Ewers is mediocre. IĄ¯m staying away from this one but if I had to, IĄ¯d take Texas.

Boise is coming to play in this one. Oregon tore up PSU, and Boise will try to get this into a shootout EARLY. Jeanty and long drives in the second half. Gotta prove they can score with Penn State. Boise 35-31.

Oregon a 3.5 home dog and now a 2.5 neutral site dog to Ohio State? Something doesnĄ¯t make sense. Oregon wins and covers. They can play ANY style and win. I trust Gabriel with quick hitters, a nice deep ball and two good backs over Howard. Ohio State has the better skill players BUT Oregon finds a way 38-35.

Georgia plays ND. Low scoring blood bath and Georgia grinds em down. Both QBĄ¯s BLOW!

Hello All,

The hate and nasty remarks towards two people who give their opinions on college football games is beyond belief.

There are many times where I donĄ¯t agree with the side they pick. That being said, even if I donĄ¯t like their choice; they ALWAYS have valid points for liking their sides. 

Not many pick games at a 100 percent clip last time I checked. I firmly disagree with their principle of Bowl Betting except for the playoffs. They prove me wrong and win at a high clip on meaningless bowl games. My priority is not to wager them since I have no interest in them. So I donĄ¯t. 

To me itĄ¯s like anything else. Look at what they have to say or donĄ¯t. DonĄ¯t blindly tail these guys and expect a W. Then when you donĄ¯t get one, you blame them. Any person on here who blindly tails anyone shouldnĄ¯t be sports betting.

Wahoo and Train are two of the most knowledgeable college football information bettors on this Forum. I hope you guys keep winning and I look forward to reading/debating your thoughts on the Quarterfinals. 

@Boisestateand8

 LetĄ¯s call a spade a spade. YouĄ¯ve been on a run of losing. Blame whatever reason for it. Bottom line is you lost your bankroll and are being responsible in stopping. 
IĄ¯d also suggest to stop betting meaningless bowl games between 18-22 year old kids that arenĄ¯t playoff games but youĄ¯re a grown man and youĄ¯ll do what you want.

This isnĄ¯t a nasty or arrogant post. This is just the harsh reality of what these people wonĄ¯t tell you. TheyĄ¯ll all say Ą°Thanks for your posts and happy holidaysĄą, but itĄ¯s just kind words like Ą°In my thoughts and prayersĄą.

Do some self reflecting and enjoy your Boise State Broncos! At the end of the day, the ONLY thing that matters is you STOPPED when you hit your spending limit. Kudos to you on that! Forget everything else! 

Everyone is Zigging one way. IĄ¯m going to Zag. 

I think the Clemson Texas game gets Over the total. Clemson essentially will not be able to run the ball on Texas and Klubnik will be throwing 40 plus times Saturday. 

Texas should be able to do what they like. I also think Manning gets red zone play and gives Clemson a different look. 

The weather is the only one where itĄ¯s in the 50Ą¯s. Texas gets at least 35 in this one. Texas is MAJORLY overrated or IĄ¯d take the spread. If Texas canĄ¯t run, Ewers is an average QB who canĄ¯t shoulder the load. I see this as a 35-27 type game. Clemson hitting 1-2 big play scores. 

Hello Mates:

Round 1: Love Notre Dame in this spot! Both teams play relatively non tempo on offense. Notre Dame dominates in the trenches. Indiana might score late like they did against Ohio State BUT I donĄ¯t see Notre Dame beating themselves. Strong dose of running game and ball control. 
Notre Dame to cover the 7.5.

If Penn State is the team that played against Oregon, then the hype is for real. Offensively they can go toe to toe with anyone in the country. I think the best play is Over 53.5 against an SMU team that can give up the big play. I also like Penn State over TT. SMU is going to be fighting up hill all day IF Penn StateĄ¯s offense shows up like the Oregon game. I hope they do. 

Texas (who I think is completely overrated) rolls in this one. Clemson hits big plays and has no running game. Clemson then proceeds to get shut down in the second halves. I think Texas is too balanced, makes Clemson one dimensional and wins by about 17 in a game where they control from start to finish.

Is this the game where Ohio State uses their best position on the field and spread out the WR? I think this total is too low. Tennessee plays tempo, and even though they have had trouble scoring against very good defenses, they can find the end zone a few times at least. Ohio State needs to throw to set up the run. Egbuka and Smith need to go eat. If those guys can eat, Ohio State can beat anyone in the country. The problem is the coaches hold them back. Give me the Over 46.5 in a high scoring affair. 

Futures:

To me, the favorites (Oregon, Georgia, Texas) you can ML Rollover and get better value than a straight Futures play.

I like Arizona State +320 to make the Semifinals. I also like Boise State +270 to make the Semifinals and +1440 to make the Final.

Boise lost by 3 in Eugene. Boise has SMU or Penn State and if they get by, a Notre Dame or depleted Georgia team. Georgia is good BUT isnĄ¯t the same. I think itĄ¯s worth a flyer on Boise State.

Notre Dame +700 to win the Title has legs also. ND -1.5 Lookahead vs Georgia. ND can get to the Final and I can hedge depending on who is there.

Half a Unit on the Futures. Good luck to all. 

@Mskeets

 This post and this post specifically is WHY betting Bowl Games that arenĄ¯t meaningful are VERY difficult to gauge. This is NOT a knock on your parlay, etc. This is a post that simply states Ą°knowing motivation, opt outs with the transfer portal, coaches leavingĄą make it incredibly difficult to follow and to potentially try (no guarantee) to hedge out for a small loss.

I know Train and Wahoo are very knowledgeable college football bettors. I wish everyone luck in here BUT just be wary of a line opening up one way and then all of the crazy movement in potentially another direction.

There are 11 games of playoffs. Those lines are sharper because there are fewer games but the meaning of those games has never been higher. 

Good luck to all of you in this Bowl Season. The Hoo Train will traditionally start their second thread of the Hoo Train soon. I will be tuning in once they talk playoffs. ?? 

@BiaSaigon

 Hey Bia. This bracket is a little off. Oregon and Ohio State would be a Quarterfinal matchup. 

Texas would play Oregon in a Semifinal potentially. Oregon has a TOUGH path with two talented teams possibly ahead of them.

Someone commented and I agree, that Georgia has a QB issue that we donĄ¯t know will be resolved by New Years Day. 

Boise State can make the title! Call me crazy. They lost to Oregon by 3. Boise gets the winner of SMU and Penn State. Neither of these teams showed me anything dominant. IĄ¯m just saying hold the horses. 

This year has NO CLEAR FAVORITE as I have pointed out. Georgia healthy would beat Texas AGAIN! I donĄ¯t know why everyone loves Texas. 

Every team has some type of weaknessĄ­

Texas, when not able to run the ball cannot depend on Ewers throwing the ball 35 plus times without a few turnovers.

Oregon is undefeated BUT got gashed by Ohio State and Penn State in its two biggest games. They will have to win in a shootout against most teams.

Georgia has been inconsistent and showed what itĄ¯s capable of in the SEC Title Game. It also has shown getting carved by GT and UMass. 

Ohio State has a terrible coach with the most talent on the field. Not to mention an average QB who makes critical mistakes. 

Boise State and Arizona State have a bye. IĄ¯m not saying they are going to win the title but how can one not like their odds via FanDuel?

+320 to make the semifinals

+1820 to make the Title Game. 

Both are run dominant teams who can play ball control. A little flyer on them on all 3 plays. Oregon SHOULD win it. Ohio State has the most talent. Georgia QB situation is unknown. Can we please stop with Texas? ThereĄ¯s no clear favorite in 2024. Should be a great playoff. 

I donĄ¯t post often here but this is a HUGE game for Big 10 Title Possibilities and a Top 4 spot in the CFP.

Ohio State -3.5 with a Total of 52.5

My favorite play on this game is the Under. We have two offenses who love to control the line of scrimmage by establishing the run. Both of these offenses to not run at high speed, pre snap tempo. 

Will Howard and Dillon Gabriel are turnover prone and are not the best QBĄ¯s we have seen at these schools in a while. I see efficient drives being the source of scores with quick strikes being limited. Ohio State has a LOT more big play potential as well. 

Defensively, these two units could be the best two on the field. Stopping the run and getting sacks on third down are key for both teams. 

I trust Will Howard more and I trust the skill position players of Ohio State that much more. Action Network has a potential of this being a CFP Game at a neutral site where Ohio State is favored by 6. Ohio State is the better team and I expect a hard fought contest for much of the game. College kickers can be inconsistent and we might get a lot of empty possessions due to that, LanningĄ¯s bonehead gambles that he has had in the past, etc.

Id take Ohio State on the ML and the Under.

23-20 Buckeyes. 

Maybe I was wrong about stats but a Big W in the form of 71-0!

65-0 at the half. 

Maybe I was wrong about stats but not about outcome. Big W!

Alternate spread Tennessee -50.5 at +104. Tennessee is going to roll! Their backups didnĄ¯t play well against Chattanooga and I expect a better performance this time in the second half. The starters might go for 49 by halftime.

Kent State is horrific and just lost to FCS St Francis 23-17. 

Two Team Parlay

Tenn TT over 56.5 and Kent St TT Under 6.5 at +315 (200 to win 631).

Tennessee -50.5 (400 to win 416).

Nico continues the early Heisman stat padding. Throws for 300 and 3 TD in the first half. Vols will roll 63-3.

@HockeyNight11

 I think you are definitely the only person who thinks they got worse with a Senior transfer QB who almost beat Texas and had his team playing for a Conference Title and winning it two years ago. Then getting blown out by Bryce Young and Alabama.

In relation to Lanning, Oregon coaches find ways to lose BIG games. Oregon at home against Ohio State in October will tell you everything you need to know; when those coaches go against one another. 

Lanning has been aggressive against Washington in the last two years and lost. Especially 2022, that gift on fourth down. Lanning will learn from his mistakes and Oregon is going to roll this year. 

Ryan Day has lost a Natty and has been not been able to beat Michigan. When you had CJ Stroud, Wilson, Olave, Smith Njigba, Henderson in the backfield and NOT win a title, it is very hard to debate you about Day. ItĄ¯s now or never for that loaded defense he has!

@The007

 First off, I did one last year around the midway point of the season on FanDuel. I went 5-2 and Round RobinĄ¯ed it in 2-6Ą¯s. I suggest you do that first and foremost so you get the most value and you donĄ¯t lose as much with wagers. If one of your teams loses, itĄ¯s essentially toast.

Second, I think identifying your knowledge of conferences and then applying who you think wins each conference is the way to go. You have way too many favorites for an early futures!

Liberty is the most likely team to run their conference and win it. 

I like to wait a 5-6 weeks and put one in mid season. You can gauge who the best teams are and map out a schedule. Best of luck!

I have to say that 2024 really brings in two huge changes in my opinion:

Transfer Portal in full swing AND 12 team playoff.

Rivalry Week will be moved in 2025. There will be some teams with a few Conference Title Game spots clinched. They will rest players. A Power 5 Conference winner gets a top 4 seed and a bye. 

With so many coaches moving and players moving, I believe schools with returning head coaches and returning QB play are schools to bet on. There are NOT a ton of teams with continuity in that department off the top of my head (Georgia, Ole Miss, Texas, Missouri, Utah, Penn State). IĄ¯m sure there are more. 

Quick thoughts: If Ohio State doesnĄ¯t win the Big 10 this year, I donĄ¯t think they ever will.

Can Utah finally be healthy and win the Big 12 with 12th year Senior Cam Rising and one of the best coaches in college football?

How good is Oregon in the trenches? Can sexy lefty Dillon Gabriel be Bo Nix light?

Do these 10-2 teams make their push in the new format like Penn State and Ole Miss?

Alabama at 15-1 is a nice value with DeBoer and Milroe. I know that goes against my returning QB and Coach comment, but I think they provide the best value. 

@Bjorn_Borg

 Bjorg, only Covers Tennis person I will give any respect to. The changing of the guard officially happened today. It wasnĄ¯t Sinner at the AO, it was today. 

Alcaraz is probably worst on the hard court, which is scary. Total beatdown.

Man Bjorg, this Tennis Forum might be the worst one in all of Covers Sports.

Medvedev is a hard court specialist who has played better on grass the last few years. Once Dirty Carlos got locked in, the match was over. 

Musetti is a Clay court specialist who has NO weapons to beat Novak. You want to out hit Novak in long rallies? Good luck Lorenzo. You want to hit backhand slices and get some nice points? Ok, thatĄ¯s fine.

Novak and Carlos in the Final. Carlos should win. The only bet to make here is Over 40 games. Novak and Carlos each wins a Set. Am I missing something here?

Covers Doofs:

Bjorg posts everyday and tries some realistic, creative and interesting wagers. The rest of you seem to curse out people who lose and offer no real insight to what is going on.

I guess IĄ¯ll use Covers Forum for NCAAF, where a bunch of people actually discuss whatĄ¯s going on. We are in the QF of Wimbledon and you turkeys donĄ¯t discuss anything related to Paul v Alcaraz OR Big Dong Daniil v Sinner?

What a joke. Too da loo suckers. This Forum is a joke!

@NyJetropolitan

 I made a post on this and no one replied because this Forum isnĄ¯t that great to be honest. I have a Parlay that ends with Djokovic to win as well. Mine pays $1430.00 if it hits.

I am letting it ride. Rune is an excellent player. Djokovic cannot move like he is accustomed to BUT his serving, shortening points and then his endurance should be enough.

Rune just came back from 2 sets down in his last match. I think itĄ¯s 4 VERY tight sets and Djokovic comes out on top. Best of luck with what you do. 

I had a Futures of Sinner, Alcaraz, Novak to make the QF that was placed after Round 1.

Djokovic is -310 to win against Holger Rune (+250).

My thoughts are Set BettingĄ­

Rune is +900 to win 3-1

Rune is +700 to win 3-2

Djokovic is +260 to win 3-1

Djokovic is +430 to win 3-2.

I donĄ¯t think this match is going 3 sets. I think the most likely outcome is Djokovic in 4 tight sets. If Djokovic wins and I do nothing, I get $1430.00 back in return. Any thoughts or advice for a match I think Djokovic is 60 percent to win?