The Real Bowl Games: First Round and Futures

Hello Mates:

Round 1: Love Notre Dame in this spot! Both teams play relatively non tempo on offense. Notre Dame dominates in the trenches. Indiana might score late like they did against Ohio State BUT I don¡¯t see Notre Dame beating themselves. Strong dose of running game and ball control. 
Notre Dame to cover the 7.5.

If Penn State is the team that played against Oregon, then the hype is for real. Offensively they can go toe to toe with anyone in the country. I think the best play is Over 53.5 against an SMU team that can give up the big play. I also like Penn State over TT. SMU is going to be fighting up hill all day IF Penn State¡¯s offense shows up like the Oregon game. I hope they do. 

Texas (who I think is completely overrated) rolls in this one. Clemson hits big plays and has no running game. Clemson then proceeds to get shut down in the second halves. I think Texas is too balanced, makes Clemson one dimensional and wins by about 17 in a game where they control from start to finish.

Is this the game where Ohio State uses their best position on the field and spread out the WR? I think this total is too low. Tennessee plays tempo, and even though they have had trouble scoring against very good defenses, they can find the end zone a few times at least. Ohio State needs to throw to set up the run. Egbuka and Smith need to go eat. If those guys can eat, Ohio State can beat anyone in the country. The problem is the coaches hold them back. Give me the Over 46.5 in a high scoring affair. 

Futures:

To me, the favorites (Oregon, Georgia, Texas) you can ML Rollover and get better value than a straight Futures play.

I like Arizona State +320 to make the Semifinals. I also like Boise State +270 to make the Semifinals and +1440 to make the Final.

Boise lost by 3 in Eugene. Boise has SMU or Penn State and if they get by, a Notre Dame or depleted Georgia team. Georgia is good BUT isn¡¯t the same. I think it¡¯s worth a flyer on Boise State.

Notre Dame +700 to win the Title has legs also. ND -1.5 Lookahead vs Georgia. ND can get to the Final and I can hedge depending on who is there.

Half a Unit on the Futures. Good luck to all. 

We'll see.  Notre Dame has proven again and again they can't play with the elite when it comes to bowl games & playoffs.  Then again, I don't see a powerhouse team outside of undefeated Oregon, but they can be taken out in the 2nd round by Ohio St.  I do think Georgia is massively overrated and will be on Notre Dame if they matchup next round.  Texas comes up a little bit short offensively.  I like the winner in the likely matchup between Oregon and Ohio St to take the crown.  Wouldn't sleep on Penn St.

Indiana's cinderella story ends on Friday.  They had a great year though.  Nothing to be ashamed about.

I have watched about 6 Clemson games. Klubnik will lose you games more often than not. He's up against a pretty darn good Texas defense. Don't see Clemson doing much on offense. Probably get some garbage points at the end when the game has been decided 

GL