Boisestateand8

Wow, where has the time gone? We are down to the last week of the regular season, and it's my favorite week of the year; RIVALRY WEEK! Chaos reigned supreme in Week 13 with a few top teams going down in flames, and a few more getting major scares. This week will determine which teams play in their respective conference title games, while the CFP lineup continues to take shape. 

MAC

Tuesday 

Toledo (-8) at AKRON - Rockets were eliminated from playing in the MAC title game after being dominated at home by Ohio last week, 24-7. They're just 2-6 ATS as chalk, including 0-3 on the road, and I have to question their motivation here in a meaningless game against an Akron team that's 2-9, but still trying.

BUFFALO (-21) vs Kent St. - It's the Bulls or nobody in this tragedy, over the hapless Golden Flashes.

Friday

BOWLING GREEN (-3) vs Miami OH - Winner of this one will play for the conference championship next week. Both coaches have been around for a while, and Chuck Martin has won three of four meetings over Scot Loeffler, with the Redhawks winning all three at home, including a 27-0 shutout over the Bee Gees a year ago. Both teams are coming in hot; six straight for Miami OH (4-2 ATS, 6-0 ITS) and five in a row for BGSU (3-1-1 ATS). Flip a coin in this one.

OHIO (-14', up from. -14) vs Ball St. - Bobcats outgained Toledo 360 total yards to 195, and rushed for 231 yards (4.2 YPR), holding the Rockets to just 27 (1.1). If they win here, which they should, they'll play for the MAC title. Ohio is 5-0 SU, and 4-0 ATS and ITS at home (+145.4 YPG), winning by an average score of 32-12. Lean to Ohio U. on Senior Day, over the 3-8 Cardinals.

Saturday 

WESTERN MICHIGAN (-6') vs Eastern Michigan - Winner goes bowling and the loser goes home for the holidays. Both teams have been stuck on five wins for a while. EMU has lost four straight (1-3 ATS), and WMU has dropped their last three, SU and ATS. Eastern has won four of the last five meetings, but lost at home a year ago, 45-21. Gun to my head I'd probably take the EMUs. 

NORTHERN ILLINOIS (-13) vs Central Michigan - Chippewas (4-7) have won four of the last five, including a 37-31 home win a year ago. Huskies have clinched a bowl bid, and MAY be motivated to send their seniors out with a winning record.

@Fuse

@Macwestie1

@umgmu

@CanadaCup

Also 

3* RAIDERS +5' over Broncos

3* RAIDERS +5' over Broncos

@umgmu

 Yeah, it would've been a solid day if I hadn't put so many eggs in the Indiana basket. 

One play today (MAYBE another one later)

3* PANTHERS +10' over Chiefs

Just one. Maybe another later today.

3* PANTHERS +10' over Chiefs

@mjm1012

Dang! I guess I should of parlayed those three night games! Woulda, coulda, shoulda.....

The rest of my college card.  Getting down to the end of my war chest for the year. 

3* OKLAHOMA +14 over Alabama

3* Vanderbilt +9' over LSU 

3* DUKE +2' over Virginia Tech 

@Troioitroi

 ?

Well........that was fun. 

@Fuse

@umgmu

@WahooS

I hope I hit it too brother! Tried to talk myself out of it, but I'm going with the better coach, with an extra week to prepare, and an underdog with a chip on their shoulder. I made a similar bet with a similar team under similar circumstances in the 2007 Fiesta Bowl, hence my user name, Boise State and 8. 

Ok, enough of the second guessing. That's what you do when you're having a bad year. I've had my eye on this game all season and I'm gonna snap the rubber band!

10* Indiana +11 over OHIO ST. - My one and only college game of the year. Lord have mercy. Eyeballing a couple others for later.

@Yanasaur

@umgmu

@Mskeets

Saturday night

Notre Dame -14 vs Army (at Yankee Stadium) - Still leaning Army but I don't know if I'll play it. Huge step up in class for the Black Knights. If they can jump on the Irish early they have a chance. But if they're down by two or three scores they're not built to catch up. Also, how healthy is Bryson Daily? He didn't play against Air Force and seemed limited at North Texas two weeks ago. He's had an extra week to heal up with the bye, but is he 100%? That's the question.

TEXAS ST. -21 vs Georgia St. - Still leaning towards the Bobcats, but there are better games on the board. They should win this one by however many they want.

OLD DOMINION -2' vs Marshall - I think the wrong team MAY be favored here. The Thundering Herd are a money making 7-1-1 ATS this year, but it's a little disturbing that they're just 2-6-1 ITS. They've gotten a lot of breaks. Weird stat: ODU is 5-18 SU and ATS when coming off a loss of 13 or fewer points. Leaning Marshall still, but this line smells fishy.

LSU -7' vs Vanderbilt - Diego Pavia is expected to start in this one, after he and several other banged up players had a week off to heal. Even after the loss to South Carolina two weeks ago, Vandy is 6-1 ATS as a dog this year with four outright wins! The Bayou Bengals are a dysfunctional hot mess right now and it kinda looks like Brian Kelly may have lost the locker room. I like Vanderbilt here. Another outright win?

Virginia Tech -3 at DUKE - It's Senior Day in Durham, the Blue Devils are 15-3 SU and 12-3 ATS at home over the last two plus years, including 5-1 ATS as a dog, and Manny Diaz is 10-1 ATS in his career as a single digit dog. I'm down with Duke.

Usc -4' at UCLA - Leaning Trojans but not playing it. Jayden Maiava gave them a spark last week and the road team has won the last four. 

My God! Worse QB play I've seen all year. 

Horrible. He's been staring down his receivers all night. How the hell did he pass for over 400 last week? 

@DrStrangelove