Biscuit

IMO there are a couple of things working against the Hawks

Geno has a knee injury and if he gets knocked out then it¡¯s Sam Howell who hasn¡¯t looked very good at all

bears skill players > hawks skill players¡­¡­which means they at least have the potential to win or cover

season turnover differential 

hawks -7

bears +8

Bears could easily be +2 turnovers in this game, which could be the difference 

Bears have lost last 3 games by DD, an avg of 20 pts/game.    If they lose tonight, they will have two 10 game losing streaks in the last 3 seasons.    It makes me wonder who will have more motivation + better energy in this game?   Will pride be a factor?

Those are the best reasons I can think of to take the Bears.

Yeah I posted this earlier but the correct stat is 4 teams that haven¡¯t scored 31 points this season are¡­..

Giants (2-13)

Raiders (3-12)

Patriots (3-12)

Chiefs (14-1)

yeah I had that too

you can get to live by using the remote

I hit the > button then two options appeared on screen

¡°Play from beginning¡±

¡°Watch live¡±

scroll up and choose ¡°watch live¡±

another small play @kc

OT YES +1800

Mahomes ticket cashed pretty quickly 

adding Justice Hill Over 33¡¯ rush + rec yds -115

in 3 previous games vs Steelers he has 41 26 45 total yds

steelers are at a schedule disadvantage, 4th road game in last 5 games

they¡¯ve allowed avg 358 yds/game in the last 3, ranking them #23

ravens offense should have a good day, or at least better than they did last meeting in Pittsburgh 

GLTA 

adding Mahomes Over 10¡¯ rush yds small play

texans pass rush might force him out of the pocket and allow him to pick up some rushing yards

@Fuse 

@Biscuiteater1 

ITS THE END OF THE SEASON DASH FOR THE CASH

LETS GET IT !!

I got Chiefs +1¡¯ early before the line changed so hopefully we both cash that one.    I sorta like the bears too in this spot but from what I¡¯ve seen recently it is such a pathetic organization I¡¯m reluctant to back them at any price.   

BOL on your plays 

Nice catch!    I looked it up, chiefs actually scored 30 twice, vs Bucs and @panthers.    I got that nugget of info off of a fan forum, it was presented with a nice graphic so I thought it must be true lol.     Just a reminder that we can¡¯t believe everything we read.

the other info I presented was taken from more legit stat sites.

thanks for the correction. 

@begginerboy

 GL with your plays 

I like jaxon smith njigba over 62¡¯ rec yards -115 DK 

JSN receiving yards in last 7 games

83

82

74

77

110

180

69

vikings D ranks #31 allowing 24.1 completions/game 

I¡¯m sitting here working, with the rebroadcast of last nights game on in the background.    They showed a split screen with both coaches, and I just realized they are both ex bears QBs.    It¡¯s kind of funny, in a way, bears QBs find more success after they¡¯re done playing than when they¡¯re with the team

Yeah you guys know what I¡¯m talking about 

my favorite example was the 21-22 season.   Last game, colts win and they¡¯re in the playoffs.    They play @ jags who only have 2 wins, but the colts never win in Florida.   I mean it was like 8 or 9 years since they had won as visitor, but they were installed as 15 point favorite, just because they needed the win.    Jags won 26-15 I think.   I made a packet on that game lol

dogs are barking at this time of the year¡­¡­

When I was a young guy the season was 14 weeks.   It¡¯s funny to think that we¡¯re in week 16, with 2 more weeks to follow¡­..but here we are¡­..

Rodgers career record vs Stafford is 13-4 but with different teams obviously 

Will Rodgers break the sacked record this season?  career sacked leaders

570 Tarkenton

565 Brady 

563 Rodgers

Stafford¡¯s career longest streak without an INT was 4 games, until he stretched it to 5 in the last game vs 49ers.    Will he stretch it to 6 games vs the Jets, who have a puny total of 4 INTs this season?

there are 4 teams who haven¡¯t scored 30 points once this season

Giants

Pats

Raiders

Chiefs

 I would love to fade the bears once again as they continue their death march to the end of the season, but I don¡¯t trust Goff, especially when playing outdoors   Career record at soldier field is

1-3 W-L

58% completions

4 TD

6 INT 

49ers have had injury issues but I have a hunch they will beat the fins even if Frank Gore has to suit up to play at RB

I¡¯ve lost billions wagering on teams who needed to win to stay alive for the playoffs, or who needed to win to improve their playoff seeding.   Not gonna do that anymore¡­..

Joe Public has been winning so far this season.    Favs currently lead dogs 115-103-7 (according to Covers) and Overs lead Unders 116-105.     I expect the tables will turn in the last 3 weeks.    I wonder if one might be able to pick up a few units by betting all dogs and Unders in the last 47 games?    Will check back after the season to see what happens

Great BK commercial, I had forgotten about that one.

I do remember when Young signed a 10 year $40 million contract with the LA Express of the USFL.   that was record breaking at the time, back in the mid 80s.    Now, some guys are making more than that each season.   

Europa 

yeah Steve Young only rushed for 18 yds/game when he won the SB.   Mahomes has been in the high teens + low 20s.    I think Rodgers and BenR may have been in the low 20s.    I lost a bunch of data, I¡¯m going from memory of the research I did.   Anyway these guys like Hurts Allen Jackson all run more than previous SB winning QBs.   Not to say that they can¡¯t win, but if they do it¡¯d be the exception to the rule.

running QBs seem to have limited success in the postseason.   IIRC the only running QB who has won a SB is Russell Wilson, and he was on a team with a great defense that played a big part in their success.   I think Wilson averaged 33 rush yds/game that season, the only QB to win a SB with 30+ yds/game.    Most of the other SB winning QBs averaged 0-25 yards per game rushing.

I like Sean Payton

I had Broncos Over 5¡¯ wins and cashed that ticket a month ago

this is all true¡­.but I¡¯d think twice before unloading on the lions.   Look at Goffs splits, he¡¯s not nearly as good when playing outdoors.   Last meeting in Chicago Justin Fields outplayed him, and the bears as 3 point pup won SU 28-13

I¡¯ve been fading the bears in recent weeks but right now I¡¯m thinking I will pass on this game

Nice writeups, well done

It all looks good to me except I¡¯m leaning to chiefs Under

GL