US Open 2024 Women's Tennis Odds, Favorites, & Sleepers: In Her Aryna

While Coco Guaff enters as the defending champion, Aryna Sabalenka is the in-form player right now and according to our tennis expert, she's the woman to beat at Flushing Meadows.

Kenny Ducey - Betting Analyst at Covers
Kenny Ducey ? Betting Analyst
Aug 23, 2024 ? 18:42 ET ? 4 min read
Aryna Sabalenka WTA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The final Grand Slam of the year is upon us as the 2024 US Open is set to get underway in New York on Monday.

American Coco Gauff has been searching for some form this summer, but she’ll return to the site of her first Grand Slam victory to defend her title against a field that seems incredibly wide open this year.

Aryna Sabalenka seems to be the player who’s decidedly playing the best tennis in the world right now, but what about the other names we’ve grown accustomed to seeing lift trophies?

Let’s get into the U.S Open odds and preview the 2024 US Open.

US Open 2024 women's singles odds

Player DraftKings
Aryna Sabalenka +250
Iga Swiatek +380
Coco Gauff +850
Elena Rybakina +900
Jessica Pegula +1,200
Mirra Andreeva +2,200
Naomi Osaka +2,800
Danielle Collins +3,000
Qinwen Zheng +3,000
Paula Badosa +3,500

Odds as of 8-23-2024.

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US Open 2024 women's favorites

Who's hot

Aryna Sabalenka (+250)

It’s hard to say who’s really hot on the WTA tour right now, but I think we say for certain that Sabalenka is one of the few.

The Belarusian may have fallen in the semifinals of the Citi Open earlier in the month and exited Toronto in the quarters, but she still managed to piece together quality wins and built off those performances by taking home the 1000-level event in Cincinnati last week.

Sabalenka could soon be the No. 1 player in the world, and the next two weeks will go a long way towards getting her there. She’s now reached the semifinals or better in each of her last three trips to the US Open and her powerful game should be on full display on these fast courts.

Jessica Pegula (+1200)

Pegula’s the hottest player in the world right now, winning the other 1000-level event this month in Toronto before reaching the final of Cincinnati where she’d fall to Sabalenka.

It hasn’t been the easiest season for Pegula, who’s missed some time due to injury, but she did look like a hopeful winner at Wimbledon after taking the title on grass in Berlin this summer and after a quick trip to Paris, where she struggled on a dreaded clay-court once again, she’s returned in top form on the hardcourts this summer and in all honesty, should be one of the favorites to win this year’s US Open.

Amanda Anisimova (+8000)

Aside from the above names, the only other player to reach the quarterfinals or better in each of her last two tournaments leading up to the US Open is Anisimova.

The American has caught fire on the hardcourts this month, taking out Sabalenka and the talented Emma Navarro en route to the Toronto final, and appeared in the quarters of the Citi Open in late August after making her way through qualifying.

We know the talent is there for Anisimova, and she’s twice reached the fourth round of the Australian Open with some big names standing in her way. After posting a 13-4 hardcourt record this year, she warrants consideration.

Who's not

Iga Swiatek (+380)

It’s not often we can say Swiatek is not hot, but this seems to be one of those times. Yes, she’s won five titles this season and has lost just seven times, and we’re not here to say that she’s not still one of the two best players in the world.

What we can say, though, is that it’s been a weird summer. She’s never had great success on grass, so losing in the third round of Wimbledon was no shocker. She did suffer a massive upset against Qinwen Zheng in the semifinals of the Olympics, at Roland Garros where she rarely loses. She followed that up with a meek run in Cincinnati which saw her bounced in the semis by Sabalenka.

That’s the form book on Swiatek. She’s played three events in two months and will now enter the US Open, which she has won once – but in her other four appearances, she failed to make it out of the fourth round.

Coco Gauff (+850)

A year ago, Gauff entered the US Open with a head of steam after taking out Swiatek in a 1000-level tournament and playing the best tennis of her career. That led her to the title in Flushing, but this year feels much different.

The flaws in Gauff’s game are still very much present, and now she’s struggling to take very winnable matches. She’s lost two in a row heading into the US Open after dropping her second-round match in Cincinnati to Yulia Putintseva and losing in just her second match at the Rogers Cup to Diana Shnaider. Prior to that, her stay in Paris ended after just two matches when she lost in the fourth round of the Olympics to Donna Vekic.

Elena Rybakina (+900)

Rybakina is one of those players who can turn it on at any moment with her massive serve and forehand, and she does favor quick courts which always makes her a threat at the US Open.

With that said, we’re trying to lay out the form here – and Rybakina has been missing in action this summer with just one match since her semifinal run at Wimbledon which was a loss to Leylah Fernandez in Cincinnati.

Rybakina has battled several injuries this year and hasn’t really gotten it going quite yet, and she’ll need to build form and confidence on the fly at the US Open.

US Open 2024 women's sleepers

Players to watch

Jasmine Paolini (+3500)

Sure, why not? Paolini is having the best year of her long career in 2024 and her run to the French Open final hardly looks like a fluke. She followed it up with another final at Wimbledon, and earlier in the year won her first 500-level event in Dubai.

Paolini hasn’t played a ton since Wimbledon, losing in her third Olympics match and splitting a pair of matches in Cincinnati. She’s still made back-to-back Grand Slam finals and has played a wealth of matches on hardcourts in the last two years, so she’s worth a dart throw.

Jelena Ostapenko (+8000)

Ostapenko can breathe a sigh of relief now that she knows Victoria Azarenka isn’t in her quarter of the draw. It seems that the Belarusian is the only player in the world she’d admit she would be an underdog against, but with a good draw here I think the sky’s once again the limit for this exciting player.

The former French Open champion doesn’t enter this one with the greatest form in the world, but she turned it up for the last slam we had with a quarterfinal run at Wimbledon and she did showcase stellar form on the hardcourts in Australia to begin the year.

Ostapenko took out Swiatek en route to the quarterfinals here a year ago and we shouldn’t doubt her here, particularly with the shaky Rybakina the only giant in her way.


US Open long shots to avoid

Madison Keys (+5000)

I have to include her here after she made the semifinals of the US Open a year ago and looked like a potential champion at Wimbledon.

It was there in London that the injury bug once again caught Keys, and it doesn’t seem as if she’s fully recovered after being forced to retire in her only match since that unfortunate departure when she bowed out of Toronto in the second round against Peyton Stearns.

Keys has a ton of ability, but injuries have been a major problem for her in her career and she’s now 29 years old. If she does remain in the draw, I’d stay away here.

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Kenny Ducey - Covers
Betting Analyst

Kenny Ducey has worked in sports media for more than 10 years and began his journey as a credentialed reporter with Fordham University's WFUV Sports before moving on to Sports Illustrated. There, he wrote about baseball, basketball, and tennis - twice covering the NBA Finals.

He's been in the betting space for seven years, and has established himself as a top expert in MLB and tennis handicapping with brands like Tennis Channel, NBC Sports, and DraftKings. He's also been a frequent guest on betting shows such as MLB's Bettor's Eye and Tennis Bets Live.

Kenny has a knack for identifying underappreciated pitchers and tennis players as moneyline underdogs and credits his unique data analysis and hours of watching sports as the biggest reasons for success through the years. His best advice to bettors? Watch the games, trust your eye, and always question the public narrative.

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