Wimbledon Men's Final Odds & Predictions: Alcaraz Avenges Last Year's Defeat to Djokovic

A hotly-anticipated rematch between Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic awaits tennis fans on Sunday at Wimbledon, and our free betting picks expect Alcaraz to reverse the result from last year's defeat.

Phil Naessens - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Phil Naessens ? Betting Analyst
Jul 13, 2024 ? 12:22 ET ? 4 min read
Alcaraz Wimbledon 2024
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

World No. 2 Novak Djokovic seeks a record eighth Wimbledon title yet is the Wimbledon odds underdog when he meets defending champion Carlos Alcaraz in a rematch of their five-set, 2023 Wimbledon final.

Alcaraz could become the sixth man in the Open Era to win the French Open and Wimbledon in the same season and the last to do so since Djokovic pulled off that feat in 2018.

It’s always special when these two meet, and my Alcaraz vs. Djokovic predictions and free betting picks for Sunday’s finale expect the 21-year-old Spaniard to come out on top on Sunday, July 14. 

Wimbledon Men's Final picks and predictions

Click on each prediction to read full analysis.

Best Wimbledon bonuses

BetMGM New Users
Get a no-sweat first bet
Up to $1,500! Claim Now
See our BetMGM Sportsbook review

Caesars New Users
Get up to $1,000 in bonus bets
If your first bet loses! Claim Now with code COVERSBONUS1000
See our Caesars Sportsbook review

Eligible USA locations only. Also, see our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2024.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic odds

(3) Carlos Alcaraz (2) Novak Djokovic
-145 Moneyline +115
-1.5 (-110) Game spread +1.5 (-115)
Over 41.5 (-105) Total games Under 41.5 (-120)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook on 7-13-2024.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic match prediction

No. 3 Carlos Alcaraz and No. 2 Novak Djokovic will meet for the sixth time as professionals and third time in a Grand Slam when the All-England Club hosts what should be an incredible finale.

This Wimbledon run has not been easy for Alcaraz. The defending French Open and Wimbledon champion survived a third-round scare vs. Frances Tiafoe but dropped just one set across his last three matches leading up to Sunday’s encounter with Djokovic.

His past matches against Djokovic haven’t been easy either as the Serbian legend boasts a 3-2 record over his Spanish rival with Djokovic turning Carlitos into Gumby in their 2023 French Open semi.

Djokovic is seeking a record eight Wimbledon titles and Sunday marks his record-setting 37th Grand Slam final appearance. He’s four weeks removed from knee surgery yet has dropped two sets through five matches without any real test, nor has he faced a Top 10 player.

Djokovic survived some long, punishing rallies in Friday’s semifinal with Lorenzo Musetti, but Alcaraz is a different beast. Alcaraz can win in numerous ways with huge weapons from both wings with an improving serve and volley game that hurt Djokovic in last year's final. Djokovic is as tough as there is on grass, but Alcaraz should successfully defend his title. 

Prediction: Alcaraz moneyline (-145 at DraftKings)

Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic best bet

I like Alcaraz to win his fourth consecutive Grand Slam final, but he’s dropped at least one set in each of his past four matches, and the first set in three of those clashes.

Part of the problem has been his serve; Alcaraz has 21 double faults during this fortnight and those yips have cost him the first set in each of his last two matches. He went on to blast Tommy Paul and Daniil Medvedev easily after losing set one, but the opening set was an issue.

Djokovic might be coming off knee surgery, but he is one of the greatest competitors in history. His vaunted return game is partially responsible for his seven Wimbledon titles. While he may take one set, Alcaraz won’t slink away if he does.

The Serbian legend may win a set, but he hasn’t faced this kind of heat this fortnight, and Alcaraz can run and hit for days. Carlitos may have respect for his opponent, but he isn’t afraid of him, nor will he wilt if Djokovic breaks his serve. He’s going to test the Djokovic knee on every ball, and his mix of shots and ability to go from defense to attack along with the endless pressure he brings will keep this match from going longer than four sets.

Best bet: Alcaraz -1.5 sets (+130 at DraftKings)

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site
.

Pages related to this topic

Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the tennis betting podcast, This Week in Tennis.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications including SB Nation, FanSided and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. Phil curates the Chip and Charge Tennis Newsletter and pens a weekly tennis column called “10 Things About the ATP Tour," for Passing Shot Productions. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
seductrice.net
universo-virtual.com
buytrendz.net
thisforall.net
benchpressgains.com
qthzb.com
mindhunter9.com
dwjqp1.com
secure-signup.net
ahaayy.com
tressesindia.com
puresybian.com
krpano-chs.com
cre8workshop.com
hdkino.org
peixun021.com
qz786.com
utahperformingartscenter.org
worldqrmconference.com
shangyuwh.com
eejssdfsdfdfjsd.com
playminecraftfreeonline.com
trekvietnamtour.com
your-business-articles.com
essaywritingservice10.com
hindusamaaj.com
joggingvideo.com
wandercoups.com
wormblaster.net
tongchengchuyange0004.com
internetknowing.com
breachurch.com
peachesnginburlesque.com
dataarchitectoo.com
clientfunnelformula.com
30pps.com
cherylroll.com
ks2252.com
prowp.net
webmanicura.com
sofietsshotel.com
facetorch.com
nylawyerreview.com
apapromotions.com
shareparelli.com
goeaglepointe.com
thegreenmanpubphuket.com
karotorossian.com
publicsensor.com
taiwandefence.com
epcsur.com
southstills.com
tvtv98.com
thewellington-hotel.com
bccaipiao.com
colectoresindustrialesgs.com
shenanddcg.com
capriartfilmfestival.com
replicabreitlingsale.com
thaiamarinnewtoncorner.com
gkmcww.com
mbnkbj.com
andrewbrennandesign.com
cod54.com
luobinzhang.com
faithfirst.net
zjyc28.com
tongchengjinyeyouyue0004.com
nhuan6.com
kftz5k.com
oldgardensflowers.com
lightupthefloor.com
bahamamamas-stjohns.com
ly2818.com
905onthebay.com
fonemenu.com
notanothermovie.com
ukrainehighclassescort.com
meincmagazine.com
av-5858.com
yallerdawg.com
donkeythemovie.com
corporatehospitalitygroup.com
boboyy88.com
miteinander-lernen.com
dannayconsulting.com
officialtomsshoesoutletstore.com
forsale-amoxil-amoxicillin.net
generictadalafil-canada.net
guitarlessonseastlondon.com
lesliesrestaurants.com
mattyno9.com
nri-homeloans.com
rtgvisas-qatar.com
salbutamolventolinonline.net
sportsinjuries.info
wedsna.com
rgkntk.com
bkkmarketplace.com
zxqcwx.com
breakupprogram.com
boxcardc.com
unblockyoutubeindonesia.com
fabulousbookmark.com
beat-the.com
guatemala-sailfishing-vacations-charters.com
magie-marketing.com
kingstonliteracy.com
guitaraffinity.com
eurelookinggoodapparel.com
howtolosecheekfat.net
marioncma.org
oliviadavismusic.com
shantelcampbellrealestate.com
shopleborn13.com
topindiafree.com
v-visitors.net
djjky.com
053hh.com
originbluei.com
baucishotel.com
33kkn.com
intrinsiqresearch.com
mariaescort-kiev.com
mymaguk.com
sponsored4u.com
crimsonclass.com
bataillenavale.com
searchtile.com
ze-stribrnych-struh.com
zenithalhype.com
modalpkv.com
bouisset-lafforgue.com
useupload.com
37r.net
autoankauf-muenster.com
bantinbongda.net
bilgius.com
brabustermagazine.com
indigrow.org
miicrosofts.net
mysmiletravel.com
selinasims.com
spellcubesapp.com
usa-faction.com
hypoallergenicdogsnames.com
dailyupdatez.com
foodphotographyreviews.com
cricutcom-setup.com
chprowebdesign.com
katyrealty-kanepa.com
tasramar.com
bilgipinari.org
four-am.com
indiarepublicday.com
inquick-enbooks.com
iracmpi.com
kakaschoenen.com
lsm99flash.com
nana1255.com
ngen-niagara.com
technwzs.com
virtualonlinecasino1345.com
wallpapertop.net
casino-natali.com
iprofit-internet.com
denochemexicana.com
eventhalfkg.com
medcon-taiwan.com
life-himawari.com
myriamshomes.com
nightmarevue.com
healthandfitnesslives.com
androidnews-jp.com
allstarsru.com
bestofthebuckeyestate.com
bestofthefirststate.com
bestwireless7.com
britsmile.com
declarationintermittent.com
findhereall.com
jingyou888.com
lsm99deal.com
lsm99galaxy.com
moozatech.com
nuagh.com
patliyo.com
philomenamagikz.net
rckouba.net
saturnunipessoallda.com
tallahasseefrolics.com
thematurehardcore.net
totalenvironment-inthatquietearth.com
velislavakaymakanova.com
vermontenergetic.com
kakakpintar.com
begorgeouslady.com
1800birks4u.com
2wheelstogo.com
6strip4you.com
bigdata-world.net
emailandco.net
gacapal.com
jharpost.com
krishnaastro.com
lsm99credit.com
mascalzonicampani.com
sitemapxml.org
thecityslums.net
topagh.com
flairnetwebdesign.com
rajasthancarservices.com
bangkaeair.com
beneventocoupon.com
noternet.org
oqtive.com
smilebrightrx.com
decollage-etiquette.com
1millionbestdownloads.com
7658.info
bidbass.com
devlopworldtech.com
digitalmarketingrajkot.com
fluginfo.net
naqlafshk.com
passion-decouverte.com
playsirius.com
spacceleratorintl.com
stikyballs.com
top10way.com
yokidsyogurt.com
zszyhl.com
16firthcrescent.com
abogadolaboralistamd.com
apk2wap.com
aromacremeria.com
banparacard.com
bosmanraws.com
businessproviderblog.com
caltonosa.com
calvaryrevivalchurch.org
chastenedsoulwithabrokenheart.com
cheminotsgardcevennes.com
cooksspot.com
cqxzpt.com
deesywig.com
deltacartoonmaps.com
despixelsetdeshommes.com
duocoracaobrasileiro.com
fareshopbd.com
goodpainspills.com
hemendekor.com
kobisitecdn.com
makaigoods.com
mgs1454.com
piccadillyresidences.com
radiolaondafresca.com
rubendorf.com
searchengineimprov.com
sellmyhrvahome.com
shugahouseessentials.com
sonihullquad.com
subtractkilos.com
valeriekelmansky.com
vipasdigitalmarketing.com
voolivrerj.com
zeelonggroup.com
1015southrockhill.com
10x10b.com
111-online-casinos.com
191cb.com
3665arpentunitd.com
aitesonics.com
bag-shokunin.com
brightotech.com
communication-digitale-services.com
covoakland.org
dariaprimapack.com
freefortniteaccountss.com
gatebizglobal.com
global1entertainmentnews.com
greatytene.com
hiroshiwakita.com
iktodaypk.com
jahatsakong.com
meadowbrookgolfgroup.com
newsbharati.net
platinumstudiosdesign.com
slotxogamesplay.com
strikestaruk.com
trucosdefortnite.com
ufabetrune.com
weddedtowhitmore.com
12940brycecanyonunitb.com
1311dietrichoaks.com
2monarchtraceunit303.com
601legendhill.com
850elaine.com
adieusolasomade.com
andora-ke.com
bestslotxogames.com
cannagomcallen.com
endlesslyhot.com
iestpjva.com
ouqprint.com
pwmaplefest.com
qtylmr.com
rb88betting.com
buscadogues.com
1007macfm.com
born-wild.com
growthinvests.com
promocode-casino.com
proyectogalgoargentina.com
wbthompson-art.com
whitemountainwheels.com
7thavehvl.com
developmethis.com
funkydogbowties.com
travelodgegrandjunction.com
gao-town.com
globalmarketsuite.com
blogshippo.com
hdbka.com
proboards67.com
outletonline-michaelkors.com
kalkis-research.com
thuthuatit.net
buckcash.com
hollistercanada.com
docterror.com
asadart.com
vmayke.org
erwincomputers.com
dirimart.org
okkii.com
loteriasdecehegin.com
mountanalog.com
healingtaobritain.com
ttxmonitor.com
nwordpress.com
11bolabonanza.com