New York @ Seattle props

The Giants are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.06 seconds per snap. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume. Our trusted projections expect Wan'Dale Robinson to earn 10.1 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among wideouts. Wan'Dale Robinson has been a more important option in his offense's passing attack this year (28.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.5%).

The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Seahawks offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.86 seconds per snap. The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. With a remarkable 55.7% snap rate (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Kenneth Walker has been among the RBs with the biggest workloads in football. The leading projections forecast Kenneth Walker to accumulate 3.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.

A rushing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a 3.5-point favorite in this game. Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Giants, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.5 per game) this year. In regards to pass protection (and the influence it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Seahawks ranks as the worst in the league this year. Noah Fant's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 75.3% to 70.5%. The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 4th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The Giants are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.06 seconds per snap. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.

The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Seahawks offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.86 seconds per snap. The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. With an exceptional 90.9% Route Participation% (89th percentile) this year, D.K. Metcalf ranks among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the NFL. D.K. Metcalf's 5.9 adjusted catches per game this season conveys a noteable growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 4.3 figure.

The Giants are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.06 seconds per snap. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume. This year, the porous Seattle Seahawks pass defense has conceded a colossal 80.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 8th-worst rate in football.