New York @ Pittsburgh props

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 49.0% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have only 124.7 offensive plays called: the fewest among all games this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: fewest in the NFL. The Giants linebackers project as the 7th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

With a 3-point advantage, the Giants are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Giants this year (a colossal 61.0 per game on average). The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Pittsburgh cornerbacks grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

With a 3-point advantage, the Giants are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Giants this year (a colossal 61.0 per game on average). The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a whopping 59.7 per game on average). The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Najee Harris has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 10.5% this year, which ranks in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs. The New York Giants pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (86.4%) versus RBs this year (86.4%).

With a 3-point advantage, the Giants are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Giants this year (a colossal 61.0 per game on average). The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a whopping 59.7 per game on average). The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 78.0% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to tight ends. The leading projections forecast Pat Freiermuth to accrue 4.2 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile among tight ends. Pat Freiermuth comes in as one of the leading TE receiving threats this year, averaging a fantastic 3.4 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.