LIVE 08:38 4th Dec 22
MIN 20 -2.5 o43.0
SEA 17 2.5 u43.0
LIVE 13:20 4th Dec 22
NE 14 14.0 o47.5
BUF 17 -14.0 u47.5
LIVE 04:00 3rd Dec 22
JAC 7 2.5 o41.5
LV 13 -2.5 u41.5
LIVE 00:55 3rd Dec 22
SF 10 -2.0 o44.0
MIA 19 2.0 u44.0
TB -4.0 o48.0
DAL 4.0 u48.0
NO 14.0 o43.0
GB -14.0 u43.0
Final Dec 19
DEN 27
LAC 34
Final Dec 21
HOU 19 3.5 o42.5
KC 27 -3.5 u42.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 17 7.5 o44.0
BAL 34 -7.5 u44.0
Final Dec 22
TEN 30 4.0 o43.5
IND 38 -4.0 u43.5
Final Dec 22
PHI 33 -4.0 o47.0
WAS 36 4.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
LA 19 -3.0 o47.0
NYJ 9 3.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
CLE 6 10.0 o45.5
CIN 24 -10.0 u45.5
Final Dec 22
NYG 7 10.0 o43.0
ATL 34 -10.0 u43.0
Final OT Dec 22
ARI 30 -5.5 o47.0
CAR 36 5.5 u47.0
Final Dec 22
DET 34 -6.5 o47.5
CHI 17 6.5 u47.5
Chicago 4th NFC North4-11
Washington 2nd NFC East10-5
CBS

Chicago @ Washington props

Northwest Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brian Robinson Receptions Made Props ? Washington

B. Robinson
running back RB ? Washington
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.8
Best Odds
Over
+125
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
1.8
Best Odds
Over
+125
Projection Rating

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Brian Robinson has played on 54.1% of his team's snaps this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile among running backs. The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.

Brian Robinson

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.8
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.8

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Brian Robinson has played on 54.1% of his team's snaps this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile among running backs. The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.

Zach Ertz Receptions Made Props ? Washington

Z. Ertz
tight end TE ? Washington
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Over
+122

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. This week, Zach Ertz is projected by the model to secure a spot in the 88th percentile among tight ends with 5.3 targets. Zach Ertz has been in the 91st percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 40.1 mark this year. Zach Ertz is positioned as one of the best pass-game TEs this year, averaging a terrific 3.6 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 85th percentile. This year, the weak Chicago Bears pass defense has been torched for a whopping 81.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 7th-largest rate in the league.

Zach Ertz

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.7

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. This week, Zach Ertz is projected by the model to secure a spot in the 88th percentile among tight ends with 5.3 targets. Zach Ertz has been in the 91st percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 40.1 mark this year. Zach Ertz is positioned as one of the best pass-game TEs this year, averaging a terrific 3.6 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 85th percentile. This year, the weak Chicago Bears pass defense has been torched for a whopping 81.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 7th-largest rate in the league.

Terry McLaurin Receptions Made Props ? Washington

T. McLaurin
wide receiver WR ? Washington
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-170

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. This week, Terry McLaurin is expected by the projections to finish in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.8 targets. Terry McLaurin's 73.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 57.1. The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board. Terry McLaurin comes in as one of the leading WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a fantastic 4.9 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.

Terry McLaurin

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.7

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. This week, Terry McLaurin is expected by the projections to finish in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.8 targets. Terry McLaurin's 73.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 57.1. The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board. Terry McLaurin comes in as one of the leading WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a fantastic 4.9 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.

Cole Kmet Receptions Made Props ? Chicago

C. Kmet
tight end TE ? Chicago
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
-114

With a 61.9% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Bears. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears this year (a massive 59.0 per game on average). The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. This week, Cole Kmet is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 85th percentile among tight ends with 5.2 targets. With a fantastic 4.4 adjusted receptions per game (89th percentile) this year, Cole Kmet places as one of the best pass-game TEs in football.

Cole Kmet

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.6

With a 61.9% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Bears. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears this year (a massive 59.0 per game on average). The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. This week, Cole Kmet is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 85th percentile among tight ends with 5.2 targets. With a fantastic 4.4 adjusted receptions per game (89th percentile) this year, Cole Kmet places as one of the best pass-game TEs in football.

DJ Moore Receptions Made Props ? Chicago

D. Moore
wide receiver WR ? Chicago
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-146

With a 61.9% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Bears. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears this year (a massive 59.0 per game on average). The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. In this week's contest, D.J. Moore is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.9 targets. The Chicago offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

DJ Moore

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.7
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.7

With a 61.9% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Bears. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears this year (a massive 59.0 per game on average). The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. In this week's contest, D.J. Moore is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.9 targets. The Chicago offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

D'Andre Swift Receptions Made Props ? Chicago

D. Swift
running back RB ? Chicago
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
-156
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
-156
Projection Rating

With a 61.9% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Bears. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears this year (a massive 59.0 per game on average). The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. D'Andre Swift has run a route on 56.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among RBs. D'Andre Swift has been one of the best pass-game RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 3.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.

D'Andre Swift

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.7
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.7

With a 61.9% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Bears. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears this year (a massive 59.0 per game on average). The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. D'Andre Swift has run a route on 56.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among RBs. D'Andre Swift has been one of the best pass-game RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 3.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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