Los Angeles @ New Orleans props

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are projected by the projections to call 68.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this game, Alvin Kamara is expected by the projections to place in the 100th percentile among running backs with 8.9 targets. Alvin Kamara's 34.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 28.9. Alvin Kamara grades out as one of the top running backs in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 4.9 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are projected by the projections to call 68.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Our trusted projections expect Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be a more important option in his team's passing offense in this week's game (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.3% in games he has played). The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Rams O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board. This year, the imposing Saints defense has conceded a puny 62.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 10th-smallest rate in the NFL.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Rams to pass on 61.7% of their chances: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.4 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Saints defense this year: 5th-most in the league. Kyren Williams's 86.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a material boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 68.1% rate.