Philadelphia @ Baltimore props

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.8% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week. The model projects the Eagles to run the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics. When it comes to safeties getting after the quarterback, Baltimore's unit has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Eagles are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan. The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a whopping 60.4 per game on average). Opposing teams have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in football. The model projects Saquon Barkley to notch 3.9 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs. Saquon Barkley rates as one of the best pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a terrific 2.5 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

This week, Mark Andrews is projected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 77th percentile among tight ends with 4.4 targets. Mark Andrews's 84.8% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects an impressive boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 74.4% figure.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Eagles are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan. The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a whopping 60.4 per game on average). Opposing teams have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in football. In this game, A.J. Brown is forecasted by the predictive model to finish in the 98th percentile among WRs with 10.2 targets. A.J. Brown's 91.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 77.6.

This week, Zay Flowers is projected by the projections to find himself in the 80th percentile among wideouts with 7.5 targets. Zay Flowers's 59.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 52.2. With a remarkable 4.7 adjusted catches per game (82nd percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates as one of the best wide receivers in the game in football.