LIVE 02:02 3rd Dec 22
MIN 20 -2.5 o43.0
SEA 17 2.5 u43.0
LIVE 14:45 3rd Dec 22
JAC 7 2.5 o41.5
LV 13 -2.5 u41.5
LIVE 09:31 3rd Dec 22
NE 14 14.0 o47.5
BUF 14 -14.0 u47.5
LIVE 10:56 3rd Dec 22
SF 10 -2.0 o44.0
MIA 16 2.0 u44.0
TB -4.0 o48.0
DAL 4.0 u48.0
NO 14.0 o42.0
GB -14.0 u42.0
Final Dec 19
DEN 27
LAC 34
Final Dec 21
HOU 19 3.5 o42.5
KC 27 -3.5 u42.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 17 7.5 o44.0
BAL 34 -7.5 u44.0
Final Dec 22
LA 19 -3.0 o47.0
NYJ 9 3.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
DET 34 -6.5 o47.5
CHI 17 6.5 u47.5
Final Dec 22
TEN 30 4.0 o43.5
IND 38 -4.0 u43.5
Final Dec 22
PHI 33 -4.0 o47.0
WAS 36 4.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
NYG 7 10.0 o43.0
ATL 34 -10.0 u43.0
Final OT Dec 22
ARI 30 -5.5 o47.0
CAR 36 5.5 u47.0
Final Dec 22
CLE 6 10.0 o45.5
CIN 24 -10.0 u45.5
Los Angeles 2nd AFC West9-6
Arizona 3rd NFC West7-8
ESPN+

Los Angeles @ Arizona props

State Farm Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ladd McConkey Receptions Made Props ? L.A. Chargers

L. McConkey
wide receiver WR ? L.A. Chargers
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
-129

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (74.3%) vs. WRs this year (74.3%). As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Arizona's group of LBs has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in football.

Ladd McConkey

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.7

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (74.3%) vs. WRs this year (74.3%). As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Arizona's group of LBs has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in football.

Will Dissly Receptions Made Props ? L.A. Chargers

W. Dissly
tight end TE ? L.A. Chargers
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.5
Best Odds
Over
+145

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this game, Will Dissly is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 84th percentile among tight ends with 4.8 targets. Will Dissly has been much more involved in his team's pass game this season (11.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (3.5%). Will Dissly's pass-catching performance gotten better this season, accumulating 2.6 adjusted catches compared to a mere 1.4 last season. Will Dissly's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 89.4% to 92.9%.

Will Dissly

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.5
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.5

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this game, Will Dissly is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 84th percentile among tight ends with 4.8 targets. Will Dissly has been much more involved in his team's pass game this season (11.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (3.5%). Will Dissly's pass-catching performance gotten better this season, accumulating 2.6 adjusted catches compared to a mere 1.4 last season. Will Dissly's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 89.4% to 92.9%.

Trey McBride Receptions Made Props ? Arizona

T. McBride
tight end TE ? Arizona
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
+115

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may suffer. In this contest, Trey McBride is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 7.5 targets. Trey McBride's 25.9% Target Rate this season indicates a material gain in his passing attack volume over last season's 20.0% figure. With an outstanding 5.6 adjusted receptions per game (97th percentile) this year, Trey McBride ranks among the leading pass-game TEs in the NFL. This year, the feeble Chargers pass defense has allowed a massive 80.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 6th-highest rate in football.

Trey McBride

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.6

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may suffer. In this contest, Trey McBride is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 7.5 targets. Trey McBride's 25.9% Target Rate this season indicates a material gain in his passing attack volume over last season's 20.0% figure. With an outstanding 5.6 adjusted receptions per game (97th percentile) this year, Trey McBride ranks among the leading pass-game TEs in the NFL. This year, the feeble Chargers pass defense has allowed a massive 80.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 6th-highest rate in football.

J.K. Dobbins Receptions Made Props ? L.A. Chargers

J. Dobbins
running back RB ? L.A. Chargers
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds
Over
+115

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this week's contest, J.K. Dobbins is anticipated by the predictive model to place in the 86th percentile among running backs with 3.5 targets. With a top-tier 11.0% Target Rate (81st percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins ranks among the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads in football. J.K. Dobbins profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to running backs, completing an impressive 92.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 76th percentile. The Cardinals pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (89.1%) to RBs since the start of last season (89.1%).

J.K. Dobbins

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.6
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.6

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this week's contest, J.K. Dobbins is anticipated by the predictive model to place in the 86th percentile among running backs with 3.5 targets. With a top-tier 11.0% Target Rate (81st percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins ranks among the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads in football. J.K. Dobbins profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to running backs, completing an impressive 92.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 76th percentile. The Cardinals pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (89.1%) to RBs since the start of last season (89.1%).

Marvin Harrison Receptions Made Props ? Arizona

M. Harrison
wide receiver WR ? Arizona
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
+104

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may suffer.

Marvin Harrison

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.5
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.5

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may suffer.

James Conner Receptions Made Props ? Arizona

J. Conner
running back RB ? Arizona
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2
Best Odds
Over
-185

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may suffer. With a top-tier 62.5% snap rate (86th percentile) this year, James Conner stands among the running backs with the highest volume in football.

James Conner

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may suffer. With a top-tier 62.5% snap rate (86th percentile) this year, James Conner stands among the running backs with the highest volume in football.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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