CF Montreal vs Inter Miami CF Predictions and Picks for Today’s MLS Matchup

Inter Miami are coming off an utterly dominant romp against one of the league's best sides, and our MLS picks for Saturday's match against Montreal FC only see this well-oiled machine continuing to hum.

Jason Ence - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Jason Ence ? Betting Analyst
May 10, 2024 ? 12:08 ET ? 4 min read
Inter Miami FC
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Lionel Messi and Inter Miami take their show on the road when they travel to face CF Montreal. 

The home fans will get to see their team for just the third time this season, where CF Montreal has yet to lose. But maintaining that record will be extremely difficult against an Inter Miami side that’s already scored 21 goals through seven matches. 
 
Find out why our CF Montreal vs Inter Miami predictions are banking on the Herons to continue rolling in our MLS betting picks for Saturday, May 11.

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami CF picks and predictions

My best bet:
Inter Miami -1.5 (+190 at TonyBet)

My analysis

When I sat down to look over the odds for this match, I fully anticipated having to lay serious juice for Inter Miami to win. After all, they’re coming off one of the most dominant halves of soccer in league history.

So, imagine my surprise to find the Herons only slightly favored to win against a CF Montreal side that has the third-worst expected goals differential in Major League Soccer. Given I anticipate a multi-goal victory for the visitors, I’ll happily take them to win by two or more at the +190 price offered by TonyBet.

And it’s not just because Lionel Messi and Inter Miami scored six goals after halftime in their thrashing of New York Red Bulls last weekend. It’s because, for the first time all season, they looked like they’re finally clicking as an entire team.

Despite Jordi Alba’s absence, among others, Tata Martino’s side was moving the ball exceptionally well. They once again fell behind early, as has been a pattern this season. But when they came out of the locker room at the break, Messi showed why he’s still one of the best players in the world and that he’s healthy again.

Messi would set up the equalizer three minutes after intermission, and two minutes later he found the back of the net himself. He would then assist four more times in the half, including a hat trick of goals for Luis Suarez

The trio of Messi, Suarez, and Robert Taylor caused real problems and Montreal’s going to struggle to contain them. Le CFM is winless in their last three, although they’ve yet to trail at home this season and are on a six-match unbeaten run. 

But Montreal has scored just 12 goals this season, and their 19.2 xGA is the worst mark in the East and second-worst in the entire league. They could only draw with Orlando in their last home match, a site that sits second-bottom in the conference. And last weekend, they were blitzed 4-1 by a Nashville side that had 10 goals in their first nine matches.

Inter Miami lost the first meeting back in March, a match that Messi missed and in which Suarez and Busquets played just a combined 37 minutes. But they racked up more xG on the day and nearly came back from a 3-1 hole.

We could play it safe and simply take Miami to win, but there’s real value in taking them to be convincing. Look for the Herons to exact revenge for the second week in a row, and put more than enough goals past Montreal’s defense to win by at least two. 

Bet on MLS soccer at TonyBet

One of Canada’s favourite sportsbooks for soccer, join TonyBet, which offers a 100% deposit match (up to $350) for new bettors!

Not available in Ontario.

Lionel Messi odds

Messi’s absurd performance last weekend did a number on his player props, but there’s still a few to look at.

Those wishing to bet on a Messi goal should rush to DraftKings where you can still get him at -125 as of Thursday night. You’ll get nothing better than -150 elsewhere as of writing. Assist markets haven’t been posted, but I expect they’ll drop in value as well.

His shot markets took the biggest hit. Last week you could get even money on 5+ shots, but now your best price currently available is -185 for that same mark. And 2+ shots on goal will only return half your stake, while you’ll need to go up to 3 SOG to get plus-odds. 

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami CF same-game parlay (SGP)

Inter Miami to win by 2+ goals

Luis Suarez to score anytime

Both teams to score Yes

Until Inter Miami keeps a team off the scoresheet, I’m going to continue to bet on both teams to score in their matches. You have to go back more than two full months to find their last clean sheet in league play, and Montreal have scored twice in each of their home matches.

The three goals for Suarez last week came on just 1.16 xG, but that’s nothing new for him. The striker’s registered just 5.99 xG on the season but now has 10 goals, and he’s good value for the final leg of this parlay to get another one. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami CF odds

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami CF live odds

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami CF opening odds

  • Moneyline: CF Montreal +150 | Inter Miami CF +160
  • Draw: +250
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 | Under 2.5

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami CF side and Over/Under analysis

  • Miami are favored at -120, and the line’s been moving since it opened as money comes in on the Herons. The draw is third favorite at +300, narrowly behind the +275 price for a Montreal win.

  • Inter Miami has now won four straight league outings and are unbeaten in six, while Montreal’s not tasted defeat in six home fixtures going back to last season.

  • The total has shifted to three goals, with the Over juiced near -140.

  • There have been 3+ goals scored in nine of Miami’s last 10 matches in MLS. 

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami CF game info

Location: Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC
Date: Saturday, May 10, 2024
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: Apple TV
Weather: 58F, wind 6-9mph, POP 7%

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami CF key injuries

CF Montreal: Matias Coccaro F (Out), Kwadwo Opoku M (Doubtful), Josef Martinez F (Out), Lassi Lappalainen M (Doubtful).

Inter Miami CF: Jordi Alba D (Doubtful), Ian Fray D (Out), Diego Gomez M (Out), Federico Redondo M (Out). 

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site
.

Pages related to this topic

Jason Ence - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jason has been hooked on soccer since watching Real Madrid and Manchester United in the 2003 Champions League, and has been betting on the sport for nearly 15 years. He has given soccer gambling and fantasy advice for nearly a decade, writing for sites including Rotowire, SB Nation, and The TwinSpires Edge.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
seductrice.net
universo-virtual.com
buytrendz.net
thisforall.net
benchpressgains.com
qthzb.com
mindhunter9.com
dwjqp1.com
secure-signup.net
ahaayy.com
tressesindia.com
puresybian.com
krpano-chs.com
cre8workshop.com
hdkino.org
peixun021.com
qz786.com
utahperformingartscenter.org
worldqrmconference.com
shangyuwh.com
eejssdfsdfdfjsd.com
playminecraftfreeonline.com
trekvietnamtour.com
your-business-articles.com
essaywritingservice10.com
hindusamaaj.com
joggingvideo.com
wandercoups.com
wormblaster.net
tongchengchuyange0004.com
internetknowing.com
breachurch.com
peachesnginburlesque.com
dataarchitectoo.com
clientfunnelformula.com
30pps.com
cherylroll.com
ks2252.com
prowp.net
webmanicura.com
sofietsshotel.com
facetorch.com
nylawyerreview.com
apapromotions.com
shareparelli.com
goeaglepointe.com
thegreenmanpubphuket.com
karotorossian.com
publicsensor.com
taiwandefence.com
epcsur.com
mfhoudan.com
southstills.com
tvtv98.com
thewellington-hotel.com
bccaipiao.com
colectoresindustrialesgs.com
shenanddcg.com
capriartfilmfestival.com
replicabreitlingsale.com
thaiamarinnewtoncorner.com
gkmcww.com
mbnkbj.com
andrewbrennandesign.com
cod54.com
luobinzhang.com
faithfirst.net
zjyc28.com
tongchengjinyeyouyue0004.com
nhuan6.com
kftz5k.com
oldgardensflowers.com
lightupthefloor.com
bahamamamas-stjohns.com
ly2818.com
905onthebay.com
fonemenu.com
notanothermovie.com
ukrainehighclassescort.com
meincmagazine.com
av-5858.com
yallerdawg.com
donkeythemovie.com
corporatehospitalitygroup.com
boboyy88.com
miteinander-lernen.com
dannayconsulting.com
officialtomsshoesoutletstore.com
forsale-amoxil-amoxicillin.net
generictadalafil-canada.net
guitarlessonseastlondon.com
lesliesrestaurants.com
mattyno9.com
nri-homeloans.com
rtgvisas-qatar.com
salbutamolventolinonline.net
sportsinjuries.info
wedsna.com
rgkntk.com
bkkmarketplace.com
zxqcwx.com
breakupprogram.com
boxcardc.com
unblockyoutubeindonesia.com
fabulousbookmark.com
beat-the.com
guatemala-sailfishing-vacations-charters.com
magie-marketing.com
kingstonliteracy.com
guitaraffinity.com
eurelookinggoodapparel.com
howtolosecheekfat.net
marioncma.org
oliviadavismusic.com
shantelcampbellrealestate.com
shopleborn13.com
topindiafree.com
v-visitors.net
djjky.com
053hh.com
originbluei.com
baucishotel.com
33kkn.com
intrinsiqresearch.com
mariaescort-kiev.com
mymaguk.com
sponsored4u.com
crimsonclass.com
bataillenavale.com
searchtile.com
ze-stribrnych-struh.com
zenithalhype.com
modalpkv.com
bouisset-lafforgue.com
useupload.com
37r.net
autoankauf-muenster.com
bantinbongda.net
bilgius.com
brabustermagazine.com
indigrow.org
miicrosofts.net
mysmiletravel.com
selinasims.com
spellcubesapp.com
usa-faction.com
hypoallergenicdogsnames.com
dailyupdatez.com
foodphotographyreviews.com
cricutcom-setup.com
chprowebdesign.com
katyrealty-kanepa.com
tasramar.com
bilgipinari.org
four-am.com
indiarepublicday.com
inquick-enbooks.com
iracmpi.com
kakaschoenen.com
lsm99flash.com
nana1255.com
ngen-niagara.com
technwzs.com
virtualonlinecasino1345.com
wallpapertop.net
casino-natali.com
iprofit-internet.com
denochemexicana.com
eventhalfkg.com
medcon-taiwan.com
life-himawari.com
myriamshomes.com
nightmarevue.com
healthandfitnesslives.com
androidnews-jp.com
allstarsru.com
bestofthebuckeyestate.com
bestofthefirststate.com
bestwireless7.com
britsmile.com
declarationintermittent.com
findhereall.com
jingyou888.com
lsm99deal.com
lsm99galaxy.com
moozatech.com
nuagh.com
patliyo.com
philomenamagikz.net
rckouba.net
saturnunipessoallda.com
tallahasseefrolics.com
thematurehardcore.net
totalenvironment-inthatquietearth.com
velislavakaymakanova.com
vermontenergetic.com
kakakpintar.com
jerusalemdispatch.com
begorgeouslady.com
1800birks4u.com
2wheelstogo.com
6strip4you.com
bigdata-world.net
emailandco.net
gacapal.com
jharpost.com
krishnaastro.com
lsm99credit.com
mascalzonicampani.com
sitemapxml.org
thecityslums.net
topagh.com
flairnetwebdesign.com
rajasthancarservices.com
bangkaeair.com
beneventocoupon.com
noternet.org
oqtive.com
smilebrightrx.com
decollage-etiquette.com
1millionbestdownloads.com
7658.info
bidbass.com
devlopworldtech.com
digitalmarketingrajkot.com
fluginfo.net
naqlafshk.com
passion-decouverte.com
playsirius.com
spacceleratorintl.com
stikyballs.com
top10way.com
yokidsyogurt.com
zszyhl.com
16firthcrescent.com
abogadolaboralistamd.com
apk2wap.com
aromacremeria.com
banparacard.com
bosmanraws.com
businessproviderblog.com
caltonosa.com
calvaryrevivalchurch.org
chastenedsoulwithabrokenheart.com
cheminotsgardcevennes.com
cooksspot.com
cqxzpt.com
deesywig.com
deltacartoonmaps.com
despixelsetdeshommes.com
duocoracaobrasileiro.com
fareshopbd.com
goodpainspills.com
hemendekor.com
kobisitecdn.com
makaigoods.com
mgs1454.com
piccadillyresidences.com
radiolaondafresca.com
rubendorf.com
searchengineimprov.com
sellmyhrvahome.com
shugahouseessentials.com
sonihullquad.com
subtractkilos.com
valeriekelmansky.com
vipasdigitalmarketing.com
voolivrerj.com
worldhealthstory.com
zeelonggroup.com
1015southrockhill.com
10x10b.com
111-online-casinos.com
191cb.com
3665arpentunitd.com
aitesonics.com
bag-shokunin.com
brightotech.com
communication-digitale-services.com
covoakland.org
dariaprimapack.com
freefortniteaccountss.com
gatebizglobal.com
global1entertainmentnews.com
greatytene.com
hiroshiwakita.com
iktodaypk.com
jahatsakong.com
meadowbrookgolfgroup.com
newsbharati.net
platinumstudiosdesign.com
slotxogamesplay.com
strikestaruk.com
techguroh.com
trucosdefortnite.com
ufabetrune.com
weddedtowhitmore.com
12940brycecanyonunitb.com
1311dietrichoaks.com
2monarchtraceunit303.com
601legendhill.com
850elaine.com
adieusolasomade.com
andora-ke.com
bestslotxogames.com
cannagomcallen.com
endlesslyhot.com
iestpjva.com
ouqprint.com
pwmaplefest.com
qtylmr.com
rb88betting.com
buscadogues.com
1007macfm.com
born-wild.com
growthinvests.com
promocode-casino.com
proyectogalgoargentina.com
wbthompson-art.com
whitemountainwheels.com
7thavehvl.com
developmethis.com
funkydogbowties.com
travelodgegrandjunction.com
gao-town.com
globalmarketsuite.com
blogshippo.com
hdbka.com
proboards67.com
outletonline-michaelkors.com
kalkis-research.com
thuthuatit.net
buckcash.com
hollistercanada.com
docterror.com
asadart.com
vmayke.org
erwincomputers.com
dirimart.org
okkii.com
loteriasdecehegin.com
mountanalog.com
healingtaobritain.com
ttxmonitor.com
nwordpress.com
11bolabonanza.com