Toronto FC vs Inter Miami Predictions & Picks for Saturday’s MLS Matchup

Just because Toronto has everything to play for doesn't mean they'll get the job done.

Jason Ence - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Jason Ence ? Betting Analyst
Oct 5, 2024 ? 11:22 ET ? 4 min read
Luis Suarez MLS
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Toronto FC looks to keep their postseason hopes alive when they host Inter Miami on Saturday in their final MLS match of the season.

Toronto FC likely needs a win and some help to reach the playoffs, clinging to the last spot in the Eastern Conference while other teams have matches in hand. With the Supporters Shield sewn up, Inter Miami is likely to rest the likes of Lionel Messi and Luis Suarez.

My Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami predictions dive into the match and explain why the Herons should still be Saturday’s choice for your soccer betting picks.

Toronto FC vs Inter Miami picks and predictions

My best bet:
Inter Miami (+188 at bet365)

My analysis

While it’s not a ‘win or go home’ scenario for Toronto FC in a mathematical sense, it might as well be. The Reds are level on points with Philadelphia and DC United, each of whom have a match in hand. Were Toronto not to get a victory on Saturday, either club could pass them with a win from their final two outings.

That’s easier said than done for a Toronto side that has freefallen towards the end of the campaign. They’re winless in their last four league fixtures, taking just one point in the process, and have lost four of their last six. In fact, they’ve claimed just 13 of a possible 48 points since mid-June. 

Wednesday night saw Toronto get thrashed in the second half by New York Red Bulls. The Red Bulls led at halftime after an Emil Forsberg penalty, but they doubled their lead just three minutes after the intermission and added two more on the other side of a Toronto penalty. 

Scoring goals has been a problem for Toronto of late. That penalty was their only marker of the match despite posting a 1.69 xG, and was only their second goal in the last four league outings. 

The absence of Lorenzo Insigne has made finding goals a bit difficult, and it won’t get any easier without their other Italian winger. Federico Bernardeschi was sent off against Red Bulls for a pair of yellow cards, and will miss Saturday’s outing.

Inter Miami’s likely going to rotate, and it’s very doubtful Lionel Messi plays at all ahead of his international duty with Argentina. Luis Suarez is probably going to see himself on the bench to begin as well. But that doesn’t mean Inter Miami won’t be able to cause problems.

In fact, Toronto faced a heavily rotated Miami side back in July. Not only did Messi not participate, but Suarez played just the final half hour while Sergio Busquets was suspended. And Inter Miami scored three goals in the opening hour, including one shortly before halftime as they won 3-1.

The public has been coming in on Toronto since Miami clinched, and I think that presents terrific value for those backing the away side. Inter Miami has won the last three meetings, and are getting hot at the right moment, as they’re unbeaten in nine straight league matches.

Toronto’s situation will require them to go for broke early in this one, and Miami has plenty of pace to hurt them on the break. The likes of Julian Gressel, Diego Gomez, and Leonardo Campana are more than capable of finding goals, and will condemn Toronto to a crushing 10th home MLS defeat. 

Toronto FC vs Inter Miami same-game parlay (SGP)

Inter Miami moneyline

Toronto FC Over 4 corners

The Reds aren’t scoring goals in part because they’re not hitting the target with their shots. Inter Miami does a good job of absorbing pressure, and it’s led to them conceding the sixth-most corners in the league. Combine the two with Toronto’s push for goals, and we should see enough blocked efforts for the home side to get at least five corners.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Toronto FC vs Inter Miami odds

Toronto FC vs Inter Miami live odds

Toronto FC vs Inter Miami opening odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto FC +125 | Inter Miami +180
  • Draw: +275
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 | Under 2.5

Toronto FC vs Inter Miami side and Over/Under analysis

  • Toronto are favorites on the 3-way money line with a price of +135 available. Miami can be had for +188, while the draw pays out at +300.

  • Money has come in on Toronto, but they’re winless in their last four in league play. They’ve also lost three straight to Inter Miami.

  • The Over 2.5 is juiced substantially. Over 3.25 on the Asian market is the closest to even odds you’ll find.

  • Miami’s seen 4+ goals in four of their last six MLS fixtures, but the only two of Toronto’s last eight matches have seen four goals registered.  

Toronto FC vs Inter Miami game info

Location: BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Date: Saturday, 10-5-2024
Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
TV: Apple TV
Weather: 64F, 8 mph winds, 0% PoP

Toronto FC vs Inter Miami key injuries

Toronto FC: Federico Bernardeschi F (Out), Lorenzo Insigne F (Doubtful), Nickeseon Gomis F (Out). 
Inter Miami: Lionel Messi F (Doubtful), Federico Redondo M (Out), Facundo Farias M (Out). 

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Jason Ence - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jason has been hooked on soccer since watching Real Madrid and Manchester United in the 2003 Champions League, and has been betting on the sport for nearly 15 years. He has given soccer gambling and fantasy advice for nearly a decade, writing for sites including Rotowire, SB Nation, and The TwinSpires Edge.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
seductrice.net
universo-virtual.com
buytrendz.net
thisforall.net
benchpressgains.com
qthzb.com
mindhunter9.com
dwjqp1.com
secure-signup.net
ahaayy.com
tressesindia.com
puresybian.com
krpano-chs.com
cre8workshop.com
hdkino.org
peixun021.com
qz786.com
utahperformingartscenter.org
worldqrmconference.com
shangyuwh.com
eejssdfsdfdfjsd.com
playminecraftfreeonline.com
trekvietnamtour.com
your-business-articles.com
essaywritingservice10.com
hindusamaaj.com
joggingvideo.com
wandercoups.com
wormblaster.net
tongchengchuyange0004.com
internetknowing.com
breachurch.com
peachesnginburlesque.com
dataarchitectoo.com
clientfunnelformula.com
30pps.com
cherylroll.com
ks2252.com
prowp.net
webmanicura.com
sofietsshotel.com
facetorch.com
nylawyerreview.com
apapromotions.com
shareparelli.com
goeaglepointe.com
thegreenmanpubphuket.com
karotorossian.com
publicsensor.com
taiwandefence.com
epcsur.com
southstills.com
tvtv98.com
thewellington-hotel.com
bccaipiao.com
colectoresindustrialesgs.com
shenanddcg.com
capriartfilmfestival.com
replicabreitlingsale.com
thaiamarinnewtoncorner.com
gkmcww.com
mbnkbj.com
andrewbrennandesign.com
cod54.com
luobinzhang.com
faithfirst.net
zjyc28.com
tongchengjinyeyouyue0004.com
nhuan6.com
kftz5k.com
oldgardensflowers.com
lightupthefloor.com
bahamamamas-stjohns.com
ly2818.com
905onthebay.com
fonemenu.com
notanothermovie.com
ukrainehighclassescort.com
meincmagazine.com
av-5858.com
yallerdawg.com
donkeythemovie.com
corporatehospitalitygroup.com
boboyy88.com
miteinander-lernen.com
dannayconsulting.com
officialtomsshoesoutletstore.com
forsale-amoxil-amoxicillin.net
generictadalafil-canada.net
guitarlessonseastlondon.com
lesliesrestaurants.com
mattyno9.com
nri-homeloans.com
rtgvisas-qatar.com
salbutamolventolinonline.net
sportsinjuries.info
wedsna.com
rgkntk.com
bkkmarketplace.com
zxqcwx.com
breakupprogram.com
boxcardc.com
unblockyoutubeindonesia.com
fabulousbookmark.com
beat-the.com
guatemala-sailfishing-vacations-charters.com
magie-marketing.com
kingstonliteracy.com
guitaraffinity.com
eurelookinggoodapparel.com
howtolosecheekfat.net
marioncma.org
oliviadavismusic.com
shantelcampbellrealestate.com
shopleborn13.com
topindiafree.com
v-visitors.net
djjky.com
053hh.com
originbluei.com
baucishotel.com
33kkn.com
intrinsiqresearch.com
mariaescort-kiev.com
mymaguk.com
sponsored4u.com
crimsonclass.com
bataillenavale.com
searchtile.com
ze-stribrnych-struh.com
zenithalhype.com
modalpkv.com
bouisset-lafforgue.com
useupload.com
37r.net
autoankauf-muenster.com
bantinbongda.net
bilgius.com
brabustermagazine.com
indigrow.org
miicrosofts.net
mysmiletravel.com
selinasims.com
spellcubesapp.com
usa-faction.com
hypoallergenicdogsnames.com
dailyupdatez.com
foodphotographyreviews.com
cricutcom-setup.com
chprowebdesign.com
katyrealty-kanepa.com
tasramar.com
bilgipinari.org
four-am.com
indiarepublicday.com
inquick-enbooks.com
iracmpi.com
kakaschoenen.com
lsm99flash.com
nana1255.com
ngen-niagara.com
technwzs.com
virtualonlinecasino1345.com
wallpapertop.net
casino-natali.com
iprofit-internet.com
denochemexicana.com
eventhalfkg.com
medcon-taiwan.com
life-himawari.com
myriamshomes.com
nightmarevue.com
healthandfitnesslives.com
androidnews-jp.com
allstarsru.com
bestofthebuckeyestate.com
bestofthefirststate.com
bestwireless7.com
britsmile.com
declarationintermittent.com
findhereall.com
jingyou888.com
lsm99deal.com
lsm99galaxy.com
moozatech.com
nuagh.com
patliyo.com
philomenamagikz.net
rckouba.net
saturnunipessoallda.com
tallahasseefrolics.com
thematurehardcore.net
totalenvironment-inthatquietearth.com
velislavakaymakanova.com
vermontenergetic.com
kakakpintar.com
begorgeouslady.com
1800birks4u.com
2wheelstogo.com
6strip4you.com
bigdata-world.net
emailandco.net
gacapal.com
jharpost.com
krishnaastro.com
lsm99credit.com
mascalzonicampani.com
sitemapxml.org
thecityslums.net
topagh.com
flairnetwebdesign.com
rajasthancarservices.com
bangkaeair.com
beneventocoupon.com
noternet.org
oqtive.com
smilebrightrx.com
decollage-etiquette.com
1millionbestdownloads.com
7658.info
bidbass.com
devlopworldtech.com
digitalmarketingrajkot.com
fluginfo.net
naqlafshk.com
passion-decouverte.com
playsirius.com
spacceleratorintl.com
stikyballs.com
top10way.com
yokidsyogurt.com
zszyhl.com
16firthcrescent.com
abogadolaboralistamd.com
apk2wap.com
aromacremeria.com
banparacard.com
bosmanraws.com
businessproviderblog.com
caltonosa.com
calvaryrevivalchurch.org
chastenedsoulwithabrokenheart.com
cheminotsgardcevennes.com
cooksspot.com
cqxzpt.com
deesywig.com
deltacartoonmaps.com
despixelsetdeshommes.com
duocoracaobrasileiro.com
fareshopbd.com
goodpainspills.com
hemendekor.com
kobisitecdn.com
makaigoods.com
mgs1454.com
piccadillyresidences.com
radiolaondafresca.com
rubendorf.com
searchengineimprov.com
sellmyhrvahome.com
shugahouseessentials.com
sonihullquad.com
subtractkilos.com
valeriekelmansky.com
vipasdigitalmarketing.com
voolivrerj.com
zeelonggroup.com
1015southrockhill.com
10x10b.com
111-online-casinos.com
191cb.com
3665arpentunitd.com
aitesonics.com
bag-shokunin.com
brightotech.com
communication-digitale-services.com
covoakland.org
dariaprimapack.com
freefortniteaccountss.com
gatebizglobal.com
global1entertainmentnews.com
greatytene.com
hiroshiwakita.com
iktodaypk.com
jahatsakong.com
meadowbrookgolfgroup.com
newsbharati.net
platinumstudiosdesign.com
slotxogamesplay.com
strikestaruk.com
trucosdefortnite.com
ufabetrune.com
weddedtowhitmore.com
12940brycecanyonunitb.com
1311dietrichoaks.com
2monarchtraceunit303.com
601legendhill.com
850elaine.com
adieusolasomade.com
andora-ke.com
bestslotxogames.com
cannagomcallen.com
endlesslyhot.com
iestpjva.com
ouqprint.com
pwmaplefest.com
qtylmr.com
rb88betting.com
buscadogues.com
1007macfm.com
born-wild.com
growthinvests.com
promocode-casino.com
proyectogalgoargentina.com
wbthompson-art.com
whitemountainwheels.com
7thavehvl.com
developmethis.com
funkydogbowties.com
travelodgegrandjunction.com
gao-town.com
globalmarketsuite.com
blogshippo.com
hdbka.com
proboards67.com
outletonline-michaelkors.com
kalkis-research.com
thuthuatit.net
buckcash.com
hollistercanada.com
docterror.com
asadart.com
vmayke.org
erwincomputers.com
dirimart.org
okkii.com
loteriasdecehegin.com
mountanalog.com
healingtaobritain.com
ttxmonitor.com
nwordpress.com
11bolabonanza.com