Week 8 NFL Betting Trends: Niners Proving Vulnerable in Santa Clara

A litany of injuries has contributed to the Niners going just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games. Might that trend continue with America's Team in town for Week 8?

Joe Osborne: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Joe Osborne ? Senior Betting Analyst
Oct 23, 2024 ? 16:37 ET ? 4 min read
Jordan Mason San Francisco 49ers NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images

We’re right back at it for another week of NFL action, and it’s a great time to be an NFL bettor because we’re getting a sense of how a lot of these teams profile from a betting perspective.

For instance, the Chargers obviously profile as an Under team as their games are averaging just 31.5 combined points per game. The Ravens, meanwhile, profile as a great Over team and have done so in six of their last seven games.

We shouldn't just back those teams in that direction, but those wagers should absolutely be on your radar as the season goes on. I’ll be sure to point these situations out more often than not when they look like actionable spots — such as in this week's Chargers game against the Saints.

Check that out and the rest of my favorite NFL betting trends for every game this week below — best of luck in Week 8!

Best NFL Week 8 betting trends

Vikings vs Rams

The trends: The Vikings are 6-0 to the Over on their team total this season, the Rams are 1-5 to the Over on their team totals

There are a few different ways you can play this game. The Vikings’ number is set at 24.5, which is a number they’ve topped in four of their six games. L.A.’s number is set at 23.5, which is a number they’ve stayed Under in five of six.

See all Vikings vs. Rams trends for Week 8.

Ravens vs Browns

The trend: The Browns have gone Under their team total in every game this season

Seven games in and Cleveland still hasn’t scored more than 18 points in a game. No worries, though, because they signed Bailey Zappe to come in and save the day! Kidding aside, they have a team total of 16.5 for this matchup. This is a number they’ve failed to top in five straight games and there’s no end in sight given their uncertainty under center.

See all Ravens vs. Browns trends for Week 8.

Colts vs Texans

The trend: The Texans have gone Under in 15 of their last 21 regular season games

The Colts are also seeing a lot of low-scoring games, as four of their last six games have failed to crack 37 total points. Houston’s defense is on a nice stretch at home so far this season, where they rank third in yards allowed per play. The total sits at 46.5 points.

See all Colts vs. Texans trends for Week 8.

Packers vs Jaguars

The trend: The Jaguars are 0-4 ATS after their last four wins

Small sample size here, but like I often say, a trend needs to start somewhere, and the Jags have been unable to follow up victories with good performances. This was on full display this month when they lost to the Bears by 19 following a win over the Colts. The Packers are favored by 4.5.

See all Packers vs. Jaguars trends for Week 8.

Titans vs Lions

The trend: The Titans are 1-5 ATS this season

That one cover came in Tyler Huntley’s debut for the Dolphins. Otherwise, it’s been really bad for the Titans. Against top-tier teams, they have a 24-point loss to the Bills in a game they once led by 10, while Malik Willis and the Packers beat them by 16. Unsurprisingly, Detroit is the biggest favorite of the week at -10.5.

See all Titans vs. Lions trends for Week 8.

Falcons vs Buccaneers

The trend: Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS on the first-quarter spread

The Bucs come out flying! They rank second in first-quarter scoring, while Baker Mayfield has been especially hot early in games with a first-quarter QB rating of 117.5. Conveniently perhaps, the Falcons have been slow starters, going 2-5 ATS in the opening frame. If you like these patterns to continue, you can grab the Bucs at -1.5 (+144) in the first quarter. 

See all Falcons vs. Buccaneers trends for Week 8.

Jets vs Patriots

The trend: These teams have gone Under in five straight meetings

This has been a great matchup for those who enjoy boring, low-scoring football games. Four of these games didn’t even reach the 30-point mark and there were three separate instances of one of the sides scoring just three points. The total for this game is 41.5.

See all Jets vs. Patriots trends for Week 8.

Cardinals vs Dolphins

The trend: Kyler Murray hasn't won consecutive starts since October 2021

He’s on an 0-11 SU slide in games after a win which is the situation he’s in this week. Arizona’s offense has been incredibly flat in its two games after a win this season, scoring just 13 points in each game. With Tua returning to play quarterback for the Dolphins, Miami is a 3-point favorite. 

See all Cardinals vs. Dolphins trends for Week 8.

Eagles vs Bengals

The trend: These teams are a combined 11-2 to the first-quarter Under

Weird bet to make, sure, but it’s also been a very profitable one for these squads. The Eagles still haven’t scored a single point in the opening quarter. This matches up well against a Bengals defense ranking third in first-quarter points allowed at just 2.4. The first-quarter total for this game is 9.5.

See all Eagles vs. Benglas trends for Week 8.

Saints vs Chargers

The trend: Chargers games have an average combined score of just 31.5 points

The total for this game is 40.5 points. No Chargers game has topped 39 points this season, while four of their six have stayed below 33. Now we add in a Saints offense that’s had outputs of 10, 13, and 12 in three of its last five games... I know where I'll be putting my money. 

See all Saints vs Chargers trends for Week 8.

Bills vs Seahawks

The trend: The Bills have gone Under in 15 of their last 20 road games

It’s been a low-scoring pattern in the Bills’ road games going all the way back to the start of the 2022 season. It’s been extremely rare to see a shoutout in a Buffalo road game during this span, as only three of these 20 games reached the 50-point mark. This game in Seattle has a total of 46.5.

See all Bills vs. Seahawks trends for Week 8.

Bears vs Commanders

The trend: Caleb Williams has thrown five interceptions in three road games

With Jayden Daniels questionable to play, let’s zero in on a player prop on the other side. Williams has been much more comfortable when playing at home where he’s yet to throw a pick in three games. That Over 0.5 interceptions prop should be under strong consideration here, with the Commanders picking off both Andy Dalton (twice) and Lamar Jackson in their last two games. 

See all Bears vs. Commanders trends for Week 8.

Chiefs vs Raiders

The trend: The Chiefs are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games

Half of these have come from this season which is a bit surprising since the play of the Chiefs hasn’t been particularly stellar, especially on the offensive side. The last time the Chiefs lost a game was on Christmas Day against these Raiders, so they likely won’t be in a mood to play down to their competition. Kansas City is favored by 10. 

See all Chiefs vs. Raiders trends for Week 8.

Panthers vs Broncos

The trend: All seven Panthers games have gone Over the first-half total

The Panthers are also 1-6 ATS in the first half thanks to allowing a league-worst 22 first-half points per game, 5.7 more points than the next closest team. This game has a first-half total of 23.5 points, which the Broncos might be capable of topping on their own. The Panthers have been an amazing fade in general going back to the start of last season as they’ve gone a brutal 6-17 ATS.

See all Panthers vs. Broncos trends for Week 8.

Cowboys vs 49ers

The trend: The 49ers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games

People probably won’t be lining up to back the Cowboys on Sunday night, but confidence in the 49ers should also be hard to come by. They’ve had shocking results at home in this stretch, with five outright losses in games they were favored in. If you’re brave enough to back the Cowboys, you can grab them at +4.

See all Cowboys vs. 49ers trends for Week 8.

Giants vs Steelers

The trend: The Giants have gone Under in 16 of their last 22 games

Rock-bottom scoring is typically the norm in Giants games. This season alone, we’ve already seen them fail to reach 10 points in three games, paving the way to their games having an average combined score of just 35.3. To the surprise of no one, this game has the lowest total of the week at 36.5. 

See all Giants vs. Steelers trends for Week 8.

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Joe Osborne Senior Betting Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

An OG of gambling Twitter, Joe is an industry veteran who loves the entertainment aspect of the sports betting industry. His opinions are always backed by data and he enjoys digging into the numbers and coming up with interesting nuggets to share with sports bettors.

Joe takes a high-energy and fun approach to covering his favorite sports which include the NFL, MLB, UFC, NBA and NHL, and there’s no bet type he loves more than an NFL six-point teaser. Joe is the host of our daily sports betting program, Before You Bet, while he also leads our weekly UFC show, P4P Picks, and our 'Covers on the Ground' series where he's covered many UFC, NFL and NBA games in person. A monthly highlight for Joe is conducting interviews with UFC legend Georges St-Pierre ahead of every UFC PPV.

Outside of his work at Covers, Joe has appeared on many top media brands including ESPN Radio, Mad Dog Sports Radio, VSIN, TSN, and SportsNet. He always recommends not reading too much into narratives when placing your bets as those factors are already cooked into the lines set by oddsmakers.

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