Week 12 in the NFL wraps up with Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium between the Los Angeles Chargers and Baltimore Ravens. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 with the game airing on ESPN and ABC.
This will be a coaching showdown between brothers Jim and John Harbaugh, and my Ravens vs. Chargers predictions are betting on offensive fireworks. Here are my best NFL picks for this clash between seven-win teams on Monday, November 25.
Ravens vs Chargers MNF predictions
Who will win Ravens vs Chargers?
The Chargers are certainly live underdogs in this spot. After all, they have just as many wins as the Ravens and are playing at home. That said, they've also played a significantly weaker schedule while the Ravens are in a bounce-back spot after a tough loss against the Steelers.
Prediction: When it comes to DVOA, the Ravens are second in the league while the Chargers are ninth, and that has me expecting the visiting Ravens to come away with the W here.
My best bet
Pick: Over 50.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
My analysis
The Los Angeles Chargers are fourth in the league in defensive EPA, but I'm not convinced they're as good as that rating suggests. They've played a slew of terrible quarterbacks and offenses, and just surrendered 452 yards to Joe Burrow & Co. last week.
They'll have a tough time containing MVP candidate Lamar Jackson and a Baltimore Ravens offense that leads the league in EPA/play and success rate while ranking second in scoring with 30.4 points per game.
That said, Baltimore's defense has looked vulnerable — especially against the pass. The Ravens are 28th in the league in defensive dropback EPA and 26th in yards allowed per pass attempt (7.2). They could get lit up by an L.A. offense that has opened up its playbook and has dropped 26+ points in four straight games.
Since their bye in Week 5, the Bolts have been throwing the ball more, and Justin Herbert is seventh among QBs in adjusted EPA. The Ravens have been better against the run, but could take a massive step back in that area with All-Pro linebacker Roquan Smith and nose tackle Travis Jones questionable for Monday.
The Chargers are also dealing with several key injuries on defense. Edge rushers Khalil Mack Jr. and Bud Dupree, and cornerback Cam Hart are questionable while inside linebacker Denzel Perryman has been ruled out.
Ravens vs Chargers MNF same-game parlay
Over 50.5
Ravens -2.5
Justin Herbert Over 258.5 passing yards
This line has been bouncing between Baltimore -3 and -2.5 all week. As long as you can get the Ravens at less than a field goal, I like them on the spread. Both of these teams have seven wins, but the Chargers have played the weakest schedule in the NFL, according to ESPN, while Baltimore is 13th.
Herbert has thrown for more than 275 yards in four of his last five games, while the Ravens give up a league-high 284.5 passing yards per game.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Best Ravens vs Chargers bonus
Get $150 in bonus bets when you win with FanDuel!
New users can create an account at FanDuel and place your first bet of $5+ on the NFL, and get $150 in bonus bets if your first bet wins — PLUS a free three-month trial of NBA League Pass!
Sign up now at FanDuel Sportsbook, or learn more with our comprehensive FanDuel review.
More Monday Night Football picks from Covers
- Ravens vs. Chargers props
- Lamar Jackson odds and props
- MNF anytime TD picks
- Best Ravens vs. Chargers boosts
- Free NFL picks and predictions
Ravens vs Chargers odds
Ravens vs Chargers live odds
Ravens vs Chargers opening odds
- Spread: Baltimore -3 | Los Angeles +3
- Moneyline: Baltimore -160 | Los Angeles +135
- Over/Under: Over 50 | Under 50
Odds courtesy of FanDuel.
Ravens vs Chargers spread and Over/Under analysis
- The lookahead total was set at 46.5 but after the Chargers got in a shootout last week, the O/U reopened at 50 and has moved as high as 51.
- The Chargers are coming off a 34-27 win against the Bengals and are 7-3 SU and ATS this year.
- The Ravens lost 18-16 in Pittsburgh last week, but Jackson has historically struggled against the Steelers.
- The Ravens are 7-2 SU in their last nine games but have failed to cover in three of their last four contests.
Ravens vs Chargers betting trend to know
The Ravens are 9-2 O/U this year, cashing the Over at a league-high 81.8% rate. Find more NFL betting trends for Ravens vs. Chargers.
How to watch Ravens vs Chargers game
| Location: | SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA |
| Date: | Monday, 11-25, 2024 |
| Kickoff: | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN, ABC |
Learn how to live stream Ravens vs. Chargers for free.
Ravens vs Chargers latest injuries
Ravens vs Chargers weather
Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
See FanDuel T&Cs
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).
21+ and present in select states. FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino, LLC. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, KY, MI, NJ, OH, PA, IL, TN, VA, VT), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-522-4700 (WY), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WV).
