Falcons vs Eagles Predictions, Picks & Odds for Monday Night Football

Bijan Bullies Philly On the Ground

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan ? Senior Betting Analyst
Sep 16, 2024 ? 17:02 ET ? 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Bijan Robinson Atlanta Falcons NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Feathers will be flying on Monday Night Football when the Atlanta Falcons visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 2.

With a banged-up Kirk Cousins under center, Bijan Robinson takes center stage in my Falcons vs. Eagles predictions. Find out why in my NFL picks for Monday, September 16. 

Ryan Gilbert also has you covered with his spotlight on Jalen Hurts odds.

Falcons vs Eagles MNF prediction

My best bet
Bijan Robinson Over 64.5 rushing yards (-120 at FanDuel)

My analysis
All eyes were on Kirk Cousins’ Achilles this week, with skepticism around the health of the Atlanta Falcons’ $180 million offseason investment. 

There was no shortage of potential video evidence, from clips of Week 1’s loss against Pittsburgh to his reps in practice. I guess we’ll find out when the ball snaps Monday. But regardless of Cousins' condition, Atlanta has to do a better job running the ball.

The Falcons mustered only 89 yards rushing vs. the Steelers, handing off on 44% of their Week 1 snaps. Running back Bijan Robinson took the bulk of those carries, running 18 times for 68 yards. Atlanta has two capable ball carriers in Robinson and Tyler Allgeier, but it was Robinson who garnered 89% of snaps in the opener. 

Head coach Raheem Morris told reporters that the plan against Pittsburgh was to run more (only 21 designed runs) but penalties and miscues put the Falcons behind the chains, forcing them to throw more than they liked and putting a lot of pressure on Cousins — who was the second-most pressure passer in Week 1.

Week 2’s opponent isn’t on the same level as the Steelers’ stop unit and is working in a brand new defense from DC Vic Fangio. The Philadelphia Eagles got pushed around by the Packers in Brazil last week, allowing 163 rushing yards on 7.8 yards per carry. That left Philly 31st in EPA allowed per handoff in Week 1.

Robinson’s 18 carries in Week 1 tied the third most attempts of his young career, and Week 2 projections have him forecasted for another busy game on Monday night. Rushing yard models for Robinson range from 69 yards to almost 80 yards on the ground, with all projections sitting north of his rushing yard Over/Under total of 64.5 yards. 

My number comes out to 72 rushing yards, but I do think his output has a higher ceiling if Cousins is broken, as some believe. Mix in a soft Eagles run defense, and Robinson could run up and down Lincoln Financial Field all night.

Check out more Falcons vs Eagles prop bets courtesy of Shawn Wronka.

Falcons vs Eagles MNF same-game parlay

Bijan Robinson 60+ rushing yards

Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown

Over 46.5 

Robinson is projected for as many as 80 yards on the ground. Even modest models call for more than 60 yards rushing.

A goal-line fumble took away a Hurts TD last week. The Brotherly Shove gets in on MNF.

I really like the Eagles' offense, which could have scored more in Week 1. Atlanta faces a more passive pass rush, which helps it to get going on offense in Week 2.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Falcons vs Eagles odds

Falcons vs Eagles live odds

Falcons vs Eagles opening odds

  • Spread: Atlanta +6 (-110) | Philadelphia -6 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Atlanta +180 | Philadelphia -225
  • Over/Under: Over 48.5 (-110) | Under 48.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of FanDuel

Falcons vs Eagles spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Look-ahead lines in the summer had Philadelphia as a 3.5-point home favorite for this primetime matchup. After the events of Week 1, the official Week 2 opening spread was Eagles -6.
  • Philadelphia -6 got as high as -6.5, but with the Eagles missing top WR A.J. Brown, that spread sunk to as low as -5.5 on Sunday afternoon. According to Covers Consensus, 76% of picks are laying the points with the home team.
  • This Over/Under total was at 48.5 points in the look-ahead markets before Week 1. The official Week 2 total opened there but quickly got bet down to 46.5 O/U, with concerns around Cousins' health and Brown’s injury.

Falcons vs Eagles betting trend to know

The Philadelphia Eagles are 16-3 SU and 11-6-2 ATS as home favorites since 2021. Find more NFL betting trends for Falcons vs. Eagles.

Falcons vs Eagles game info

Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Date: Monday, 9-16, 2024
Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN or ABC

Falcons vs Eagles latest injuries

Falcons vs Eagles weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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