Falcons vs Eagles Prop Bets: Three Player Props for Monday Night Football

Barkley Runs a Marathon at Lincoln Field

Shawn Wronka - Contributor at Covers.com
Shawn Wronka ? Betting Analyst
Sep 16, 2024 ? 14:18 ET ? 4 min read
Saquon Barkley Philadelphia Eagles NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Eagles, coming off an impressive international win in Week 1, will host the Atlanta Falcons, whose offense looked much worse as questions swirl regarding Kirk Cousins' mobility post-Achilles surgery.

Saquon Barkley made the most of his Eagles debut and is in a prime position to find the end zone once again in his first home game in front of the Philly faithful. That headlines our NFL player prop picks for Monday Night Football in NFL Week 2.

To fill out your MNF bet slip, don't forget to consult Jason Logan's Falcons vs. Eagles predictions and Ryan Gilbert's spotlight on Jalen Hurts odds.

Falcons vs Eagles MNF props

Read full analysis of each pick.

Falcons vs Eagles MNF props

Prop bet #1: Saquon Barkley anytime touchdown

-185 at FanDuel

Saquon Barkley rewound the clock in Week 1, looking as explosive and elusive as he did back in his Penn State days.

He was very involved in the red zone, with his eight carries accounting for 100% of running back carries and 66.7% of all carries (with Jalen Hurts having four) and a 25% target share in the red zone.

He also accounted for 75% of the Philadelphia Eagles' touches inside the 10-yard line, with the lone non-Barkley play being a Hurts run for zero yards.

Also playing in his favor, AJ Brown is out for this game. Brown had 18 red-zone targets to the rest of the teams' 32 last year (36% target share).

Prop bet #2: Darnell Mooney Over 38.5 receiving yards

-113 at FanDuel

Atlanta Falcons receiver Darnell Mooney had a quiet Week 1 with his new team, securing just one catch for 15 yards. So why back him in Week 2?

Despite his lack of production, Mooney played nearly every snap on offense and had a 100% route participation rate. But with TJ Watt and the Steelers' front seven causing havoc, Kirk Cousins rarely had time to look Mooney's way.

Mooney (12.2 career YPR) profiles similarly in usage to Romeo Doubs (11.4 YPR last year), who was able to slip by the Eagles' young secondary for four receptions and 50 yards last week.

The Eagles also had trouble containing Jayden Reed, who racked up four receptions for 138 yards on an absurd 16.9 air yards per target. Mooney has been a similarly targeted receiver in his career.

Prop bet #3: Tyler Allgeier Over 19.5 rushing yards

-113 at FanDuel

Tyler Allgeier, a former 1,000-yard rusher as a rookie, had a quiet season opener to kick off Year 3. He touched the ball just three times but took the rock for 21 yards on those limited looks.

After an offseason of suggesting Allgeier will still have a role behind second-year back Bijan Robinson, new offensive coordinator Zac Robinson assured that Allgeier would see more action after his quiet Week 1: "That'll be week-to-week, flow of the game, all those different things".

Given that the Packers gashed the Eagles for 6.5 yards per running back carry in Week 1, it would be wise of the Falcons to follow that formula. Especially given Green Bay's success as the game went on as Josh Jacobs' strength and size wore down the Eagles' front seven — a trait Allgeier has Robinson beat on.

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Shawn Wronka - Covers
Betting Analyst

Shawn Wronka is an analytics-based sports bettor who was drawn to analytics at an early age via the stats on the back of sports cards. He began sports betting in 2016, and took an immediate interest in UFC before finding his way towards other major sports.

After years of casual betting, he took an interest in the numbers-based approach and specialized in learning and applying those techniques to niche markets such as player props, the NFL and NBA drafts, and F1. Shawn finds writing a good way to balance the time he spends on numbers, giving him an outlet to paint quantitative edges into qualitative narratives.

A graduate of the University of Wisconsin-Madison, his work has been seen in dozens of publications including the National Post, Financial Post, Calgary Herald, Vancouver Sun, and The Province.

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