The Chicago Bears face off against the Minnesota Vikings tonight in Monday Night Football action to conclude Week 15.
With these NFC North rivals trending in opposite directions, my Bears vs. Vikings predictions have Minnesota pulling away at U.S. Bank Stadium tonight.
Kick-off is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET, live on ABC.
Bears vs Vikings Monday Night Football predictions
Who will win Bears vs Vikings?
The Vikings are on a six-game win streak while the Bears have lost seven in a row. Chicago has been one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL this year and won't have much motivation down the stretch. That should lead to a win by the Vikes at home.
My best bet
Vikings alternate spread -6.5 (-118 at FanDuel)
My analysis
The Minnesota Vikings are 11-2 and are fresh off a 42-21 victory against Atlanta. Meanwhile, the Chicago Bears are on a seven-game losing streak and covered the spread just twice during that span.
To be fair, the Bears did push the Vikes into overtime before losing three weeks ago and also lost a close contest on the road in Detroit. However, they were down by 14+ points entering the fourth-quarter in both contests and only clawed back by being ultra-aggressive with a negative game script.
Caleb Williams played extremely well in that previous meeting, completing 32-of-47 passes for 340 yards. Unfortunately for the rookie quarterback, his play significantly drops off on the road and Minnesota's stop unit ranks third in the league in defensive EPA, so expect regression.
The Bears have also seen their defensive play fall off a cliff in recent weeks. They've struggled against the run all year, ranking 27th in defensive rush EPA, but their decline against the pass has been steep. Since Week 11, they are dead-last in defensive dropback EPA.
This team has looked flat under interim head coach Thomas Brown and it's fair to question just how motivated they'll be down the stretch. I'll push this spread below that key number of 7 and back the Vikes to roll at home.
Bears vs Vikings MNF same-game parlay
Vikings alternate spread -6.5
Caleb Williams Over 24.5 rushing yards
Aaron Jones Over 65.5 rushing yards
Williams has rushed for more than 25 yards in seven of his last nine games. He's averaging 36.2 rushing yards per game during that span and had 33 yards on six carries vs the Vikings in Week 12.
This blitz-happy Brian Flores defense is fifth in the league in pressure rate while Chicago's offensive line is 22nd in pressure rate allowed. Expect Williams to be forced into plenty of scrambling situations when he feels the heat in the pocket.
Chicago ranks 28th in the league in yards allowed per rush attempt (4.8) and Aaron Jones had 22 carries for 106 yards against them in their previous meeting.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Bears vs Vikings odds
Bears vs Vikings live odds
Bears vs Vikings opening odds
- Spread: Chicago +7 | Minnesota -7
- Moneyline: Chicago +240 | Minnesota -300
- Over/Under: Over 43.5 | Under 43.5
Odds courtesy of FanDuel
Bears vs Vikings spread and Over/Under analysis
- The lookahead line had Minnesota at -5.5, but after the Vikings smoked the Falcons and the Bears were crushed by the 49ers in Week 14, it re-opened at -7.
- Early money came in on the Over, which makes sense with Chicago giving up 38 points and 452 yards last week.
- Bears RB D'Andre Swift is listed as questionable but has said he'll play. Meanwhile, backup RB Roschon Johnson is out with a concussion.
- Vikings QB Sam Darnold threw for 347 yards and five TDs last week and has the fifth-best passing grade (84.4) in the league per PFF.
Bears vs Vikings betting trend to know
Chicago is 1-6 ATS on the first half spread in its last seven games. Find more NFL betting trends for Bears vs. Vikings.
Bears vs Vikings game info
| Location: | U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date: | Monday, 12-16, 2024 |
| Kickoff: | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ABC |
Bears vs Vikings latest injuries
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