Monday Night Football comes to the Mecca of sports betting when the Atlanta Falcons face the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 15.
One of the most popular props on the Sin City odds board is the anytime touchdown market, which has five players priced at 2/1 or shorter on Monday — most of whom are wearing an Atlanta jersey.
I size up these teams and give my best anytime TD NFL picks for the Falcons at Raiders on Monday, December 16.
Falcons anytime touchdown pick
Drake London anytime touchdown
+150 at FanDuel
Drake London is the second-most targeted wide receiver in the red zone this year, bringing in 13 of 20 passes inside the opponents’ 20-yard line — six of those receptions for six points.
Atlanta Falcons QB Kirk Cousins hasn’t thrown a touchdown pass during the team’s four-game losing skid, which is concerning when betting on touchdown props. But the Las Vegas Raiders are among the softer pass defenses in the NFL.
Las Vegas runs a higher rate of man-to-man coverage in the secondary, which suits London just fine in prime time. He’s the No. 8-ranked wideout versus man coverage at PFF, scoring four of his six total touchdowns against those schemes.
Player models range between 0.4 and 0.5 touchdowns for London in Week 15, which should have his anytime TD odds sitting around +113. Most books have London at +120 to score on MNF but FanDuel Sportsbooks are giving an extra 30 cents at +150.
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Raiders anytime touchdown pick
Jakobi Meyers anytime touchdown
+220 at FanDuel
Jakobi Meyers has thrived since Scott Turner took over the Las Vegas offense. With the Raiders airing it out, Meyers’ snap counts have shot through the roof and so have his targets, drawing 36 total passes in the last three games.
Behind TE Brock Bowers, Meyers is second on the team in red-zone targets with 11. He’s snatched seven of those throws, two for touchdowns.
Things will be different in Week 15, with third-string QB Desmond Ridder likely starting in place of Aidan O’Connell. However, Ridder has looked to Meyers often in his limited time under center for Vegas, targeting the 6-foot-2 WR 12 times on 44 total pass attempts.
Atlanta uses zone coverage almost exclusively (second-highest rate) and Meyers enters Week 15 as the 23rd-ranked WR against zone schemes at PFF. His biggest game of the season came against the zone-heavy defense of Denver in Week 12, catching 10 of 15 balls for 127 yards.
The Falcons have allowed a league-high 20 touchdowns to wide receivers — five from the Vikings last weekend — and rank 29th in EPA allowed per dropback. Meyers’ player projections range from 0.35 to 0.41 touchdowns in Week 15. That should put his anytime TD price around +160. Books have him as short as +175 with FanDuel offering +220.
Not intended for use in MA.
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