The winless Kent State Golden Flashes might be the worst team in the FBS, and now they head south to take on the Miami (OH) RedHawks, who are seeking a bowl bid. Kickoff at Oxford, Ohio's Yager Stadium is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET, and ESPNU will have live coverage.
Find out why my Kent State vs. Miami (OH) predictions envision the RedHawks shutting down the Golden Flashes as I serve up my best college football picks for Wednesday, November 13.
Kent State vs Miami (Ohio) prediction and best bet
My best bet
Kent State team total Under 6.5 (+140 at bet365)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.
My analysis
The Kent State Golden Flashes are having an all-time bad season at 0-9 with seven of their nine losses coming by double digits. They have also lost five games by more than 30 points, which is what the spread is tonight. They lost to three like opponents with Miami (OH) by a combined 62 points, while the RedHawks beat those three teams by a combined 40 points.
Kent State ranks in the bottom five of several stat categories on both offense and defense. They only score 15.1 points per game while allowing 46.0. They only average 235.7 total yards and 74.3 rushing yards per game while allowing 526.9 total yards and 263.8 rushing yards per contest.
The Golden Flashes are an abysmal 19.7% on converting third downs and have a completion percentage of only 46.1%. As if this wasn’t all bad enough, they now must face one of the better defenses in the MAC. Miami (OH) only allows 20.0 points per game, which ranks 25th in the country. They also only allow 194.1 passing yards per game (32nd in the country).
Moreover, we have a huge mismatch in the turnover department as well. The Golden Flashes have a -10-turnover margin which ranks 126th in the nation. Meanwhile, the RedHawks have a +4 turnover margin that ranks 37th nationally. Kent State has lost six fumbles and threw 10 interceptions this season.
The Golden Flashes have been shut out three times this season and only scored six points in another game. The RedHawks have held three teams to 14 or fewer points and those offenses were much better than this Kent State team. We could see another shutout here in Miami.
Kent State vs Miami (Ohio) same-game parlay (SGP)
Kent State team total Under 7.5
Under 45.5
Miami (OH) -17.5 — 1H
This same game parlay is going to combine several plays that lean toward a Kent State shutout and early scoring for the RedHawks. With our team total Under we will also play the game total Under. The RedHawks only score 23.2 points per game so even against a terrible defense, I do not expect them to score 40+ points and hit this total by themselves.
We will also combine the game team total Under for Kent State with the first-half team total Under. If they get shut out, then both will obviously hit. Finally, we will throw in the first-half spread for the RedHawks. They are likely to jump out to a big lead before laying off the gas in the second half. Kent State has struggled all year in the first half more so than the second half due to falling behind so early.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Kent State vs Miami (Ohio) odds
Kent State vs Miami (Ohio) live odds
Kent State vs Miami (Ohio) opening odds
- Kent State vs. Miami (Ohio) spread: Miami (Ohio) -30.5
- Kent State vs. Miami (Ohio) moneyline: Kent State +2,500, Miami (Ohio) 10,000
- Kent State vs. Miami (Ohio) Over/Under: 46.5
Odds courtesy of BetMGM
Kent State vs Miami (Ohio) spread and Over/Under analysis
- The spread opened at 30.5 and climbed as high as 32.5 before falling back to 30.5 as of Tuesday afternoon.
- Miami (OH) has covered the spread in eight of the last 10 matchups between these two teams.
- The Under has hit in nine of the last 10 matchups between these two teams.
Kent State vs Miami (Ohio) betting trend to know
Kent State have only covered the Spread in three of their last 11 games. Find more college football betting trends for Kent State vs Miami (Ohio).
Kent State vs Miami (Ohio) game info
| Location: | Yager Stadium, Oxford, OH |
| Date: | Wednesday, 11-13-2024 |
| Kickoff: | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPNU |
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Kent State vs Miami (Ohio) weather
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