Best NBA Player Props Today for 12-19: Ain't No Stoppin Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin has looked great this month, and his point total highlights our NBA player prop picks for this evening.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya ? Betting Analyst
Dec 19, 2024 ? 10:36 ET ? 4 min read
Obi Toppin Indiana Pacers NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The NBA took a break last night following the NBA Cup Final, but it jumps back into the action with a packed slate of 13 games on Thursday.

I dug through all the player props for today's games to bring you my best NBA picks, and tonight, I'm betting on Jamal Murray, Obi Toppin, and Miles Bridges. 

Here are my favorite free NBA player props for December 19.

Best NBA player props today

Picks made on 12-19 at 10:00 a.m. ET.

NBA player props for December 19

Prop bet #1: Miles Bridges Over 6.5 rebounds

-115 at bet365

Miles Bridges is averaging 6.7 rebounds per game, and he's pulled down seven or more boards in six of his last nine contests.

Bridges returned to the Charlotte Hornets lineup last Friday after a three-week absence due to a knee injury. He logged 25 minutes in his first game back and 28 in the following, and he should continue to see his playing time ramp up. Especially since the Hornets could also be without wing Brandon Miller tonight.

The Wizards play at the fourth-fastest tempo in the NBA and are just 27th in rebounding rate (47.5%) so there should be plenty of opportunities on the glass for Bridges.

Prop bet #2: Obi Toppin Over 10.5 points

-115 at bet365

Obi Toppin has been on fire this month, averaging 15.4 points in just 22.3 minutes per game. The O/U on Toppin's points is set at 10.5, a number he's eclipsed in all seven games in December. He's coming off a 16-point performance against the Pelicans, and his eight field goal attempts in that contest were actually his lowest shot total this month. 

Today, Toppin and the Pacers face the Suns, who are just 27th in the NBA in defensive rating over their last 15 games. Phoenix is 23rd in the league at defending the rim per ShotQualityBets while ranking 24th at giving up high-quality threes.

Toppin has been red hot from beyond the arc, knocking down 12 threes over his last four games, and he sits in the top 10th percentile of the league in efficiency at attacking the rim. 

Prop bet #3: Jamal Murray Over 5.5 assists

-125 at bet365

The O/U assists for Jamal Murray opened at 5.5, which looks too low when you consider his production and the juicy matchup he has tonight against the Portland Trail Blazers. Since coming back from a concussion in early November, Murray has racked up at least six assists in 12 of 14 games.

The Denver Nuggets point guard is averaging 6.6 assists per game during that span and today he takes on a Blazers side that plays at a fast tempo and is 26th in the league in defensive rating. That fast pace and poor defense has led to Portland ranking 24th in assists allowed per game (27.4).

This is the first time the Nuggets and Blazers are facing off this season but Murray played against Portland twice last season and dropped 10 dimes in each game. This is a four-s

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NBA odds today

Here are the full NBA odds for all of today’s matchups.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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