Magic vs Lakers Prediction, Picks, & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Magic are playing the second half of a road back-to-back in Los Angeles and will struggle to keep things close against LeBron James and the Lakers, especially as they're short-handed without Paolo Banchero.

Zak Hanshew - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Zak Hanshew ? Betting Analyst
Nov 21, 2024 ? 11:54 ET ? 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
LAL
73 %
ORL
27 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
L.A. Lakers -4.5 (-110) L.A. Lakers -4.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
LeBron James Los Angeles Lakers NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The Orlando Magic’s six-game win streak was snapped Wednesday with a loss to the Los Angeles Clippers and will complete their back-to-back set with a visit to the other Hollywood team tonight.

Both teams are undefeated at home, and both have struggled on the road. The Los Angeles Lakers are riding a six-game winning streak, and my Magic vs. Lakers predictions expect the home team to keep rolling.

Read my NBA picks to see why you should take the Lakers and the points on Thursday, November 21 with tip set for 10:30 p.m. ET at crypto.com Arena.

Magic vs Lakers prediction

My best bet
Lakers -5 (-110 at bet365)

My analysis

The Orlando Magic are a perfect 7-0 straight-up and 6-1 against the spread at home. On the road, however, Orlando has struggled to 2-7 SU and ATS records. Despite missing Paolo Banchero, the Magic rattled off six straight wins before falling to the Clippers last night.

However, that winning streak was a bit of fool’s gold as it included victories over the Suns, 76ers, Pacers, Hornets, Wizards, and Pelicans. The Suns are the only team on the list with a winning record, and they were missing Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal at the time.

Orlando has had a relatively easy schedule to open up the season. They’ve faced only five teams with a winning record and finished 1-4 in those contests with a -51 point differential. Aside from topping shorthanded Phoenix, the Magic lost all of their other four games against winning teams by 11 points or more.

The Los Angeles Lakers average the second-most points per home game at a whopping 122.1 while the Magic average just 102.1 on the road, good for third-worst. 

The Magic have allowed the fewest points per game to opponents overall at 102.1, but that number is 94.7 at home compared to 108.2 on the road. The Lakers sport a +7.4 point differential at home, and the Magic have a -6.1 away mark.

Home-road splits are critical in my evaluation of this line, and I’m backing the Lakers at home to handle business against a Magic team missing its superstar forward and playing on the second night of a back-to-back.

Magic vs Lakers same-game parlay

Lakers -5

LeBron James double-double

Franz Wagner Under 38.5 pts+reb+ast

It’s Year 22, and LeBron James shows no signs of slowing down… except as a scorer. James is averaging the fewest points (23.5) and shot attempts (16.6) of his career, but he’s getting it done elsewhere, averaging 8.1 rebounds and 9.4 assists.

The dimes are the second-highest of his career, and he’s done a great job getting teammates involved. James has provided a double-double in eight of 14 games this season, including six of his last eight, which includes four straight triple-doubles. James has posted five triple-doubles already this season, and he can cash this prop through rebounds or assists. And even with his diminished scoring, I have no doubt he’ll reach double-digit points — something he’s done in every game he’s played since January 5, 2007.

Franz Wagner has shouldered a heavy load for the Magic since Paolo Banchero went down. In those 11 games, Wagner ranks 12th in Usage at 31.4. He’s been doing it all, averaging 26.4 points, six rebounds, and 5.8 assists across his last nine, hitting the Over four times while posting 38 PRAs twice.

Much like the Magic’s win streak, Wagner’s recent heater is a bit of fool’s gold. He went for 32/5/8 against the Suns sans Durant and Beal. Outside of that performance, Wagner hasn’t reached 39 PRAs against a team with a winning record this season. In his other four, Wagner averaged 16.5 points, six rebounds, and five assists.

His home-road splits are notable, too. Wagner has averaged 30.6 PRAs on the road and 35.9 at home. Los Angeles’ defense isn’t tremendous, but this could turn into a blowout, and I’m not counting on Wagner to reach this lofty total. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Magic vs Lakers odds

Magic vs Lakers live odds

Magic vs Lakers opening odds

  • Spread: Orlando +5 (-105) | Los Angeles -5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Orlando +185 | Los Angeles -225
  • Over/Under: Over 219.5 (-110) | Under 219.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of bet365

Magic vs Lakers spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Orlando lost for the first time in seven games on Wednesday to drop to 9-7 straight up and 8-8 ATS.
  • The Lakers have won six in a row and are 10-4 SU and a 7-7 ATS record this season.
  • The Magic have allowed the fewest points per game this season, and the team is 6-10 to the Under.
  • Los Angeles’ offense has been hot at home, and the team sports an 8-6 record to the Over.

Magic vs Lakers trend

The Lakers are 7-0 SU at home and just 3-4 on the road. Likewise, the Magic are undefeated at home and just 2-7 on the road. The Lakers have covered in five of seven at home, while the Magic have covered in just two of nine on the road. Find more NBA betting trends for Magic vs. Lakers.

How to watch Magic vs Lakers

Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Date: Thursday, 11-21-2024
Tip-off: 10:30 p.m. ET
TV: Spectrum SportsNet, FanDuel Sports Network - Florida

Magic vs Lakers latest injuries

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Zak Hanshew - Covers
Betting Analyst

Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In addition to Covers, he has also written for Rotoworld and has spent time at FantasyPros, RotoWire, OwnersBox and Sportsbook Review. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.

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