slikstiks99

Hurtz is a booty bandit. Down low for sure.

@tech65

 This is one of the resident crybabies.

Thinking the wrong thoughts again...

Before you speak, think about what Justin Trudeau would say. Gay trans LGBT worship trans gay asian twink stuff. Like that.

I didn't realize we have resident thought police. I guess we aren't supposed to participate in reality and notice things.

Big part of capping games is realizing limitations. Can I call a player is slow?

Clev vs Cincy over 46.5

Finally a game where low-IQ Jameis can slang it around. This should be a fun game w/ lots of scoring.

Ari -4.5

Phil -4.5

Tenn +3.5

Chi +7.5 and over 47.5

I wouldn't be shocked to see the Bears win this game straight-up.

LAR -3

I'm amazed this line is just 3. I would never trust the Jets here in a million years. The Jets defense is just too soft and the players don't care. Expect a heavy dose of Williams. They should grind the Jets down and get to Rogers a couple times.

It seems that way.

Clemson seems pretty toothless without a run game.

Injuries are stacking up for the Horns but they can probably fill those gaps.

@Knollywood100

 Tomlin is extremely low-IQ. He's good with player management. But X's and O's, he's too low-IQ to beat a team with comparable talent.

Lamar is low IQ he has history of this.

Steelers are lost right now. The coach has extremely low IQ. Baltimore is cruising right now. Jackson is playing well right now and not getting in his own way. I see Balty winning this fairly easily. I see a big day for the TE's and Henry as well.

Balty 34-16

Clemson +14.5

Not in love with this play as Texas has a great homefield advantage. I think Klubnik can use his legs and keep this thing relatively close. I think SMU was a pretty good warmup for this game too. That SMU run D is fairly stout. They come in prepared and make this a game.

1st half: Texas 14-10

2nd half: Texas 17-13

Game: Texas 31-23

@bookieassassin

It most definitely has to do with IQ. It's not just making reads. It's situational awareness as well. There's also an element of "showing out" and putting yourself above your teammates. It's the achilles heal for some quarterbacks, namely, Lamar Jackson.

I think Jennings has at least 2 TD's in the 2nd half. They just might be to the other team.

The problem isn't 12 teams.

It's the teams playing at home.

If this is the post-season, no team should be playing at home.

Progress...

That one wasn't a pick 6 at least.

@Eddy_Winslow

 And another pick 6.

This QB is extremely low-IQ. SMU was looking pretty live too. His low-IQ has single-handedly tanked their chances.

This thing could get ugly.

This seems like a repeat of yesterday's game.

1st half: PSU 17-7

2nd Half: PSU: 17-10

Game : 34-17

I'm taking 1st half under and Penn State -8.5 game.

I've been betting a long time. I typically get the lines as soon as the they come out. For example, I had Memphis +1.5 and Ohio -3.5 and ml -150. I also bet after the fact and live it looks like the right side.

Memphis -5.5 -> Memphis wins by 5

Ohio -3.5 -> Ohio wins by 3

These teams were dominating, up significantly, and solid on both sides of the ball. Suddenly, they forget how to play football and the game tight ropes into the most advantageous result for bookmakers. That is statistically improbable. It's the type of thing you see in the NFL (highly corrupt).

They are raking in all these live bets. Refs, players, who knows. But these results are highly improbable, where a game is so lopsided midway, but then somehow straightens out to the most advantageous position for bookmakers. It statistically improbable.

It is simple math. Like Ohio having 230 yds on the ground but only 3 pts in the 2nd half. That is highly suspicious to say the least. Similar case with Memphis.

I won a little all said and done. But you are a fool if you think these results are in any way natural and not related to the literal millions of dollars being live bet on these games. The bigger bowls are more resistant to these things, but these smaller ones are NFL Sunday affairs. The days of live-betting are long gone. Even straight-betting is becoming precarious.

I don't think the weather is going to be a real problem.

I think Indiana is a little overrated in this spot. I think they are very similar to USC talent wise. USC hung around and then ND shut the door. I see something similar happening here.

You can't overstate homefield advantage as well. That will help in a very run-oriented game with short yardage attempts.

I think the game is somewhat close and low-scoring in the first half. Then in the second half, ND will start to dominate.

1st half: ND 13-10

2nd half: ND 21-10

game: 34-20

They want this to end Ohio by 3. Books gonna clean up with that result.