These games all are brought back to the original spread in the 4th. Doesn't matter how much the team is up by. Memphis and Ohio are prime examples. 10 years ago these teams win by 17-24. There so much money being bet now that those days are long gone. They are always brought around the original spread to cleanup on all the live bets.
Part of the reason why moneyline bets are preferable.
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Quote Originally Posted by slikstiks99:
These games all are brought back to the original spread in the 4th. Doesn't matter how much the team is up by. Memphis and Ohio are prime examples. 10 years ago these teams win by 17-24. There so much money being bet now that those days are long gone. They are always brought around the original spread to cleanup on all the live bets.
Part of the reason why moneyline bets are preferable.
Glad someone posted because I didn¡¯t want to. I know it¡¯s scripted - I¡¯m just trying to be on the right side.
The blatant interceptions already. On the 97yd run, did you see the angle the Indiana CB made?! Then, both CBs gave up and didn¡¯t even try to jump at his legs.
Also, I¡¯ve been watching football since 1990 and in both leagues this year - I¡¯ve noticed there are so much more interceptions based off a tipped pass than I¡¯ve ever seen before.
People are just in denial.
4
Glad someone posted because I didn¡¯t want to. I know it¡¯s scripted - I¡¯m just trying to be on the right side.
The blatant interceptions already. On the 97yd run, did you see the angle the Indiana CB made?! Then, both CBs gave up and didn¡¯t even try to jump at his legs.
Also, I¡¯ve been watching football since 1990 and in both leagues this year - I¡¯ve noticed there are so much more interceptions based off a tipped pass than I¡¯ve ever seen before.
These games all are brought back to the original spread in the 4th. Doesn't matter how much the team is up by. Memphis and Ohio are prime examples. 10 years ago these teams win by 17-24. There so much money being bet now that those days are long gone. They are always brought around the original spread to cleanup on all the live bets.
You sure? I must have missed where Florida was favoured by 24.5
1
Quote Originally Posted by slikstiks99:
These games all are brought back to the original spread in the 4th. Doesn't matter how much the team is up by. Memphis and Ohio are prime examples. 10 years ago these teams win by 17-24. There so much money being bet now that those days are long gone. They are always brought around the original spread to cleanup on all the live bets.
You sure? I must have missed where Florida was favoured by 24.5
I've been betting a long time. I typically get the lines as soon as the they come out. For example, I had Memphis +1.5 and Ohio -3.5 and ml -150. I also bet after the fact and live it looks like the right side.
Memphis -5.5 -> Memphis wins by 5
Ohio -3.5 -> Ohio wins by 3
These teams were dominating, up significantly, and solid on both sides of the ball. Suddenly, they forget how to play football and the game tight ropes into the most advantageous result for bookmakers. That is statistically improbable. It's the type of thing you see in the NFL (highly corrupt).
They are raking in all these live bets. Refs, players, who knows. But these results are highly improbable, where a game is so lopsided midway, but then somehow straightens out to the most advantageous position for bookmakers. It statistically improbable.
It is simple math. Like Ohio having 230 yds on the ground but only 3 pts in the 2nd half. That is highly suspicious to say the least. Similar case with Memphis.
I won a little all said and done. But you are a fool if you think these results are in any way natural and not related to the literal millions of dollars being live bet on these games. The bigger bowls are more resistant to these things, but these smaller ones are NFL Sunday affairs. The days of live-betting are long gone. Even straight-betting is becoming precarious.
0
I've been betting a long time. I typically get the lines as soon as the they come out. For example, I had Memphis +1.5 and Ohio -3.5 and ml -150. I also bet after the fact and live it looks like the right side.
Memphis -5.5 -> Memphis wins by 5
Ohio -3.5 -> Ohio wins by 3
These teams were dominating, up significantly, and solid on both sides of the ball. Suddenly, they forget how to play football and the game tight ropes into the most advantageous result for bookmakers. That is statistically improbable. It's the type of thing you see in the NFL (highly corrupt).
They are raking in all these live bets. Refs, players, who knows. But these results are highly improbable, where a game is so lopsided midway, but then somehow straightens out to the most advantageous position for bookmakers. It statistically improbable.
It is simple math. Like Ohio having 230 yds on the ground but only 3 pts in the 2nd half. That is highly suspicious to say the least. Similar case with Memphis.
I won a little all said and done. But you are a fool if you think these results are in any way natural and not related to the literal millions of dollars being live bet on these games. The bigger bowls are more resistant to these things, but these smaller ones are NFL Sunday affairs. The days of live-betting are long gone. Even straight-betting is becoming precarious.
I¡¯ve also been at this a very long time. I¡¯ve wrestled with the idea of the fix¡..Why didn¡¯t Seattle run the ball in the Super Bowl? We¡¯ll never know. I¡¯m not saying you¡¯re wrong but I need even an opinion based explanation. You don¡¯t even need to give specific examples. But until someone can give me a reasonable 1000 words or so on how they could pull this off, and why it would be worth the trouble, I have to say ¡°absolutely not¡±¡¡ And by ¡°worth the trouble¡± I mean it would seem that if they got caught, really slam dunk 100% bagged actually scripting NFL & College football, the whole thing would be worthless. No more billion dollar industry. It would go away overnight. Please coherently lay out a plan and I might be a believer.
3
@slikstiks99
I¡¯ve also been at this a very long time. I¡¯ve wrestled with the idea of the fix¡..Why didn¡¯t Seattle run the ball in the Super Bowl? We¡¯ll never know. I¡¯m not saying you¡¯re wrong but I need even an opinion based explanation. You don¡¯t even need to give specific examples. But until someone can give me a reasonable 1000 words or so on how they could pull this off, and why it would be worth the trouble, I have to say ¡°absolutely not¡±¡¡ And by ¡°worth the trouble¡± I mean it would seem that if they got caught, really slam dunk 100% bagged actually scripting NFL & College football, the whole thing would be worthless. No more billion dollar industry. It would go away overnight. Please coherently lay out a plan and I might be a believer.
These footballs have computer chips inside of them. there are gloves that are magnetic to the ball. this ^ is all fact. I¡¯m not saying anything, but when you factor in the referees throwing flags whenever necessary, many times with no tv review to the audience, it can make one ponder.
in either case, I just try to be on the right side of the fix.
bet against the heavy consensus and more importantly, with reverse line movement. Should come out to OUR favor in the long run
1
These footballs have computer chips inside of them. there are gloves that are magnetic to the ball. this ^ is all fact. I¡¯m not saying anything, but when you factor in the referees throwing flags whenever necessary, many times with no tv review to the audience, it can make one ponder.
in either case, I just try to be on the right side of the fix.
bet against the heavy consensus and more importantly, with reverse line movement. Should come out to OUR favor in the long run
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