NFL Sunday Week 6....

Van

Sorry to learn of your situation. I hope everything works out for you. I always appreciate your insights. I hope you sweep the board.

It's not just about the Jags here......

Chargers

Packers

Giants

Bears 

My favorites 

Bol 

Thanks for the plays always respecting your opinions !

Aboslutely love the Chargers -2.75.  Off of a bye week after two losses to Steelers and Chiefs.  Chargers two stud tackles left the Steelers game and things went south after that.  The following game, the two didnt play gainst Chiefs.  On top they were playing without Derwin James.  Now we get one tackle back for sure with the other questionable.  Chargers have extra week to prep against a rookie qb. 

@gotime

@Boisestateand8

 This guy is so worried about the juice like I never seen before, meanwhile people just trying to pick a winner 

Take care of yourself Mr Vanzack¡­. Wish you well.  

Dumbest thing I¡¯ve read today.   

Vanzack,

Sorry to hear about your property in NC.

Glad that your Florida property survived.

My buddy and his family in Lutz ( near tampa)never lost power.

I wanted to buy in longboat key about 10 years but never did.

Anyhow, bol on your plays and great to hear that you/family are good.

Be safe and thanks for all that you do

You go through streaks of wins and losses in this. No one is going to win at a 65% clip. If you¡¯re not focused on the number and the juice it is impossible to win long term. 

Thanks all for the posts.  Very busy this morning with the early game and the run in to the early games.

Just a thought...

I would bet the amount of people who not only bet the London game - but are also rooting for it to end quickly so they can get paid before the early games because they bet their whole account - is much bigger than you think.

Definitely. Can¡¯t wait to put all my winnings on a 3 team parlay . 

Dallas +3 +100 today. Whatdya say? 

I saw your post earlier.  Weird week for me - just didnt have time to circle back...

I do not like the Cowboys.  Once again - potential vs reality for me.  The reality is their defense is pretty bad - and the Lions are pretty consistent at what they do.  Just a headline type of analysis - but I cant bet the Cowboys at numbers like today without seeing that they can actually play football (re:  Jaxsonville).

I would love to pick up the conversation about recency in stat models.  Maybe this week.  I struggle with this.  Also the coach thing - I actually have it in my model.  I will explain.

GL today.

nice info

@vanzack

 Thanks van. Any/all replies from you are appreciated. I look forward to discussing the coaching topic. GL this week. 

The bad teams got me again.

I will not bet the bad teams, I will not bet the bad teams, I will not bet the bad teams.....

Thats just a joke, but kinda not a joke also because I have one going in about 45 minutes.

Giants getting 4 now  seems most sharps on Cincy   Im like 0-5 on night games

you could argue both the bengals and giants are bad teams.. but it comes down to who wants it more. Daniel Jones or burrow? Both overpaid IMO..

I saw the Chargers at -2.5 at times during the week 

The Panthers had so many opportunities - they looked like they could pull out the +6 until late. 

The Patriots, on the other hand, are hapless. There is really no realistic spread at which I would take them. The defense is frequently out of position and miss so many tackles when they are in position, and the O line won't allow Maye to finish many more games.

Thanks for sharing Van the man! Always appreciated

Carolina has to remain in the bet against column at the right number until further notice..

@vanzack

 Imagine if you had money on the Saints or Cowboys.

Good news about bad teams. Joe Burrows said last week they are basically a bad team.

On to the next, always appreciate the picks! Thought we were gonna get out ok and cover but Chase Brown took the Giants bait. I presume your model weighted the Giants undervalued defense heavily, thus partially prompting the play. Spot on there! Thanks dude, sending my best with all going on recently in your personal life as well.