Los Angeles Rams

Picks

Quentin Lake has been a tackling machine and leads the team with 82 total tackles and 52 solo stops. The safety is coming off a game against the Patriots where he racked up seven solo tackles and had 11 total tackles. The O/U on Lake's solo tackles this week is set at 4.5 and he has eclipsed that number in eight of 10 games this year. The Eagles have an up-tempo offense and lead the NFL in plays per game (65.9) with that number ticking up to 69.3 over their last three contests. They also like to attack up the middle and downfield, which will give Lake more tackling opportunities.

Stafford has been throwing for plenty of yards in recent weeks but he's a gunslinger with a tendency to turn the ball over. Stafford is coming off a game where he didn't throw a single pick but that was against New England's terrible pass defense and he threw the ball just 27 times due to a positive game script. Stafford had throw an interception in each of his previous six games and he has committed 14 turnover worthy plays this year — the fifth-highest number in the league. He'll have a much tougher matchup this week against an Eagles defense that has the best coverage grade in the league per PFF and ranks second in pass rush grade. They are also fourth in opponent pass efficiency (78.9) and have picked off a pass in each of their last four games.

Barkley has rushed for more than 100 yards in four of his last five games but those came against the Giants, Bengals, Jaguars, and Commanders who all have terrible defenses. Now he faces a Rams stop unit that has shown massive improvement over the last two months. Since Week 4, the Rams are sixth in the league in defensive EPA and seventh in defensive rush success rate. They've been particularly impressive against the run lately, allowing 90.8 rushing yards per game and just 3.4 yards per rush attempt over their last four contests. A big reason that they've been stuffing the run has been the rapid growth of their rookies with first round pick Jared Verse third among all edge defenders in run defense grade (86.5) and second rounder Braden Fiske sixth among interior linemen in run stop win rate.