Philadelphia @ Los Angeles props

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Eagles, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 32.3 per game) this year. Kyren Williams's 11.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 17.5. As it relates to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Rams profiles as the 7th-worst in the league this year. The Eagles pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (81.7%) versus running backs this year (81.7%). When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Philadelphia's LB corps has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Rams to pass on 63.5% of their opportunities: the highest rate among all teams this week. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Our trusted projections expect Puka Nacua to notch 9.9 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts. With an impressive 5.5 adjusted catches per game (89th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua has been among the best WRs in the game in football.