Tennessee @ Houston props

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are predicted by the predictive model to run only 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week. As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Titans ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year. Calvin Ridley's pass-catching performance tailed off this year, notching a measly 3.5 adjusted receptions vs 4.6 last year. Calvin Ridley's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 58.9% to 50.0%. The Houston Texans pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (58.6%) versus wideouts this year (58.6%).

The Texans have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 61.8 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. With an impressive 77.2% Route% (89th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz rates among the TEs with the most usage in the NFL. The leading projections forecast Dalton Schultz to total 5.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to TEs. With an excellent 3.0 adjusted receptions per game (76th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz ranks as one of the top pass-game tight ends in the league.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are predicted by the predictive model to run only 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week. Chigoziem Okonkwo's 11.0% Target Share this year marks a significant regression in his air attack volume over last year's 16.4% figure. As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Titans ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year. With a feeble 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (25th percentile) this year, Chigoziem Okonkwo ranks as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends. This year, the stout Texans defense has surrendered a measly 60.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the smallest rate in football.

At a -8-point disadvantage, the Titans are massive underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 59.1% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest clip among all teams this week. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The predictive model expects Tony Pollard to earn 4.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs. Tony Pollard's 20.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in football: 97th percentile for RBs.

The Texans have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 61.8 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. In this game, Nico Collins is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 93rd percentile among wideouts with 8.5 targets. Nico Collins's 64.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 52.5. With an exceptional 5.9 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) this year, Nico Collins rates as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in the NFL.

The Texans have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 61.8 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. In this week's game, Joe Mixon is projected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.5 targets. Joe Mixon has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 10.9% this year, which places him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.