NRG Stadium
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have just 122.7 plays on offense run: the fewest on the slate this week.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bills are anticipated by the predictive model to run just 61.0 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week. The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (a measly 49.8 per game on average). This year, the imposing Texans defense has surrendered a puny 60.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 5th-best rate in the NFL. The Houston Texans cornerbacks profile as the 9th-best unit in football this year in defending receivers.
Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Houston Texans have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 63.2 plays per game. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (35.5 per game) this year. Nico Collins's 7.3 adjusted receptions per game this year signifies a noteworthy improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 5.2 mark.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. This week, Dalton Kincaid is predicted by the projection model to finish in the 95th percentile among tight ends with 6.2 targets. The Houston Texans safeties project as the 8th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.
Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Houston Texans have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 63.2 plays per game. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (35.5 per game) this year. The predictive model expects Dalton Schultz to garner 3.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Our trusted projections expect James Cook to total 3.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile among RBs. James Cook rates in the 88th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a remarkable 18.8 mark this year. James Cook's 90.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a meaningful progression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 83.8% mark. The Houston Texans safeties project as the 8th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.
