Las Vegas @ Denver props

Jakobi Meyers has run a route on 92.1% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs. The projections expect Jakobi Meyers to total 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers. When talking about pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 10th-best in the league this year. With an exceptional 4.8 adjusted catches per game (83rd percentile) this year, Jakobi Meyers rates among the leading WRs in the league in football. The Broncos pass defense has surrendered the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.6%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (67.6%).

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 55.2% of their downs: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects the Raiders to run the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (a measly 54.0 per game on average). Alexander Mattison rates as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs, catching just 68.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 6th percentile. When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Denver's unit has been terrific this year, profiling as the best in football.

When talking about pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 10th-best in the league this year.

With regard to a defense's effect on pace, at 27.81 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-quickest in the league (adjusted for context) right now. In this week's game, Courtland Sutton is projected by the projections to slot into the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.0 targets. Courtland Sutton's 74.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 60.1. The Denver Broncos O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all air attack statistics across the board. The Raiders linebackers grade out as the worst group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

With regard to a defense's effect on pace, at 27.81 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-quickest in the league (adjusted for context) right now. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may suffer. The Denver Broncos O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all air attack statistics across the board. The Raiders pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (76.7%) to tight ends since the start of last season (76.7%). The Raiders linebackers grade out as the worst group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

With regard to a defense's effect on pace, at 27.81 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-quickest in the league (adjusted for context) right now. Javonte Williams has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (45.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (29.4%). The model projects Javonte Williams to notch 3.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs. With an impressive 3.0 adjusted catches per game (82nd percentile) this year, Javonte Williams has been among the leading pass-catching running backs in the league. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has allowed the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (86.2%) to RBs since the start of last season (86.2%).