TB -4.0 o47.5
DAL 4.0 u47.5
NO 14.0 o43.0
GB -14.0 u43.0
Final Dec 19
DEN 27
LAC 34
Final Dec 21
HOU 19 3.5 o42.5
KC 27 -3.5 u42.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 17 7.5 o44.0
BAL 34 -7.5 u44.0
Final Dec 22
TEN 30 4.0 o43.5
IND 38 -4.0 u43.5
Final Dec 22
CLE 6 10.0 o45.5
CIN 24 -10.0 u45.5
Final Dec 22
PHI 33 -4.0 o47.0
WAS 36 4.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
LA 19 -3.0 o47.0
NYJ 9 3.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
NYG 7 10.0 o43.0
ATL 34 -10.0 u43.0
Final Dec 22
DET 34 -6.5 o47.5
CHI 17 6.5 u47.5
Final OT Dec 22
ARI 30 -5.5 o47.0
CAR 36 5.5 u47.0
Final Dec 22
MIN 27 -2.5 o43.0
SEA 24 2.5 u43.0
Final Dec 22
NE 21 14.0 o47.5
BUF 24 -14.0 u47.5
Final Dec 22
JAC 14 2.5 o41.5
LV 19 -2.5 u41.5
Final Dec 22
SF 17 -2.0 o44.0
MIA 29 2.0 u44.0
New England 4th AFC East3-12
Tennessee 4th AFC South3-12
FOX

New England @ Tennessee props

Nissan Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Calvin Ridley Receptions Made Props ? Tennessee

C. Ridley
wide receiver WR ? Tennessee
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Under
-125

A rushing game script is suggested by the Titans being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 8th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.2 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness. Calvin Ridley's 3.1 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a significant decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 4.6 mark.

Calvin Ridley

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.7
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.7

A rushing game script is suggested by the Titans being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 8th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.2 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness. Calvin Ridley's 3.1 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a significant decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 4.6 mark.

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Made Props ? New England

R. Stevenson
running back RB ? New England
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 52.9% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The New England Patriots have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 56.2 plays per game. Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) generally cause worse passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher rush volume. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (just 27.9 per game) this year.

Rhamondre Stevenson

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.2
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.2

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 52.9% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The New England Patriots have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 56.2 plays per game. Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) generally cause worse passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher rush volume. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (just 27.9 per game) this year.

Hunter Henry Receptions Made Props ? New England

H. Henry
tight end TE ? New England
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.3
Best Odds
Under
-105

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 52.9% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The New England Patriots have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 56.2 plays per game. Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) generally cause worse passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher rush volume. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (just 27.9 per game) this year.

Hunter Henry

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.3
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.3

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 52.9% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The New England Patriots have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 56.2 plays per game. Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) generally cause worse passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher rush volume. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (just 27.9 per game) this year.

Chig Okonkwo Receptions Made Props ? Tennessee

C. Okonkwo
tight end TE ? Tennessee
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

The Tennessee Titans may throw the ball less in this week's game (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph. The projections expect Chigoziem Okonkwo to notch 4.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among tight ends. Chigoziem Okonkwo's 76.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a noteworthy gain in his pass-catching talent over last season's 71.8% figure. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

Chig Okonkwo

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.6
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.6

The Tennessee Titans may throw the ball less in this week's game (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph. The projections expect Chigoziem Okonkwo to notch 4.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among tight ends. Chigoziem Okonkwo's 76.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a noteworthy gain in his pass-catching talent over last season's 71.8% figure. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

DeMario Douglas Receptions Made Props ? New England

D. Douglas
wide receiver WR ? New England
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Under
-128

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 52.9% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The New England Patriots have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 56.2 plays per game. Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) generally cause worse passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher rush volume. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (just 27.9 per game) this year.

DeMario Douglas

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 52.9% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The New England Patriots have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 56.2 plays per game. Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) generally cause worse passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher rush volume. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (just 27.9 per game) this year.

Tony Pollard Receptions Made Props ? Tennessee

T. Pollard
running back RB ? Tennessee
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.9
Best Odds
Over
-140

The Tennessee Titans may throw the ball less in this week's game (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph. In this week's contest, Tony Pollard is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 87th percentile among RBs with 4.0 targets. Tony Pollard has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 13.7% this year, which places him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs. Tony Pollard rates as one of the leading pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a remarkable 3.0 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 90th percentile. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

Tony Pollard

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.9
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.9

The Tennessee Titans may throw the ball less in this week's game (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph. In this week's contest, Tony Pollard is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 87th percentile among RBs with 4.0 targets. Tony Pollard has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 13.7% this year, which places him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs. Tony Pollard rates as one of the leading pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a remarkable 3.0 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 90th percentile. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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