New England @ San Francisco props

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a heavy -11.5-point underdog this week. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (35.2 per game) since the start of last season. In this game, Hunter Henry is forecasted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.0 targets. With an exceptional 3.4 adjusted receptions per game (83rd percentile) since the start of last season, Hunter Henry rates among the best TEs in the pass game in the NFL.

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a heavy -11.5-point underdog this week. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (35.2 per game) since the start of last season. Demario Douglas's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.1% to 82.9%.

The 49ers are an enormous 11.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script. The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the 49ers are forecasted by the projections to run just 60.2 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the 49ers since the start of last season (a mere 55.0 per game on average). The San Francisco offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

The 49ers are an enormous 11.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script. The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the 49ers are forecasted by the projections to run just 60.2 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the 49ers since the start of last season (a mere 55.0 per game on average). The San Francisco offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Patriots defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (35.1 per game) since the start of last season. The New England Patriots pass defense has been gouged for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (86.8%) versus RBs since the start of last season (86.8%). The Patriots linebackers profile as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a heavy -11.5-point underdog this week. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (35.2 per game) since the start of last season. With a sizeable 55.1% Route Participation% (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Rhamondre Stevenson places as one of the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in football. In this contest, Rhamondre Stevenson is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.4 targets. Rhamondre Stevenson profiles as one of the best RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 3.0 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 87th percentile.