Cleveland @ Las Vegas props

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 62.5% pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 63.6 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Jordan Akins's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 70.9% to 89.7%.

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 62.5% pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 63.6 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Since the start of last season, the anemic Raiders pass defense has surrendered a staggering 68.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 5th-worst rate in football.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer. In this game, Jakobi Meyers is forecasted by the model to secure a spot in the 91st percentile among wideouts with 8.4 targets. Jakobi Meyers ranks as one of the best WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 4.5 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 85th percentile.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Las Vegas Raiders since the start of last season (just 54.9 per game on average). Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 31.4 per game) since the start of last season. Zamir White's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 86.1% to 81.9%.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer. The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board. The Browns linebackers rank as the 10th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 62.5% pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 63.6 plays per game. Jerome Ford profiles as one of the best pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 2.7 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 81st percentile. Since the start of last season, the feeble Raiders pass defense has conceded a whopping 85.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 7th-worst rate in football.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer. The leading projections forecast Davante Adams to accrue 9.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts. With an outstanding 6.0 adjusted receptions per game (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Davante Adams rates among the best wide receivers in the league in football.