Denver @ Baltimore props

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are anticipated by the predictive model to run 65.9 total plays in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week. Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the league. Our trusted projections expect Zay Flowers to accumulate 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to WRs. Zay Flowers's 59.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 52.2. With a stellar 5.2 adjusted receptions per game (88th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates among the top WRs in the game in the NFL.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are anticipated by the predictive model to run 65.9 total plays in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week. Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the league. This year, the deficient Broncos pass defense has yielded a staggering 86.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 10th-worst rate in football.

At a -9-point disadvantage, the Broncos are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to pass on 59.8% of their plays: the 9th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The projections expect the Broncos to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.28 seconds per play. Opposing offenses have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football. With a terrific 3.4 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) this year, Javonte Williams rates as one of the best pass-game running backs in football.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are anticipated by the predictive model to run 65.9 total plays in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week. Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the league. This week, Mark Andrews is predicted by the model to rank in the 77th percentile among TEs with 4.0 targets. Mark Andrews's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 74.4% to 83.2%.

At a -9-point disadvantage, the Broncos are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to pass on 59.8% of their plays: the 9th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The projections expect the Broncos to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.28 seconds per play. Opposing offenses have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football. The Broncos offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

At a -9-point disadvantage, the Broncos are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to pass on 59.8% of their plays: the 9th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The projections expect the Broncos to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.28 seconds per play. Opposing offenses have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football. This week, Courtland Sutton is expected by the projections to position himself in the 84th percentile among wideouts with 7.5 targets.