Las Vegas @ Cincinnati props

The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. In this week's game, Ja'Marr Chase is predicted by the predictive model to position himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs with 10.7 targets. While Ja'Marr Chase has earned 23.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Cincinnati's passing attack in this week's contest at 30.0%. With a terrific 6.1 adjusted catches per game (95th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase has been among the best wide receivers in the game in the league. Ja'Marr Chase's 83.7% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a substantial gain in his receiving skills over last year's 71.2% mark.

At a -8-point disadvantage, the Raiders are giant underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's safety corps has been lousy this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in football.

The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. In this week's contest, Mike Gesicki is projected by our trusted projection set to land in the 84th percentile among TEs with 5.3 targets. Mike Gesicki's 27.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 18.9. Mike Gesicki's play as a receiver has gotten better this season, totaling 3.6 adjusted catches vs just 2.0 last season. Mike Gesicki's 84.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates an impressive improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 68.4% mark.

The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The predictive model expects Chase Brown to accumulate 4.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs. Chase Brown's 11.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 4.5. This year, the poor Raiders pass defense has conceded a colossal 98.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the biggest rate in the league. The Raiders linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in defending receivers.

At a -8-point disadvantage, the Raiders are giant underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach. In this week's game, Alexander Mattison is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 86th percentile among RBs with 3.9 targets. Alexander Mattison has been a key part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 10.0% this year, which puts him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs. With a stellar 2.8 adjusted receptions per game (86th percentile) this year, Alexander Mattison ranks among the best pass-game running backs in football. Alexander Mattison's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 71.3% to 84.8%.

At a -8-point disadvantage, the Raiders are giant underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach. With a top-tier 93.6% Route Participation Rate (93rd percentile) this year, Jakobi Meyers places as one of the WRs with the highest volume in football. The model projects Jakobi Meyers to earn 7.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 88th percentile among wide receivers. Jakobi Meyers has been one of the leading wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an excellent 5.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 88th percentile. Jakobi Meyers's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 67.3% to 72.4%.