LIVE 10:51 4th Dec 22
MIN 20 -2.5 o43.0
SEA 17 2.5 u43.0
LIVE 05:09 3rd Dec 22
JAC 7 2.5 o41.5
LV 13 -2.5 u41.5
LIVE End Dec 22
NE 14 14.0 o47.5
BUF 17 -14.0 u47.5
LIVE 01:11 3rd Dec 22
SF 10 -2.0 o44.0
MIA 16 2.0 u44.0
TB -4.0 o48.0
DAL 4.0 u48.0
NO 14.0 o43.0
GB -14.0 u43.0
Final Dec 19
DEN 27
LAC 34
Final Dec 21
HOU 19 3.5 o42.5
KC 27 -3.5 u42.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 17 7.5 o44.0
BAL 34 -7.5 u44.0
Final Dec 22
DET 34 -6.5 o47.5
CHI 17 6.5 u47.5
Final Dec 22
PHI 33 -4.0 o47.0
WAS 36 4.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
LA 19 -3.0 o47.0
NYJ 9 3.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
NYG 7 10.0 o43.0
ATL 34 -10.0 u43.0
Final OT Dec 22
ARI 30 -5.5 o47.0
CAR 36 5.5 u47.0
Final Dec 22
CLE 6 10.0 o45.5
CIN 24 -10.0 u45.5
Final Dec 22
TEN 30 4.0 o43.5
IND 38 -4.0 u43.5
New Orleans 3rd NFC South5-9
Dallas 3rd NFC East6-8
FOX

New Orleans @ Dallas props

AT&T Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

CeeDee Lamb Receptions Made Props ? Dallas

C. Lamb
wide receiver WR ? Dallas
Prop
7.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Under
-135

The Cowboys are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script. Since the start of last season, the strong Saints defense has allowed a measly 58.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 4th-best rate in the NFL. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's unit has been phenomenal since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-best in football.

CeeDee Lamb

Prop: 7.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
7.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.9

The Cowboys are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script. Since the start of last season, the strong Saints defense has allowed a measly 58.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 4th-best rate in the NFL. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's unit has been phenomenal since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-best in football.

Luke Schoonmaker Receptions Made Props ? Dallas

L. Schoonmaker
tight end TE ? Dallas
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds
Over
+106
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds
Over
+106
Projection Rating

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys as the 9th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.3 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Cowboys since the start of last season (a monstrous 60.2 per game on average). The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The leading projections forecast Luke Schoonmaker to earn 4.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Luke Schoonmaker

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.6
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.6

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys as the 9th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.3 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Cowboys since the start of last season (a monstrous 60.2 per game on average). The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The leading projections forecast Luke Schoonmaker to earn 4.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Ezekiel Elliott Receptions Made Props ? Dallas

E. Elliott
running back RB ? Dallas
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Under
-160
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Under
-160
Projection Rating

The Cowboys are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script. The Saints pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (71.1%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (71.1%). As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's unit has been phenomenal since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-best in football.

Ezekiel Elliott

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

The Cowboys are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script. The Saints pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (71.1%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (71.1%). As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's unit has been phenomenal since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-best in football.

Chris Olave Receptions Made Props ? New Orleans

C. Olave
wide receiver WR ? New Orleans
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-132

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New Orleans Saints to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 134.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The New Orleans Saints have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 60.7 plays per game. Chris Olave checks in as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 5.1 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.

Chris Olave

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.9

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New Orleans Saints to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 134.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The New Orleans Saints have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 60.7 plays per game. Chris Olave checks in as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 5.1 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.

Alvin Kamara Receptions Made Props ? New Orleans

A. Kamara
running back RB ? New Orleans
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-130

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New Orleans Saints to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 134.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The New Orleans Saints have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 60.7 plays per game. Alvin Kamara comes in as one of the top pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 5.7 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.

Alvin Kamara

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.7
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.7

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New Orleans Saints to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 134.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The New Orleans Saints have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 60.7 plays per game. Alvin Kamara comes in as one of the top pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 5.7 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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