Pittsburgh @ Denver props

Opposing squads have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) against the Steelers defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.54 seconds per snap. Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 69.6% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs. In this week's game, Pat Freiermuth is projected by the predictive model to land in the 88th percentile among TEs with 4.7 targets. The Broncos pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (76.5%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (76.5%).

The leading projections forecast the Broncos as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Pittsburgh Steelers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 32.2 per game) since the start of last season. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's safety corps has been outstanding since the start of last season, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Broncos are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach. At a mere 27.51 seconds per snap, the Denver Broncos offense profiles as the 8th-fastest paced in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season. With an exceptional 92.3% Route Participation% (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Courtland Sutton stands among the wideouts with the highest volume in the league. In this game, Courtland Sutton is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.7 targets. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in football since the start of last season.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Broncos are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach. At a mere 27.51 seconds per snap, the Denver Broncos offense profiles as the 8th-fastest paced in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season. The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to garner 3.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs. Javonte Williams has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 10.8% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs. Javonte Williams has been one of the best RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 2.8 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Opposing squads have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) against the Steelers defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.54 seconds per snap.

Opposing squads have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) against the Steelers defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.54 seconds per snap. George Pickens has run a route on 94.3% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 94th percentile among WRs. In this week's game, George Pickens is forecasted by the projections to place in the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.4 targets. With an exceptional 3.9 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) since the start of last season, George Pickens rates as one of the leading pass-catching WRs in the league. Since the start of last season, the poor Denver Broncos pass defense has given up a massive 68.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 8th-biggest rate in football.